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Prediction of power outages caused by convective storms which are highly localised in space and time is of crucial importance to power grid operators. We propose a new machine learning approach to predict the damage caused by storms. This…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-07-03 Roope Tervo , Joonas Karjalainen , Alexander Jung

Geomagnetic activity is often described using summary indices to summarize the likelihood of space weather impacts, as well as when parameterizing space weather models. The geomagnetic index $\text{K}_\text{p}$ in particular, is widely used…

空间物理 · 物理学 2020-07-07 S. Chakraborty , S. K. Morley

Weather forecasting is an essential task to tackle global climate change. Weather forecasting requires the analysis of multivariate data generated by heterogeneous meteorological sensors. These sensors comprise of ground-based sensors,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-16 Gaganpreet Singh , Surya Durbha , Shreelakshmi C R

Solar storms perturb Earth's magnetosphere, triggering geomagnetic storms that threaten space-based systems and infrastructure. Despite advances in spaceborne and ground-based observations, the causal chain driving…

空间物理 · 物理学 2025-08-12 Xinan Dai , Haiyang Fu , Zichong Yan , Zitong Wang , Feng Xu , Chi Wang , Yuhong Liu , YaQiu Jin

Geomagnetic storms are large-scale disturbances of the Earth's magnetosphere driven by solar wind interactions, posing significant risks to space-based and ground-based infrastructure. The Disturbance Storm Time (Dst) index quantifies…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-04-28 Stefano Markidis , Jonah Ekelund , Luca Pennati , Andong Hu , Ivy Peng

Geomagnetic storms (GSTs) driven by solar wind-magnetosphere coupling can severely disrupt technological systems, motivating the need for improved prediction accuracy and longer warning times. In this study, we develop a physics-informed…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-12-29 Zongyuan Ge , Chenwaner Zhang , Wei Zhou , Hongyu Zeng , Guiping Zhou

Space weather forecasting is critical for mitigating radiation risks in space exploration and protecting Earth-based technologies from geomagnetic disturbances. This paper presents the development of a Machine Learning (ML)- ready data…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-02-13 Maher A Dayeh , Michael J Starkey , Subhamoy Chatterjee , Heather Elliott , Samuel Hart , Kimberly Moreland

Developing methods to predict disastrous natural phenomena is more important than ever, and tornadoes are among the most dangerous ones in nature. Due to the unpredictability of the weather, counteracting them is not an easy task and today…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-12 Davide Alessandro Coccomini , Giuliano Zara

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

Traditionally, weather predictions are performed with the help of large complex models of physics, which utilize different atmospheric conditions over a long period of time. These conditions are often unstable because of perturbations of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-26 A H M Jakaria , Md Mosharaf Hossain , Mohammad Ashiqur Rahman

Dust storms are common in arid zones on the earth and others planets such as Mars. The impact of dust storms on solar radiation has significant implications for solar power plants and autonomous vehicles powered by solar panels. This paper…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2018-09-03 B. Ravindra

Meteorologists use shapes and movements of clouds in satellite images as indicators of several major types of severe storms. Satellite imaginary data are in increasingly higher resolution, both spatially and temporally, making it impossible…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-06-26 Xinye Zheng , Jianbo Ye , Yukun Chen , Stephen Wistar , Jia Li , Jose A. Piedra-Fernández , Michael A. Steinberg , James Z. Wang

Atmospheric Extreme Events (EEs) cause severe damages to human societies and ecosystems. The frequency and intensity of EEs and other associated events are increasing in the current climate change and global warming risk. The accurate…

Decades of in-situ solar wind measurements have clearly established the variation of solar wind physical parameters. These variable parameters have been used to classify the solar wind magnetized plasma into different types leading to…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-09-17 Tom Narock , Sanchita Pal , Aryana Arsham , Ayris Narock , Teresa Nieves-Chinchilla

Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GICs) arise from spatio-temporal changes to Earth's magnetic field which arise from the interaction of the solar wind with Earth's magnetosphere, and drive catastrophic destruction to our technologically…

The numerous recent breakthroughs in machine learning (ML) make imperative to carefully ponder how the scientific community can benefit from a technology that, although not necessarily new, is today living its golden age. This Grand…

空间物理 · 物理学 2019-10-02 Enrico Camporeale

Solar flares are among the most powerful and dynamic events in the solar system, resulting from the sudden release of magnetic energy stored in the Sun's atmosphere. These energetic bursts of electromagnetic radiation can release up to…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-05-07 Julia Bringewald

We consider the problem of predicting power outages in an electrical power grid due to hazards produced by convective storms. These storms produce extreme weather phenomena such as intense wind, tornadoes and lightning over a small area. In…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-05-22 Roope Tervo , Joonas Karjalainen , Alexander Jung

Understanding and forecasting the geoeffectiveness of a coronal mass ejection (CME) is crucial for protecting infrastructure in the near-Earth space environment and on Earth. In this study, we present a novel fusion model to forecast the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-05-26 Zhaoxin Yan , Jason T. L. Wang , Haimin Wang , Harim Lee , Ju Jing , Yan Xu , Chunhui Xu , Vasyl Yurchyshyn

We present the first real-time predictions of coronal mass ejection (CME) magnetic structure and resulting geomagnetic impact at Earth for two events using far-upstream observations from Solar Orbiter during March 2024. While our approach…