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相关论文: Incorporating Explicit Uncertainty Estimates into …

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In recent years, deep off-policy actor-critic algorithms have become a dominant approach to reinforcement learning for continuous control. One of the primary drivers of this improved performance is the use of pessimistic value updates to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-07 Ted Moskovitz , Jack Parker-Holder , Aldo Pacchiano , Michael Arbel , Michael I. Jordan

Model-based offline reinforcement learning (RL) aims to find highly rewarding policy, by leveraging a previously collected static dataset and a dynamics model. While the dynamics model learned through reuse of the static dataset, its…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-01 Kaiyang Guo , Yunfeng Shao , Yanhui Geng

Distributionally robust offline reinforcement learning (RL) aims to find a policy that performs the best under the worst environment within an uncertainty set using an offline dataset collected from a nominal model. While recent advances in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 Ruiquan Huang , Yingbin Liang , Jing Yang

In an offline reinforcement learning setting, the safe policy improvement (SPI) problem aims to improve the performance of a behavior policy according to which sample data has been generated. State-of-the-art approaches to SPI require a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-16 Patrick Wienhöft , Marnix Suilen , Thiago D. Simão , Clemens Dubslaff , Christel Baier , Nils Jansen

In many applications with real-world consequences, it is crucial to develop reliable uncertainty estimation for the predictions made by the AI decision systems. Targeting at the goal of estimating uncertainty, various deep neural network…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-13 Huimin Zeng , Zhenrui Yue , Yang Zhang , Ziyi Kou , Lanyu Shang , Dong Wang

Offline Reinforcement Learning (RL) faces distributional shift and unreliable value estimation, especially for out-of-distribution (OOD) actions. To address this, existing uncertainty-based methods penalize the value function with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-10 Xudong Yu , Chenjia Bai , Hongyi Guo , Changhong Wang , Zhen Wang

In this paper, we show how uncertainty estimation can be leveraged to enable safety critical image segmentation in autonomous driving, by triggering a fallback behavior if a target accuracy cannot be guaranteed. We introduce a new…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-05-31 Victor Besnier , David Picard , Alexandre Briot

Prediction uncertainty estimation has clinical significance as it can potentially quantify prediction reliability. Clinicians may trust 'blackbox' models more if robust reliability information is available, which may lead to more models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-04 Michael Dohopolski , Kai Wang , Biling Wang , Ti Bai , Dan Nguyen , David Sher , Steve Jiang , Jing Wang

Existing methods for estimating uncertainty in deep learning tend to require multiple forward passes, making them unsuitable for applications where computational resources are limited. To solve this, we perform probabilistic reasoning over…

Methods for reasoning under uncertainty are a key building block of accurate and reliable machine learning systems. Bayesian methods provide a general framework to quantify uncertainty. However, because of model misspecification and the use…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-03 Volodymyr Kuleshov , Nathan Fenner , Stefano Ermon

Machine learning (ML) systems are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains where reliability is paramount. This thesis investigates how uncertainty estimation can enhance the safety and trustworthiness of ML, focusing on selective…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-09 Stephan Rabanser

Deep learning has achieved impressive performance on many tasks in recent years. However, it has been found that it is still not enough for deep neural networks to provide only point estimates. For high-risk tasks, we need to assess the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-28 Yuandu Lai , Yucheng Shi , Yahong Han , Yunfeng Shao , Meiyu Qi , Bingshuai Li

Reinforcement learning agents are faced with two types of uncertainty. Epistemic uncertainty stems from limited data and is useful for exploration, whereas aleatoric uncertainty arises from stochastic environments and must be accounted for…

Deep learning is increasingly being applied in safety-critical domains. For these scenarios it is important to know the level of uncertainty in a model's prediction to ensure appropriate decisions are made by the system. Deep ensembles are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-17 Yassir Fathullah , Mark J. F. Gales

Building robust online content recommendation systems requires learning complex interactions between user preferences and content features. The field has evolved rapidly in recent years from traditional multi-arm bandit and collaborative…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2018-05-08 Yoel Zeldes , Stavros Theodorakis , Efrat Solodnik , Aviv Rotman , Gil Chamiel , Dan Friedman

This paper addresses a significant gap in explainable AI: the necessity of interpreting epistemic uncertainty in model explanations. Although current methods mainly focus on explaining predictions, with some including uncertainty, they fail…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-10-10 Helena Löfström , Tuwe Löfström , Johan Hallberg Szabadvary

Recent advances in deep learning have shown that uncertainty estimation is becoming increasingly important in applications such as medical imaging, natural language processing, and autonomous systems. However, accurately quantifying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-04 Uddeshya Upadhyay , Jae Myung Kim , Cordelia Schmidt , Bernhard Schölkopf , Zeynep Akata

Recent advancements in tabular deep learning have demonstrated exceptional practical performance, yet the field often lacks a clear understanding of why these techniques actually succeed. To address this gap, our paper highlights the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-05 Nikolay Kartashev , Ivan Rubachev , Artem Babenko

Evaluating and optimizing policies in the presence of unobserved confounders is a problem of growing interest in offline reinforcement learning. Using conventional methods for offline RL in the presence of confounding can not only lead to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-08 Chinmaya Kausik , Yangyi Lu , Kevin Tan , Maggie Makar , Yixin Wang , Ambuj Tewari

Deep neural networks have shown great success in prediction quality while reliable and robust uncertainty estimation remains a challenge. Predictive uncertainty supplements model predictions and enables improved functionality of downstream…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-02 Johanna Rock , Tiago Azevedo , René de Jong , Daniel Ruiz-Muñoz , Partha Maji