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Temporal point process (TPP) models combined with recurrent neural networks provide a powerful framework for modeling continuous-time event data. While such models are flexible, they are inherently sequential and therefore cannot benefit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-11 Oleksandr Shchur , Nicholas Gao , Marin Biloš , Stephan Günnemann

Graphs are a powerful representation tool in machine learning applications, with link prediction being a key task in graph learning. Temporal link prediction in dynamic networks is of particular interest due to its potential for solving…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Sanaz Hasanzadeh Fard , Mohammad Ghassemi

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have advanced spatiotemporal forecasting by leveraging relational inductive biases among sensors (or any other measuring scheme) represented as nodes in a graph. However, current methods often rely on Recurrent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-30 Aref Einizade , Fragkiskos D. Malliaros , Jhony H. Giraldo

This paper introduces graph-based mutually exciting processes (GB-MEP) to model event times in network point processes, focusing on an application to docked bike-sharing systems. GB-MEP incorporates known relationships between nodes in a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-11 Francesco Sanna Passino , Yining Che , Carlos Cardoso Correia Perello

Understanding relations arising out of interactions among entities can be very difficult, and predicting them is even more challenging. This problem has many applications in various fields, such as financial networks and e-commerce. These…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-19 Tony Gracious , Ambedkar Dukkipati

A temporal point process (TPP) is a stochastic process where its realization is a sequence of discrete events in time. Recent work in TPPs model the process using a neural network in a supervised learning framework, where a training set is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-31 Wonho Bae , Mohamed Osama Ahmed , Frederick Tung , Gabriel L. Oliveira

Sequences of labeled events observed at irregular intervals in continuous time are ubiquitous across various fields. Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) provide a mathematical framework for modeling these sequences, enabling inferences such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-06 Victor Dheur , Tanguy Bosser , Rafael Izbicki , Souhaib Ben Taieb

Marked Temporal Point Processes (MTPPs) provide a principled framework for modeling asynchronous event sequences by conditioning on the history of past events. However, most existing MTPP models rely on channel-mixing strategies that encode…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Wang-Tao Zhou , Zhao Kang , Ke Yan , Ling Tian

Forecasting future events is a fundamental challenge for temporal knowledge graphs (tKG). As in real life predicting a mean function is most of the time not sufficient, but the question remains how confident can we be about our prediction?…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-13 Soeren Nolting , Zhen Han , Volker Tresp

Predicting the subsequent event for an existing event context is an important but challenging task, as it requires understanding the underlying relationship between events. Previous methods propose to retrieve relational features from event…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-05-24 Li Du , Xiao Ding , Yue Zhang , Kai Xiong , Ting Liu , Bing Qin

Temporal point process (TPP) is commonly used to model the asynchronous event sequence featuring occurrence timestamps and revealed by probabilistic models conditioned on historical impacts. While lots of previous works have focused on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-05 Haitao Lin , Lirong Wu , Guojiang Zhao , Pai Liu , Stan Z. Li

Event schemas encode knowledge of stereotypical structures of events and their connections. As events unfold, schemas are crucial to act as a scaffolding. Previous work on event schema induction focuses either on atomic events or linear…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-05-02 Manling Li , Sha Li , Zhenhailong Wang , Lifu Huang , Kyunghyun Cho , Heng Ji , Jiawei Han , Clare Voss

Marked temporal point processes (MTPPs) model sequences of events occurring at irregular time intervals, with wide-ranging applications in fields such as healthcare, finance and social networks. We propose the state-space point process…

Predicting the future paths of an agent's neighbors accurately and in a timely manner is central to the autonomous applications for collision avoidance. Conventional approaches, e.g., LSTM-based models, take considerable computational costs…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-03-11 Chengxin Wang , Shaofeng Cai , Gary Tan

Event forecasting has been a demanding and challenging task throughout the entire human history. It plays a pivotal role in crisis alarming and disaster prevention in various aspects of the whole society. The task of event forecasting aims…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-08-15 Yunshan Ma , Chenchen Ye , Zijian Wu , Xiang Wang , Yixin Cao , Tat-Seng Chua

Temporal point processes (TPP) are probabilistic generative models for continuous-time event sequences. Neural TPPs combine the fundamental ideas from point process literature with deep learning approaches, thus enabling construction of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-26 Oleksandr Shchur , Ali Caner Türkmen , Tim Januschowski , Stephan Günnemann

The problem of career trajectory prediction (CTP) aims to predict one's future employer or job position. While several CTP methods have been developed for this problem, we posit that none of these methods (1) jointly considers the mutual…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-30 Yeon-Chang Lee , JaeHyun Lee , Michiharu Yamashita , Dongwon Lee , Sang-Wook Kim

We present the Temporal Graph Benchmark (TGB), a collection of challenging and diverse benchmark datasets for realistic, reproducible, and robust evaluation of machine learning models on temporal graphs. TGB datasets are of large scale,…

Predicting irregularly spaced event sequences with discrete marks poses significant challenges due to the complex, asynchronous dependencies embedded within continuous-time data streams.Existing sequential approaches capture dependencies…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 Yuxiang Liu , Qiao Liu , Tong Luo , Yanglei Gan , Peng He , Yao LIu

Temporal graphs are widespread in real-world applications such as social networks, as well as trade and transportation networks. Predicting dynamic links within these evolving graphs is a key problem. Many memory-based methods use temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Xiaohui Zhang , Yanbo Wang , Xiyuan Wang , Muhan Zhang