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Popular statistical software provides Bayesian information criterion (BIC) for multilevel models or linear mixed models. However, it has been observed that the combination of statistical literature and software documentation has led to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-24 Sun-Joo Cho , Hao Wu , Matthew Naveiras

This paper proposes the asymmetric linear double autoregression, which jointly models the conditional mean and conditional heteroscedasticity characterized by asymmetric effects. A sufficient condition is established for the existence of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-22 Songhua Tan , Qianqian Zhu

The Tweedie Compound Poisson-Gamma model is routinely used for modeling non-negative continuous data with a discrete probability mass at zero. Mixed models with random effects account for the covariance structure related to the grouping…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-05 Yaodong Yang , Rui Luo , Yuanyuan Liu

Learning interpretable and disentangled representations of data is a key topic in machine learning research. Variational Autoencoder (VAE) is a scalable method for learning directed latent variable models of complex data. It employs a clear…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-04 Andriy Serdega , Dae-Shik Kim

A novel data-driven methodology is presented for the joint selection of prior parameters for both fixed and random effects in Linear Mixed Models (LMMs). This approach facilitates the estimation of complex random-effects structures, as well…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Matteo Amestoy , R. Vermeulen , Mark A. van de Wiel , Wessel N. van Wieringen

Mixture model-based clustering has become an increasingly popular data analysis technique since its introduction over fifty years ago, and is now commonly utilized within a family setting. Families of mixture models arise when the component…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-11 Sanjeena Subedi , Paul D. McNicholas

Undirected graphical models are applied in genomics, protein structure prediction, and neuroscience to identify sparse interactions that underlie discrete data. Although Bayesian methods for inference would be favorable in these contexts,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-06-15 John Ingraham , Debora Marks

In clinical machine learning, the coexistence of multiple models with comparable performance (a manifestation of the Rashomon Effect) poses fundamental challenges for trustworthy deployment and evaluation. Small, imbalanced, and noisy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 Yuwen Zhang , Viet Tran , Paul Weng

Variational inference (VI) is a popular method for approximating intractable posterior distributions in Bayesian inference and probabilistic machine learning. In this paper, we introduce a general framework for quantifying the statistical…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-18 Chenyang Zhong , Sumit Mukherjee , Bodhisattva Sen

Varying coefficient models are widely used to characterize dynamic associations between longitudinal outcomes and covariates. Existing work on varying coefficient models, however, all assumes that observation times are independent of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-27 Yu Gu , Yangjianchen Xu , Peijun Sang

We propose a novel variational Bayes approach to estimate high-dimensional vector autoregression (VAR) models with hierarchical shrinkage priors. Our approach does not rely on a conventional structural VAR representation of the parameter…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-07-03 Mauro Bernardi , Daniele Bianchi , Nicolas Bianco

Structural equation models (SEMs) are commonly used to study the structural relationship between observed variables and latent constructs. Recently, Bayesian fitting procedures for SEMs have received more attention thanks to their potential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-12 Khue-Dung Dang , Luca Maestrini , Francis K. C. Hui

Multiple imputation has become one of the standard methods in drawing inferences in many incomplete data applications. Applications of multiple imputation in relatively more complex settings, such as high-dimensional clustered data, require…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-08 Qiushuang Li , Recai Yucel

Methods for combining predictions from different models in a supervised learning setting must somehow estimate/predict the quality of a model's predictions at unknown future inputs. Many of these methods (often implicitly) make the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-06-25 Thijs van Ommen

In this paper, we propose Varying Effects Regression with Graph Estimation (VERGE), a novel Bayesian method for feature selection in regression. Our model has key aspects that allow it to leverage the complex structure of data sets arising…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-10 Yangfan Ren , Christine B. Peterson , Marina Vannucci

Penalized likelihood and quasi-likelihood methods dominate inference in high-dimensional linear mixed-effects models. Sampling-based Bayesian inference is less explored due to the computational bottlenecks introduced by the random effects…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-24 Sreya Sarkar , Kshitij Khare , Sanvesh Srivastava

As evidenced by various recent and significant papers within the frequentist literature, along with numerous applications in macroeconomics, genomics, and neuroscience, there continues to be substantial interest to understand the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-13 Jonathan P Williams , Yuying Xie , Jan Hannig

We develop a variational Bayes approach for dynamic variable selection in high-dimensional regression models with time-varying parameters and predictors that exhibit a predefined group structure. Through comprehensive simulation studies, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-16 Nicolas Bianco , Mauro Bernardi , Daniele Bianchi

Mixed-effect models are flexible tools for researchers in a myriad of fields, but that flexibility comes at the cost of complexity and if users are not careful in how their model is specified, they could be making faulty inferences from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-28 Keith R. Lohse , Allan J. Kozlowski , Michael J. Strube

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg