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Generalization and invariance are two essential properties of any machine learning model. Generalization captures a model's ability to classify unseen data while invariance measures consistency of model predictions on transformations of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-15 Weijian Deng , Stephen Gould , Liang Zheng

Machine learning models rely on various assumptions to attain high accuracy. One of the preliminary assumptions of these models is the independent and identical distribution, which suggests that the train and test data are sampled from the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-08 Paras Sheth , Raha Moraffah , K. Selçuk Candan , Adrienne Raglin , Huan Liu

Inference for the parameters indexing generalised linear models is routinely based on the assumption that the model is correct and a priori specified. This is unsatisfactory because the chosen model is usually the result of a data-adaptive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-16 Stijn Vansteelandt , Oliver Dukes

The invariance properties of interventional distributions relative to the observational distribution, and how these properties allow us to refine Markov equivalence classes (MECs) of DAGs, is central to causal DAG discovery algorithms that…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-09 Liam Solus

We study the problem of learning causal representations from unknown, latent interventions in a general setting, where the latent distribution is Gaussian but the mixing function is completely general. We prove strong identifiability…

This PhD thesis contains several contributions to the field of statistical causal modeling. Statistical causal models are statistical models embedded with causal assumptions that allow for the inference and reasoning about the behavior of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-05 Martin Emil Jakobsen

A general random effects model is proposed that allows for continuous as well as discrete distributions of the responses. Responses can be unrestricted continuous, bounded continuous, binary, ordered categorical or given in the form of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-30 Gerhard Tutz

The interpretability of prediction mechanisms with respect to the underlying prediction problem is often unclear. While several studies have focused on developing prediction models with meaningful parameters, the causal relationships…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-09-05 Patrick Blöbaum , Shohei Shimizu

In the study of natural and artificial complex systems, responses that are not completely determined by the considered decision variables are commonly modelled probabilistically, resulting in response distributions varying across decision…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-07 Athénaïs Gautier , David Ginsbourger , Guillaume Pirot

Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncertainty quantification. While diffusion-based generative models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-07 Carlo Kneissl , Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

The generalization of model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) methods to environments with unseen transition dynamics is an important yet challenging problem. Existing methods try to extract environment-specified information $Z$ from past…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-10 Jixian Guo , Mingming Gong , Dacheng Tao

We introduce a new predictive mechanism that operates in the presence of hidden confounding across distributionally diverse data sources while ensuring consistent estimation of causal parameters-despite their recognized suboptimality for…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-01 Carlos García Meixide , David Ríos Insua

Causal inference is known to be very challenging when only observational data are available. Randomized experiments are often costly and impractical and in instrumental variable regression the number of instruments has to exceed the number…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-19 Dominik Rothenhäusler , Peter Bühlmann , Nicolai Meinshausen

Recent work has shown promising results in causal discovery by leveraging interventional data with gradient-based methods, even when the intervened variables are unknown. However, previous work assumes that the correspondence between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-12 Gonçalo R. A. Faria , André F. T. Martins , Mário A. T. Figueiredo

This paper presents a randomization-based framework for estimating causal effects under interference between units, motivated by challenges that arise in analyzing experiments on social networks. The framework integrates three components:…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-21 Peter M. Aronow , Cyrus Samii

It is common to conduct causal inference in matched observational studies by proceeding as though treatment assignments within matched sets are assigned uniformly at random and using this distribution as the basis for inference. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-14 Samuel D. Pimentel , Yaxuan Huang

Standard diffusion models are flexible estimators of complex distributions, but they do not encode causal structures and therefore do not by themselves support causal analysis. We propose a causality-encoded diffusion framework that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-24 Li Chen , Xiaotong Shen , Wei Pan

Causal effect estimation in networked systems is central to data-driven decision making. In such settings, interventions on one unit can spill over to others, and in complex physical or social systems, the interaction pathways driving these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-27 Sadegh Shirani , Mohsen Bayati

One method for obtaining generalizable solutions to machine learning tasks when presented with diverse training environments is to find \textit{invariant representations} of the data. These are representations of the covariates such that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-16 Advait Parulekar , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Sanjay Shakkottai

Regression models describing the joint distribution of multivariate response variables conditional on covariate information have become an important aspect of contemporary regression analysis. However, a limitation of such models is that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-27 Nadja Klein , Torsten Hothorn , Luisa Barbanti , Thomas Kneib