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Simulation of conditioned diffusion processes is an essential tool in inference for stochastic processes, data imputation, generative modelling, and geometric statistics. Whilst simulating diffusion bridge processes is already difficult on…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-24 Erlend Grong , Karen Habermann , Stefan Sommer

We introduce Deep Sigma Point Processes, a class of parametric models inspired by the compositional structure of Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs). Deep Sigma Point Processes (DSPPs) retain many of the attractive features of (variational)…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-29 Martin Jankowiak , Geoff Pleiss , Jacob R. Gardner

Bayesian inference often faces a trade-off between computational speed and sampling accuracy. We propose an adaptive workflow that integrates rapid amortized inference with gold-standard MCMC techniques to achieve a favorable combination of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Chengkun Li , Aki Vehtari , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev , Luigi Acerbi , Marvin Schmitt

We consider the estimation of Dirichlet Process Mixture Models (DPMMs) in distributed environments, where data are distributed across multiple computing nodes. A key advantage of Bayesian nonparametric models such as DPMMs is that they…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-09-20 Ruohui Wang , Dahua Lin

Structural equation models comprise a large class of popular statistical models, including factor analysis models, certain mixed models, and extensions thereof. Model estimation is complicated by the fact that we typically have multiple…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-03-18 Edgar C. Merkle , Ellen Fitzsimmons , James Uanhoro , Ben Goodrich

A key challenge in spatial statistics is the analysis for massive spatially-referenced data sets. Such analyses often proceed from Gaussian process specifications that can produce rich and robust inference, but involve dense covariance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-25 Shinichiro Shirota , Andrew O. Finley , Bruce D. Cook , Sudipto Banerjee

We present csSampling, an R package for estimation of Bayesian models for data collected from complex survey samples. csSampling combines functionality from the probabilistic programming language Stan (via the rstan and brms R packages) and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-08-15 Ryan Hornby , Matthew R. Williams , Terrance D. Savitsky , Mahmoud Elkasabi

Bayesian models have become very popular over the last years in several fields such as signal processing, statistics, and machine learning. Bayesian inference requires the approximation of complicated integrals involving posterior…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-07-20 Luca Martino , Víctor Elvira

The paper presents a novel approach for unsupervised techniques in the field of clustering. A new method is proposed to enhance existing literature models using the proper Bayesian bootstrap to improve results in terms of robustness and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-16 Federico Maria Quetti , Silvia Figini , Elena ballante

Mixtures of multivariate normal inverse Gaussian (MNIG) distributions can be used to cluster data that exhibit features such as skewness and heavy tails. However, for cluster analysis, using a traditional finite mixture model framework,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-13 Yuan Fang , Dimitris Karlis , Sanjeena Subedi

Intensity estimation is a common problem in statistical analysis of spatial point pattern data. This paper proposes a nonparametric Bayesian method for estimating the spatial point process intensity based on mixture of finite mixture (MFM)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-09 Junxian Geng , Wei Shi , Guanyu Hu

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) are a principled approach to modeling predictive uncertainties in deep learning, which are important in safety-critical applications. Since exact Bayesian inference over the weights in a BNN is intractable,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-02 Tim Z. Xiao , Weiyang Liu , Robert Bamler

Bayesian inference for Markov processes has become increasingly relevant in recent years. Problems of this type often have intractable likelihoods and prior knowledge about model rate parameters is often poor. Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-10-23 Jamie Owen , Darren J. Wilkinson , Colin S. Gillespie

The validity of two-step or plug-in inference methods is questioned in the Bayesian framework. We study semi-parametric models where the plug-in of a non-parametrically modelled nuisance component is used. We show that when the nuisance and…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-25 Magid Sabbagh , David A. Stephens

In this article, we describe a {\tt R} package for sampling from an empirical likelihood-based posterior using a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method. Empirical likelihood-based methodologies have been used in Bayesian modeling of many problems…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Dang Trung Kien , Neo Han Wei , Sanjay Chaudhuri

The distance dependent Chinese Restaurant Process (ddCRP) provides a flexible prior distribution for clustering observations, incorporating covariate information through pairwise distances and accommodating a rich variety of cluster…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-18 Joseph Marsh , Theodore Kypraios , Rowland G. Seymour

The examination of uncertainty in the predictions of machine learning (ML) models is receiving increasing attention. One uncertainty modeling technique used for this purpose is Monte-Carlo (MC)-Dropout, where repeated predictions are…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-05-25 Florian Heidecker , Ahmad El-Khateeb , Bernhard Sick

A Bayesian approach to nonlinear inverse problems is considered where the unknown quantity (input) is a random spatial field. The forward model is complex and non-linear, therefore computationally expensive. An emulator-based methodology is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-05-11 Anirban Mondal , Bani Mallick

Semi-supervised clustering is the task of clustering data points into clusters where only a fraction of the points are labelled. The true number of clusters in the data is often unknown and most models require this parameter as an input.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-09-27 Amar Shah , Zoubin Ghahramani

A model involving Gaussian processes (GPs) is introduced to simultaneously handle multi-task learning, clustering, and prediction for multiple functional data. This procedure acts as a model-based clustering method for functional data as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-24 Arthur Leroy , Pierre Latouche , Benjamin Guedj , Servane Gey