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The main objective of this study is to propose an enhanced wind power forecasting (EWPF) transformer model for handling power grid operations and boosting power market competition. It helps reliable large-scale integration of wind power…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-24 Md Rasel Sarkar , Sreenatha G. Anavatti , Tanmoy Dam , Mahardhika Pratama , Berlian Al Kindhi

Wind power forecasting (WPF), as a significant research topic within renewable energy, plays a crucial role in enhancing the security, stability, and economic operation of power grids. However, due to the high stochasticity of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-16 Mingyi Zhu , Zhaoxin Li , Qiao Lin , Li Ding

Owing to its minimal pollution and efficient energy use, wind energy has become one of the most widely exploited renewable energy resources. The successful integration of wind power into the grid system is contingent upon accurate wind…

The increasing severity of climate change necessitates an urgent transition to renewable energy sources, making the large-scale adoption of wind energy crucial for mitigating environmental impact. However, the inherent uncertainty of wind…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-18 Chongyang Wan , Shunbo Lei , Yuan Luo

Transformer-based methods have achieved impressive results in time series forecasting. However, existing Transformers still exhibit limitations in sequence modeling as they tend to overemphasize temporal dependencies. This incurs additional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Tan Wang , Yun Wei Dong , Qi Wang

Wind flow can be highly unpredictable and can suffer substantial fluctuations in speed and direction due to the shape and height of hills, mountains, and valleys, making accurate wind speed (WS) forecasting essential in complex terrain.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-29 Sourav Malakar , Saptarsi Goswami , Amlan Chakrabarti , Bhaswati Ganguli

In recent years, there has been significant progress in the development of fully data-driven global numerical weather prediction models. These machine learning weather prediction models have their strength, notably accuracy and low…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-05 Alban Farchi , Marcin Chrust , Marc Bocquet , Massimo Bonavita

Long-term weather forecasting is critical for socioeconomic planning and disaster preparedness. While recent approaches employ finetuning to extend prediction horizons, they remain constrained by the issues of catastrophic forgetting, error…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Hao Chen , Tao Han , Jie Zhang , Song Guo , Fenghua Ling , Lei Bai

For hourly PM2.5 concentration prediction, accurately capturing the data patterns of external factors that affect PM2.5 concentration changes, and constructing a forecasting model is one of efficient means to improve forecasting accuracy.…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-12-08 Fuxin Jiang , Chengyuan Zhang , Shaolong Sun , Jingyun Sun

The increasing installation rate of wind power poses great challenges to the global power system. In order to ensure the reliable operation of the power system, it is necessary to accurately forecast the wind speed and power of the wind…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Yang Yang , Jin Lang , Jian Wu , Yanyan Zhang , Xiang Zhao

Wind power is attracting increasing attention around the world due to its renewable, pollution-free, and other advantages. However, safely and stably integrating the high permeability intermittent power energy into electric power systems…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-31 Yang Zhang , Lingbo Liu , Xinyu Xiong , Guanbin Li , Guoli Wang , Liang Lin

Rapid and accurate urban wind field prediction is essential for modeling particle transport in emergency scenarios. Traditional Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) approaches are too slow for real-time applications, necessitating surrogate…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-10-29 Ameir Shaa , Claude Guet , Xiasu Yang , Armand Albergel , Bruno Ribstein , Maxime Nibart

Wind speed prediction is critical to the management of wind power generation. Due to the large range of wind speed fluctuations and wake effect, there may also be strong correlations between long-distance wind turbines. This…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-27 Xuewei Li , Zewen Shang , Zhiqiang Liu , Jian Yu , Wei Xiong , Mei Yu

Wind direction forecasting plays a crucial role in optimizing wind energy production, but faces significant challenges due to the circular nature of directional data, error accumulation in multi-step forecasting, and complex meteorological…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-10 Hailong Shu , Weiwei Song , Yue Wang , Jiping Zhang

Short-term wind speed prediction is essential for economical wind power utilization. The real-world wind speed data is typically intermittent and fluctuating, presenting great challenges to existing shallow models. In this paper, we present…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-08 Hailong Shu

Authors: Yifan Xu Abstract: Conventional wind power prediction methods often struggle to provide accurate and reliable predictions in the presence of sudden changes in wind speed and power output. To address this challenge, this study…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-19 Yifan Xu

Wind turbines play a critical role in the shift toward sustainable energy generation. Their operation relies on multiple interconnected components, and a failure in any of these can compromise the entire system's functionality. Detecting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 Nejad Alagha , Anis Salwa Mohd Khairuddin , Obada Al-Khatib , Abigail Copiaco

Accurate prediction of wind speed and power is vital for enhancing the efficiency of wind energy systems. Numerous solutions have been implemented to date, demonstrating their potential to improve forecasting. Among these, deep learning is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Mulomba Mukendi Christian , Yun Seon Kim , Hyebong Choi , Jaeyoung Lee , SongHee You

Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial across a wide range of domains. While presenting notable progress for the Transformer architecture, iTransformer still lags behind the latest MLP-based models. We attribute this performance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-12 Zhiwei Zhang , Xinyi Du , Xuanchi Guo , Weihao Wang , Wenjuan Han

Ensemble model output statistics (EMOS) is a statistical tool for post-processing forecast ensembles of weather variables obtained from multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models in order to produce calibrated predictive…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-03-31 Sándor Baran , Sebastian Lerch
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