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As industrial systems become more complex and monitoring sensors for everything from surveillance to our health become more ubiquitous, multivariate time series prediction is taking an important place in the smooth-running of our society. A…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-03 Fan Jin , Ke Zhang , Yipan Huang , Yifei Zhu , Baiping Chen

This paper introduces a tensor neural network (TNN) to address nonparametric regression problems, leveraging its distinct sub-network structure to effectively facilitate variable separation and enhance the approximation of complex,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-16 Yongxin Li , Yifan Wang , Zhongshuo Lin , Hehu Xie

Many real-world datasets are time series that are sequentially collected and contain rich temporal information. Thus, a common interest in practice is to capture dynamics of time series and predict their future evolutions. To this end, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-12 Yifan Zhou , Yibo Wang , Chao Shang

Probabilistic forecasts are essential for various downstream applications such as business development, traffic planning, and electrical grid balancing. Many of these probabilistic forecasts are performed on time series data that contain…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-07 Benedikt Heidrich , Kaleb Phipps , Oliver Neumann , Marian Turowski , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer

Enhancing the robustness and accuracy of time series forecasting models is an active area of research. Recently, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have found extensive applications in many practical forecasting problems. However, the…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2013-02-27 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

The recent decade has seen an enormous rise in the popularity of deep learning and neural networks. These algorithms have broken many previous records and achieved remarkable results. Their outstanding performance has significantly sped up…

In this paper we present a new framework for time-series modeling that combines the best of traditional statistical models and neural networks. We focus on time-series with long-range dependencies, needed for monitoring fine granularity…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-02 Oskar Triebe , Nikolay Laptev , Ram Rajagopal

Modeling and generating graphs is fundamental for studying networks in biology, engineering, and social sciences. However, modeling complex distributions over graphs and then efficiently sampling from these distributions is challenging due…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-06-26 Jiaxuan You , Rex Ying , Xiang Ren , William L. Hamilton , Jure Leskovec

Time-series forecasting is one of the most active research topics in artificial intelligence. Applications in real-world time series should consider two factors for achieving reliable predictions: modeling dynamic dependencies among…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-28 Gabriel Spadon , Shenda Hong , Bruno Brandoli , Stan Matwin , Jose F. Rodrigues-Jr , Jimeng Sun

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are nonlinear dynamical models commonly used in the machine learning and dynamical systems literature to represent complex dynamical or sequential relationships between variables. More recently, as deep…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-08 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

Current deep regression models usually learn in a point-wise way that treats each sample as an independent input, neglecting the relative ordering among different data. Consequently, the regression model could neglect the data's…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Fuhang Liang , Rucong Xu , Deng Lin

Adoption of deep neural networks in fields such as economics or finance has been constrained by the lack of interpretability of model outcomes. This paper proposes a generative neural network architecture - the parameter encoder neural…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-11 Johann Pfitzinger

This article introduces the GNAR package, which fits, predicts, and simulates from a powerful new class of generalised network autoregressive processes. Such processes consist of a multivariate time series along with a real, or inferred,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-12-11 Marina Knight , Kathryn Leeming , Guy Nason , Matthew Nunes

Traditional neural network regression models provide only point estimates, failing to capture predictive uncertainty. Probabilistic neural networks (PNNs) address this limitation by producing output distributions, enabling the construction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-02 Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki

Access to a large variety of data across a massive population has made it possible to predict customer purchase patterns and responses to marketing campaigns. In particular, accurate demand forecasts for popular products with frequent…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-01-01 Tianle Chen , Brian Keng , Javier Moreno

Although many complex models were proposed to analyze time series data, some studies have demonstrated remarkable performance with simpler structures. A recent study proposed a non-parametric framework for 3D point cloud classification,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Bowen Liu , Haijian Lai , Chan-Tong Lam , Junhao Dong , Benjamin Ng , Wei Ke , Sio-Kei Im

Dealing with an unbounded data stream involves overcoming the assumption that data is identically distributed and independent. A data stream can, in fact, exhibit temporal dependencies (i.e., be a time series), and data can change…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-04 Federico Giannini , Giacomo Ziffer , Emanuele Della Valle

Neural processes (NPs) learn stochastic processes and predict the distribution of target output adaptively conditioned on a context set of observed input-output pairs. Furthermore, Attentive Neural Process (ANP) improved the prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-22 Shenghao Qin , Jiacheng Zhu , Jimmy Qin , Wenshuo Wang , Ding Zhao

Forecasting with multivariate time series, which aims to predict future values given previous and current several univariate time series data, has been studied for decades, with one example being ARIMA. Because it is difficult to measure…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-10-19 Youngjin Park , Deokjun Eom , Byoungki Seo , Jaesik Choi

Many applications in different domains produce large amount of time series data. Making accurate forecasting is critical for many decision makers. Various time series forecasting methods exist which use linear and nonlinear models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-19 Ümit Çavuş Büyükşahin , Şeyda Ertekin