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相关论文: Markovian Persuasion with Stochastic Revelations

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We study a model of information aggregation and social learning recently proposed by Jadbabaie, Sandroni, and Tahbaz-Salehi, in which individual agents try to learn a correct state of the world by iteratively updating their beliefs using…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2011-03-24 Pooya Molavi , Ali Jadbabaie

We study a two-player, zero-sum, stochastic game with incomplete information on one side in which the players are allowed to play more and more frequently. The informed player observes the realization of a Markov chain on which the payoffs…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-07-15 Pierre Cardaliaguet , Catherine Rainer , Dinah Rosenberg , Nicolas Vieille

Agents receive private signals about an unknown state. The resulting joint belief distributions are complex and lack a simple characterization. Our key insight is that, when conditioned on the state, the structure of belief distributions…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-19 Itai Arieli , Yakov Babichenko , Fedor Sandomirskiy

Information design (ID) explores how a sender influence the optimal behavior of receivers to achieve specific objectives. While ID originates from everyday human communication, existing game-theoretic and machine learning methods often…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2025-02-04 Wenhao Li , Yue Lin , Xiangfeng Wang , Bo Jin , Hongyuan Zha , Baoxiang Wang

The combination of the Bayesian game and learning has a rich history, with the idea of controlling a single agent in a system composed of multiple agents with unknown behaviors given a set of types, each specifying a possible behavior for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-21 Tongxin Li , Tinashe Handina , Shaolei Ren , Adam Wierman

We study an information design problem with two informed senders and a receiver in which, in contrast to traditional Bayesian persuasion settings, senders do not have commitment power. In our setting, a trusted mediator/platform gathers…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2022-11-30 Itai Arieli , Ivan Geffner , Moshe Tennenholtz

This paper addresses a mathematically tractable model of the Prisoner's Dilemma using the framework of active inference. In this work, we design pairs of Bayesian agents that are tracking the joint game state of their and their opponent's…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-08-31 Daphne Demekas , Conor Heins , Brennan Klein

Markovian population models are suitable abstractions to describe well-mixed interacting particle systems in situation where stochastic fluctuations are significant due to the involvement of low copy particles. In molecular biology,…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2014-01-17 Christoph Zechner , Federico Wadehn , Heinz Koeppl

Stochastic models in which agents interact with their neighborhood according to a network topology are a powerful modeling framework to study the emergence of complex dynamic patterns in real-world systems. Stochastic simulations are often…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-01-27 Gerrit Großmann , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

Sender-receiver games are simple models of information transmission that provide a formalism to study the evolution of honest signaling and deception between a sender and a receiver. In many practical scenarios, lies often affect groups of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-12-01 Aanjaneya Kumar , Sandeep Chowdhary , Valerio Capraro , Matjaz Perc

Distributed decision-makers are modeled as players in a game with two levels. High level decisions concern the game environment and determine the willingness of the players to form a coalition (or group). Low level decisions involve the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2013-02-28 Edward A. Billard

The paper addresses a problem of sequential bilateral bargaining with incomplete information. We proposed a decision model that helps agents to successfully bargain by performing indirect negotiation and learning the opponent's model.…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2024-09-11 Tatiana V. Guy , Jitka Homolová , Aleksej Gaj

Beliefs inform the behavior of forward-thinking agents in complex environments. Recently, sequential Bayesian inference has emerged as a mechanism to study belief formation among agents adapting to dynamical conditions. However, we lack…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2023-11-08 Jordan T Kemp , Max-Olivier Hongler , Olivier Gallay

We study a model of consensus decision making, in which a finite group of Bayesian agents has to choose between one of two courses of action. Each member of the group has a private and independent signal at his or her disposal, giving some…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-24 Elchanan Mossel , Omer Tamuz

We study memory dependent binary-state dynamics, focusing on the noisy-voter model. This is a non-Markovian process if we consider the set of binary states of the population as the description variables, or Markovian if we incorporate…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-02-25 Antonio F. Peralta , Nagi Khalil , Raul Toral

Perceptions of political bias in the media are formed directly, through the independent consumption of the published outputs of a media organization, and indirectly, through observing the collective responses of political allies and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-06-28 Nicholas Kah Yean Low , Andrew Melatos

We study an extension of the voter model in which each agent is endowed with an innate preference for one of two states that we term as "truth" or "falsehood". Due to interactions with neighbors, an agent that innately prefers truth can be…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2011-05-03 Naoki Masuda , S. Redner

We consider an environment where players need to decide whether to buy a certain product (or adopt a technology) or not. The product is either good or bad, but its true value is unknown to the players. Instead, each player has her own…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-07-22 Ilai Bistritz , Nasimeh Heydaribeni , Achilleas Anastasopoulos

We consider a Markovian stochastic control problem with model uncertainty. The controller (intelligent player) observes only the state, and, therefore, uses feed-back (closed-loop) strategies. The adverse player (nature) who does not have a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-04-09 Mihai Sîrbu

We study a regime change game in which the state and an opposition leader both observe the regime's true strength and may engage in costly communication by manipulating the mean of citizens' private signals. Each citizen then decides…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-12 Georgy Lukyanov , Anastasia Makhmudova