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A geometric representation for multivariate extremes, based on the shapes of scaled sample clouds in light-tailed margins and their so-called limit sets, has recently been shown to connect several existing extremal dependence concepts.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-03 Jennifer Wadsworth , Ryan Campbell

In this paper, we consider Bayesian methods for non-parametric quantile regressions with multiple continuous predictors ranging values in the unit interval. In the first method, the quantile function is assumed to be smooth over the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-08 Priyam Das , Subhashis Ghosal

The design of a metric between probability distributions is a longstanding problem motivated by numerous applications in Machine Learning. Focusing on continuous probability distributions on the Euclidean space $\mathbb{R}^d$, we introduce…

Over the last decade, nonparametric methods have gained increasing attention for modeling complex data structures due to their flexibility and minimal structural assumptions. In this paper, we study a general multivariate nonparametric…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Kunal Rai , Archi Roy , Itai Dattner , Soudeep Deb

Variational methods are widely used for approximate posterior inference. However, their use is typically limited to families of distributions that enjoy particular conjugacy properties. To circumvent this limitation, we propose a family of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-06-22 Samuel Gershman , Matt Hoffman , David Blei

A nonparametric procedure for robust regression estimation and for quantile regression is proposed which is completely data-driven and adapts locally to the regularity of the regression function. This is achieved by considering in each…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-04-06 Markus Reiss , Yves Rozenholc , Charles-Andre Cuenod

Quantiles are a fundamental concept in probability and theoretical statistics and a daily tool in their applications. While the univariate concept of quantiles is quite clear and well understood, its multivariate extension is more…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-08 Marc Hallin , Dimitri Konen

We develop a method to generate predictive regions that cover a multivariate response variable with a user-specified probability. Our work is composed of two components. First, we use a deep generative model to learn a representation of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-26 Shai Feldman , Stephen Bates , Yaniv Romano

We propose a nonparametric quantile regression method using deep neural networks with a rectified linear unit penalty function to avoid quantile crossing. This penalty function is computationally feasible for enforcing non-crossing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-20 Wenlu Tang , Guohao Shen , Yuanyuan Lin , Jian Huang

Flexible estimation of multiple conditional quantiles is of interest in numerous applications, such as studying the effect of pregnancy-related factors on low and high birth weight. We propose a Bayesian non-parametric method to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-22 Steven G. Xu , Brian J. Reich

When facing multivariate covariates, general semiparametric regression techniques come at hand to propose flexible models that are unexposed to the curse of dimensionality. In this work a semiparametric copula-based estimator for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-03-25 Mickael De Backer , Anouar El Ghouch , Ingrid Van Keilegom

This article proposes a novel Bayesian multivariate quantile regression to forecast the tail behavior of energy commodities, where the homoskedasticity assumption is relaxed to allow for time-varying volatility. In particular, we exploit…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-08-08 Matteo Iacopini , Francesco Ravazzolo , Luca Rossini

We propose a non-parametric statistical procedure for detecting multiple change-points in multidimensional signals. The method is based on a test statistic that generalizes the well-known Kruskal-Wallis procedure to the multivariate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-02-11 Alexandre Lung-Yut-Fong , Céline Lévy-Leduc , Olivier Cappé

In this work, we consider a multivariate regression model with one-sided errors. We assume for the regression function to lie in a general H\"{o}lder class and estimate it via a nonparametric local polynomial approach that consists of…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-11 Leonie Selk , Charles Tillier , Orlando Marigliano

Quantile regression models provide a wide picture of the conditional distributions of the response variable by capturing the effect of the covariates at different quantile levels. In most applications, the parametric form of those…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-03 T. Rodrigues , J. -L. Dortet-Bernadet , Y. Fan

Quantile regression is a statistical method for estimating conditional quantiles of a response variable. In addition, for mean estimation, it is well known that quantile regression is more robust to outliers than $l_2$-based methods. By…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-18 Steven Siwei Ye , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

This article introduces a novel nonparametric methodology for Generalized Linear Models which combines the strengths of the binary regression and latent variable formulations for categorical data, while overcoming their disadvantages.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-12 K. P. Chowdhury

Compared to the nominal scale, the ordinal scale for a categorical outcome variable has the property of making a monotonicity assumption for the covariate effects meaningful. This assumption is encoded in the commonly used proportional odds…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-04 Olli Saarela , Christian Rohrbeck , Elja Arjas

This paper considers a nonlinear quantile model with change-points. The quantile estimation method, which as a particular case includes median model, is more robust with respect to other traditional methods when model errors contain…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-02 Gabriela Ciuperca

In this article, we present a novel approach to multivariate probabilistic forecasting. Our approach is based on an extension of single-output quantile regression (QR) to multivariate-targets, called quantile surfaces (QS). QS uses a simple…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-10-13 Maarten Bieshaar , Jens Schreiber , Stephan Vogt , André Gensler , Bernhard Sick