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Uncertainty estimation is important for ensuring safety and robustness of AI systems. While most research in the area has focused on un-structured prediction tasks, limited work has investigated general uncertainty estimation approaches for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-12 Andrey Malinin , Mark Gales

Predicting the behavior of road users, particularly pedestrians, is vital for safe motion planning in the context of autonomous driving systems. Traditionally, pedestrian behavior prediction has been realized in terms of forecasting future…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-12-15 Amir Rasouli , Tiffany Yau , Peter Lakner , Saber Malekmohammadi , Mohsen Rohani , Jun Luo

Trajectory forecasting, or trajectory prediction, of multiple interacting agents in dynamic scenes, is an important problem for many applications, such as robotic systems and autonomous driving. The problem is a great challenge because of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-05-28 Yanliang Zhu , Dongchun Ren , Mingyu Fan , Deheng Qian , Xin Li , Huaxia Xia

Predicting a vehicle's trajectory is an essential ability for autonomous vehicles navigating through complex urban traffic scenes. Bird's-eye-view roadmap information provides valuable information for making trajectory predictions, and…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-01-29 Ross Greer , Nachiket Deo , Mohan Trivedi

The multi-modality and stochastic characteristics of human behavior make motion prediction a highly challenging task, which is critical for autonomous driving. While deep learning approaches have demonstrated their great potential in this…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-03-04 Xiaqiang Tang , Weigao Sun , Siyuan Hu , Yiyang Sun , Yafeng Guo

Although neural networks have seen tremendous success as predictive models in a variety of domains, they can be overly confident in their predictions on out-of-distribution (OOD) data. To be viable for safety-critical applications, like…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-11-17 Masha Itkina , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Future trajectories of neighboring traffic agents have a significant influence on the path planning and decision-making of autonomous vehicles. While trajectory forecasting is a well-studied field, research mainly focuses on snapshot-based…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Alexander Prutsch , David Schinagl , Horst Possegger

Accurately predicting the future motion of surrounding vehicles requires reasoning about the inherent uncertainty in driving behavior. This uncertainty can be loosely decoupled into lateral (e.g., keeping lane, turning) and longitudinal…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-09-17 Nachiket Deo , Eric M. Wolff , Oscar Beijbom

Making accurate motion prediction of the surrounding traffic agents such as pedestrians, vehicles, and cyclists is crucial for autonomous driving. Recent data-driven motion prediction methods have attempted to learn to directly regress the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-02-09 Liangji Fang , Qinhong Jiang , Jianping Shi , Bolei Zhou

Uncertainty modeling is critical in trajectory forecasting systems for both interpretation and safety reasons. To better predict the future trajectories of multiple agents, recent works have introduced interaction modules to capture…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-10-28 Bohan Tang , Yiqi Zhong , Ulrich Neumann , Gang Wang , Ya Zhang , Siheng Chen

We introduce ForeSight, a novel joint detection and forecasting framework for vision-based 3D perception in autonomous vehicles. Traditional approaches treat detection and forecasting as separate sequential tasks, limiting their ability to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-08-12 Sandro Papais , Letian Wang , Brian Cheong , Steven L. Waslander

Trajectory prediction is a fundamental and challenging task for numerous applications, such as autonomous driving and intelligent robots. Currently, most of existing work treat the pedestrian trajectory as a series of fixed two-dimensional…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-03-17 Pei Lv , Hui Wei , Tianxin Gu , Yuzhen Zhang , Xiaoheng Jiang , Bing Zhou , Mingliang Xu

Collision prediction in a dynamic and unknown environment relies on knowledge of how the environment is changing. Many collision prediction methods rely on deterministic knowledge of how obstacles are moving in the environment. However,…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2019-04-08 Andrew Patterson , Arun Lakshmanan , Naira Hovakimyan

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

Accurate trajectory prediction is fundamental to autonomous driving, as it underpins safe motion planning and collision avoidance in complex environments. However, existing benchmark datasets suffer from a pronounced long-tail distribution…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-06 Ruining Yang , Yi Xu , Yixiao Chen , Yun Fu , Lili Su

Trajectory prediction aims to predict the movement trend of the agents like pedestrians, bikers, vehicles. It is helpful to analyze and understand human activities in crowded spaces and widely applied in many areas such as surveillance…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-02-18 Beihao Xia , Conghao Wong , Qinmu Peng , Wei Yuan , Xinge You

Accurate quantification of model uncertainty has long been recognized as a fundamental requirement for trusted AI. In regression tasks, uncertainty is typically quantified using prediction intervals calibrated to a specific operating point,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-03 Jiri Navratil , Benjamin Elder , Matthew Arnold , Soumya Ghosh , Prasanna Sattigeri

In multi-modal multi-agent trajectory forecasting, two major challenges have not been fully tackled: 1) how to measure the uncertainty brought by the interaction module that causes correlations among the predicted trajectories of multiple…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-03-12 Bohan Tang , Yiqi Zhong , Chenxin Xu , Wei-Tao Wu , Ulrich Neumann , Yanfeng Wang , Ya Zhang , Siheng Chen

Understanding the interaction between multiple agents is crucial for realistic vehicle trajectory prediction. Existing methods have attempted to infer the interaction from the observed past trajectories of agents using pooling, attention,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-05-25 Daehee Park , Hobin Ryu , Yunseo Yang , Jegyeong Cho , Jiwon Kim , Kuk-Jin Yoon

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is crucial for several applications such as robotics and self-driving vehicles. Significant progress has been made in the past decade thanks to the availability of pedestrian trajectory datasets, which…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-11-04 Pranav Singh Chib , Pravendra Singh