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相关论文: Rashomon Capacity: A Metric for Predictive Multipl…

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Predictive multiplicity refers to the phenomenon in which classification tasks may admit multiple competing models that achieve almost-equally-optimal performance, yet generate conflicting outputs for individual samples. This presents…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-02 Hsiang Hsu , Guihong Li , Shaohan Hu , Chun-Fu , Chen

Machine learning models are often used to inform real world risk assessment tasks: predicting consumer default risk, predicting whether a person suffers from a serious illness, or predicting a person's risk to appear in court. Given…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-27 Jamelle Watson-Daniels , David C. Parkes , Berk Ustun

The existence of multiple, equally accurate models for a given predictive task leads to predictive multiplicity, where a ``Rashomon set'' of models achieve similar accuracy but diverges in their individual predictions. This inconsistency…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Parian Haghighat , Hadis Anahideh , Cynthia Rudin

Prediction problems often admit competing models that perform almost equally well. This effect challenges key assumptions in machine learning when competing models assign conflicting predictions. In this paper, we define predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-17 Charles T. Marx , Flavio du Pin Calmon , Berk Ustun

Predictive models may generate biased predictions when classifying imbalanced datasets. This happens when the model favors the majority class, leading to low performance in accurately predicting the minority class. To address this issue,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-18 Mustafa Cavus , Przemysław Biecek

The Rashomon effect presents a significant challenge in model selection. It occurs when multiple models achieve similar performance on a dataset but produce different predictions, resulting in predictive multiplicity. This is especially…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-13 Mustafa Cavus , Przemyslaw Biecek

When selecting a model from a set of equally performant models, how much unfairness can you really reduce? Is it important to be intentional about fairness when choosing among this set, or is arbitrarily choosing among the set of ''good''…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-01-28 Gordon Dai , Pavan Ravishankar , Rachel Yuan , Daniel B. Neill , Emily Black

As machine learning models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes environments, ensuring both probabilistic reliability and prediction stability has become critical. This paper examines the interplay between classification calibration and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Mustafa Cavus

The Rashomon effect describes the phenomenon where multiple models trained on the same data produce identical predictions while differing in which features they rely on internally. This effect has been studied extensively in classification…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-12-22 Dennis Gross , Jørn Eirik Betten , Helge Spieker

The Rashomon effect -- the existence of multiple, distinct models that achieve nearly equivalent predictive performance -- has emerged as a fundamental phenomenon in modern machine learning and statistics. In this paper, we explore the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-15 Harsh Parikh

Prediction models have been widely adopted as the basis for decision-making in domains as diverse as employment, education, lending, and health. Yet, few real world problems readily present themselves as precisely formulated prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-27 Jamelle Watson-Daniels , Solon Barocas , Jake M. Hofman , Alexandra Chouldechova

The Rashomon set of equally-good models promises less discriminatory algorithms, reduced outcome homogenization, and fairer decisions through model ensembles or reconciliation. However, we argue from the perspective of allocation…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Shomik Jain , Margaret Wang , Kathleen Creel , Ashia Wilson

Algorithmic risk assessments are used to inform decisions in a wide variety of high-stakes settings. Often multiple predictive models deliver similar overall performance but differ markedly in their predictions for individual cases, an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-04 Amanda Coston , Ashesh Rambachan , Alexandra Chouldechova

The Rashomon Effect describes the following phenomenon: for a given dataset there may exist many models with equally good performance but with different solution strategies. The Rashomon Effect has implications for Explainable Machine…

Among the different possible strategies for evaluating the reliability of individual predictions of classifiers, robustness quantification stands out as a method that evaluates how much uncertainty a classifier could cope with before…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-25 Rodrigo F. L. Lassance , Jasper De Bock

Creating models from past observations and ensuring their effectiveness on new data is the essence of machine learning. However, selecting models that generalize well remains a challenging task. Related to this topic, the Rashomon Effect…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Gianlucca Zuin , Adriano Veloso

Model multiplicity refers to the existence of multiple machine learning models that describe the data equally well but may produce different predictions on individual samples. In medicine, these models can admit conflicting predictions for…

In many applications, especially those involving prediction, models may yield near-optimal performance yet significantly disagree on individual-level outcomes. This phenomenon, known as predictive multiplicity, has been formally defined in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-17 Mustafa Cavus

Deep learning models have proven to be highly successful. Yet, their over-parameterization gives rise to model multiplicity, a phenomenon in which multiple models achieve similar performance but exhibit distinct underlying behaviours. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-28 Prakhar Ganesh

Issues can arise when research focused on fairness, transparency, or safety is conducted separately from research driven by practical deployment concerns and vice versa. This separation creates a growing need for translational work that…

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