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相关论文: VQ-AR: Vector Quantized Autoregressive Probabilist…

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Time series forecasting uses historical data to predict future trends, leveraging the relationships between past observations and available features. In this paper, we propose RAFT, a retrieval-augmented time series forecasting method to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-08 Sungwon Han , Seungeon Lee , Meeyoung Cha , Sercan O Arik , Jinsung Yoon

We present Visual AutoRegressive modeling (VAR), a new generation paradigm that redefines the autoregressive learning on images as coarse-to-fine "next-scale prediction" or "next-resolution prediction", diverging from the standard…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-06-11 Keyu Tian , Yi Jiang , Zehuan Yuan , Bingyue Peng , Liwei Wang

Although contrastive and other representation-learning methods have long been explored in vision and NLP, their adoption in modern time series forecasters remains limited. We believe they hold strong promise for this domain. To unlock this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-26 Yifan Hu , Jie Yang , Tian Zhou , Peiyuan Liu , Yujin Tang , Rong Jin , Liang Sun

Vector Quantized-Variational AutoEncoders (VQ-VAE) are generative models based on discrete latent representations of the data, where inputs are mapped to a finite set of learned embeddings.To generate new samples, an autoregressive prior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-04 Max Cohen , Guillaume Quispe , Sylvain Le Corff , Charles Ollion , Eric Moulines

Autoregressive (AR) models have become a popular tool for unsupervised learning, achieving state-of-the-art log likelihood estimates. We investigate the use of AR models as density estimators in two settings -- as a learning signal for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-18 Murtaza Dalal , Alexander C. Li , Rohan Taori

The purpose of this paper is to propose a time-varying vector autoregressive model (TV-VAR) for forecasting multivariate time series. The model is casted into a state-space form that allows flexible description and analysis. The volatility…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 K. Triantafyllopoulos

Recent advances in video generation have been dominated by diffusion and flow-matching models, which produce high-quality results but remain computationally intensive and difficult to scale. In this work, we introduce VideoAR, the first…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-01-15 Longbin Ji , Xiaoxiong Liu , Junyuan Shang , Shuohuan Wang , Yu Sun , Hua Wu , Haifeng Wang

We present a new method for forecasting systems of multiple interrelated time series. The method learns the forecast models together with discovering leading indicators from within the system that serve as good predictors improving the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-03 Magda Gregorova , Alexandros Kalousis , Stephane Marchand-Maillet

Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

We introduce Temporal Variational Implicit Neural Representations (TV-INRs), a probabilistic framework for modeling irregular multivariate time series that enables efficient individualized imputation and forecasting. By integrating implicit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-03 Batuhan Koyuncu , Rachael DeVries , Ole Winther , Isabel Valera

While deep learning is facing an homogenization across modalities led by Transformers, they are still challenged by shallow linear models in the time series forecasting task. Our hypothesis is that models should learn a direct link from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Alexis-Raja Brachet , Pierre-Yves Richard , Céline Hudelot

Time series forecasting is crucial for many fields, such as disaster warning, weather prediction, and energy consumption. The Transformer-based models are considered to have revolutionized the field of sequence modeling. However, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-01 Junlong Tong , Liping Xie , Wankou Yang , Kanjian Zhang

Autoregressive models have recently shown great promise in visual generation by leveraging discrete token sequences akin to language modeling. However, existing approaches often suffer from inefficiency, either due to token-by-token…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-11-20 Ruiqing Yang , Kaixin Zhang , Zheng Zhang , Shan You , Tao Huang

In this work, we investigate unsupervised representation learning on medical time series, which bears the promise of leveraging copious amounts of existing unlabeled data in order to eventually assist clinical decision making. By evaluating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-12-04 Xinrui Lyu , Matthias Hueser , Stephanie L. Hyland , George Zerveas , Gunnar Raetsch

Conventional wisdom suggests that autoregressive models are used to process discrete data. When applied to continuous modalities such as visual data, Visual AutoRegressive modeling (VAR) typically resorts to quantization-based approaches to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-05-13 Chenze Shao , Fandong Meng , Jie Zhou

Time series forecasting is a challenging task with applications in a wide range of domains. Auto-regression is one of the most common approaches to address these problems. Accordingly, observations are modelled by multiple regression using…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-15 Vitor Cerqueira , Nuno Moniz , Carlos Soares

Real-world data is high-dimensional: a book, image, or musical performance can easily contain hundreds of thousands of elements even after compression. However, the most commonly used autoregressive models, Transformers, are prohibitively…

The prediction of periodical time-series remains challenging due to various types of data distortions and misalignments. Here, we propose a novel model called Temporal embedding-enhanced convolutional neural Network (TeNet) to learn…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-09 Jiajun Liu , Kun Zhao , Brano Kusy , Ji-rong Wen , Raja Jurdak

Deep learning is playing an increasingly important role in time series analysis. We focused on time series forecasting using attention free mechanism, a more efficient framework, and proposed a new architecture for time series prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-21 Hugo Inzirillo , Ludovic De Villelongue

This article introduces the GNAR package, which fits, predicts, and simulates from a powerful new class of generalised network autoregressive processes. Such processes consist of a multivariate time series along with a real, or inferred,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-12-11 Marina Knight , Kathryn Leeming , Guy Nason , Matthew Nunes