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Bayesian neural networks (BNN) and deep ensembles are principled approaches to estimate the predictive uncertainty of a deep learning model. However their practicality in real-time, industrial-scale applications are limited due to their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-27 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , Zi Lin , Shreyas Padhy , Dustin Tran , Tania Bedrax-Weiss , Balaji Lakshminarayanan

Accurate and uncertainty-aware degradation estimation is essential for predictive maintenance in safety-critical systems like rotating machinery with rolling-element bearings. Many existing uncertainty methods lack confidence calibration,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-19 Waleed Razzaq , Yun-Bo Zhao

While Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) achieve state-of-the-art accuracy in various applications, they often fall short in accurately estimating their predictive uncertainty and, in turn, fail to recognize when these predictions may be wrong.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-22 Ankur Mallick , Chaitanya Dwivedi , Bhavya Kailkhura , Gauri Joshi , T. Yong-Jin Han

Although deep neural network (DNN) has achieved many state-of-the-art results, estimating the uncertainty presented in the DNN model and the data is a challenging task. Problems related to uncertainty such as classifying unknown classes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-05-17 Buu Phan

Uncertainty estimation in deep learning has recently emerged as a crucial area of interest to advance reliability and robustness in safety-critical applications. While there have been many proposed methods that either focus on…

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have made a revolution in numerous fields during the last decade. However, in tasks with high safety requirements, such as medical or autonomous driving applications, providing an assessment of the models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-20 Omer Achrack , Raizy Kellerman , Ouriel Barzilay

We consider the problem of uncertainty estimation in the context of (non-Bayesian) deep neural classification. In this context, all known methods are based on extracting uncertainty signals from a trained network optimized to solve the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-25 Yonatan Geifman , Guy Uziel , Ran El-Yaniv

Accurate histopathologic interpretation is key for clinical decision-making; however, current deep learning models for digital pathology are often overconfident and poorly calibrated in out-of-distribution (OOD) settings, which limit trust…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-04-15 Uma Meleti , Jeffrey J. Nirschl

Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

In supervised learning, understanding an input's proximity to the training data can help a model decide whether it has sufficient evidence for reaching a reliable prediction. While powerful probabilistic models such as Gaussian Processes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-19 Ifigeneia Apostolopoulou , Benjamin Eysenbach , Frank Nielsen , Artur Dubrawski

The use of Deep Neural Network (DNN) models in risk-based decision-making has attracted extensive attention with broad applications in medical, finance, manufacturing, and quality control. To mitigate prediction-related risks in decision…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-11 Maryam Kheirandish , Shengfan Zhang , Donald G. Catanzaro , Valeriu Crudu

We propose the Distance-informed Neural Process (DNP), a novel variant of Neural Processes that improves uncertainty estimation by combining global and distance-aware local latent structures. Standard Neural Processes (NPs) often rely on a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-27 Aishwarya Venkataramanan , Joachim Denzler

We propose a simple method that combines neural networks and Gaussian processes. The proposed method can estimate the uncertainty of outputs and flexibly adjust target functions where training data exist, which are advantages of Gaussian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-20 Tomoharu Iwata , Zoubin Ghahramani

Deep learning has emerged as a promising paradigm to give access to highly accurate predictions of molecular and materials properties. A common short-coming shared by current approaches, however, is that neural networks only give point…

计算物理 · 物理学 2023-05-10 Albert Zhu , Simon Batzner , Albert Musaelian , Boris Kozinsky

Uncertainty estimation is an important research area to make deep neural networks (DNNs) more trustworthy. While extensive research on uncertainty estimation has been conducted with unimodal data, uncertainty estimation for multimodal data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-24 Myong Chol Jung , He Zhao , Joanna Dipnall , Lan Du

When fine-tuning Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) to new data, DNNs are prone to overwriting network parameters required for task-specific functionality on previously learned tasks, resulting in a loss of performance on those tasks. We propose…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-22 Christopher Angelini , Nidhal Bouaynaya

Reliable uncertainty from deterministic single-forward pass models is sought after because conventional methods of uncertainty quantification are computationally expensive. We take two complex single-forward-pass uncertainty approaches, DUQ…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-31 Jishnu Mukhoti , Andreas Kirsch , Joost van Amersfoort , Philip H. S. Torr , Yarin Gal

Classical problems in computational physics such as data-driven forecasting and signal reconstruction from sparse sensors have recently seen an explosion in deep neural network (DNN) based algorithmic approaches. However, most DNN models do…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-21 Romit Maulik , Romain Egele , Krishnan Raghavan , Prasanna Balaprakash

Uncertainty estimation methods using deep learning approaches strive against separating how uncertain the state of the world manifests to us via measurement (objective end) from the way this gets scrambled with the model specification and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-21 Edgardo Solano-Carrillo

Uncertainty estimation (UE) techniques -- such as the Gaussian process (GP), Bayesian neural networks (BNN), Monte Carlo dropout (MCDropout) -- aim to improve the interpretability of machine learning models by assigning an estimated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-10 Yehao Liu , Matteo Pagliardini , Tatjana Chavdarova , Sebastian U. Stich
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