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Estimating latent epidemic states and model parameters from partially observed, noisy data remains a major challenge in infectious disease modeling. State-space formulations provide a coherent probabilistic framework for such inference, yet…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Dhorasso Temfack , Jason Wyse

Accurate click-through rate (CTR) prediction is vital for online advertising and recommendation systems. Recent deep learning advancements have improved the ability to capture feature interactions and understand user interests. However,…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-02-24 Kefan Wang , Hao Wang , Kenan Song , Wei Guo , Kai Cheng , Zhi Li , Yong Liu , Defu Lian , Enhong Chen

Counterfactual explanations (CEs) offer a human-understandable way to explain decisions by identifying specific changes to the input parameters of a base or present model that would lead to a desired change in the outcome. For optimization…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-01-06 Felix Engelhardt , Jannis Kurtz , Ş. İlker Birbil , Ted Ralphs

Given the vital importance of search engines to find digital information, there has been much scientific attention on how users interact with search engines, and how such behavior can be modeled. Many models on user - search engine…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2021-11-23 Corné de Ruijt , Sandjai Bhulai

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a vital task in industrial recommendation systems. Most existing methods focus on the network architecture design of the CTR model for better accuracy and suffer from the data sparsity problem.…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-12-19 Qi Liu , Xuyang Hou , Defu Lian , Zhe Wang , Haoran Jin , Jia Cheng , Jun Lei

This paper investigates an under-explored but important problem: given a collection of pre-trained neural networks, predicting their performance on each multi-modal task without fine-tuning them, such as image recognition, referring,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-14 Fanqing Meng , Wenqi Shao , Zhanglin Peng , Chonghe Jiang , Kaipeng Zhang , Yu Qiao , Ping Luo

Accurate estimates of examination bias are crucial for unbiased learning-to-rank from implicit feedback in search engines and recommender systems, since they enable the use of Inverse Propensity Score (IPS) weighting techniques to address…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2019-05-27 Zhichong Fang , Aman Agarwal , Thorsten Joachims

We consider Bayesian online static parameter estimation for state-space models. This is a very important problem, but is very computationally challenging as the state- of-the art methods that are exact, often have a computational cost that…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-03 Yan Zhou , Ajay Jasra

Estimating position bias is a well-known challenge in Learning to Rank (L2R). Click data in e-commerce applications, such as targeted advertisements and search engines, provides implicit but abundant feedback to improve personalized…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2024-03-13 Shion Ishikawa , Yun Ching Liu , Young-Joo Chung , Yu Hirate

Coarsened exact matching (CEM) is often promoted as a superior alternative to propensity score matching (PSM) for addressing imbalance, model dependence, bias, and efficiency. However, this recommendation remains uncertain. First, CEM is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Fei Wan

Inference-time computation techniques, analogous to human System 2 Thinking, have recently become popular for improving model performances. However, most existing approaches suffer from several limitations: they are modality-specific (e.g.,…

SEMMS (Scalable Empirical-Bayes Model for Marker Selection) is a variable-selection procedure for generalized linear models that uses a three-component normal mixture prior on regression coefficients. In its original form, SEMMS assumes…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Haim Bar , Martin T. Wells

Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction, a core task in recommendation systems, estimates user click likelihood using historical behavioral data. Modeling user behavior sequences as text to leverage Language Models (LMs) for this task has…

User journeys in e-commerce routinely violate the one-to-one assumption that a clicked item on an advertising platform is the same item later purchased on the merchant's website/app. For a significant number of converting sessions on our…

Most existing unbiased learning-to-rank (ULTR) approaches are based on the user examination hypothesis, which assumes that users will click a result only if it is both relevant and observed (typically modeled by position). However, in…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-02-19 Lulu Yu , Keping Bi , Jiafeng Guo , Shihao Liu , Dawei Yin , Xueqi Cheng

We study data-driven decision-making problems in the Bayesian framework, where the expectation in the Bayes risk is replaced by a risk-sensitive entropic risk measure. We focus on problems where calculating the posterior distribution is…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-09-13 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

Interest in an electronic health record-based computational model that can accurately predict a patient's risk of sepsis at a given point in time has grown rapidly in the last several years. Like other EHR vendors, the Epic Systems…

Besides position bias, which has been well-studied, trust bias is another type of bias prevalent in user interactions with rankings: users are more likely to click incorrectly w.r.t. their preferences on highly ranked items because they…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2020-09-10 Ali Vardasbi , Harrie Oosterhuis , Maarten de Rijke

Models that learn spurious correlations from training data often fail when deployed in new environments. While many methods aim to learn invariant representations to address this, they often underperform standard empirical risk minimization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Ruqi Bai , Yao Ji , Zeyu Zhou , David I. Inouye

Although multi-interest recommenders have achieved significant progress in the matching stage, our research reveals that existing models tend to exhibit an under-clustered item embedding space, which leads to a low discernibility between…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-11-30 Yaokun Liu , Xiaowang Zhang , Minghui Zou , Zhiyong Feng