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相关论文: Behavioral uncertainty quantification for data-dri…

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Flight dynamics involve uncertainties in parameters, aerodynamic derivatives, and engine thrust. These uncertainties can be categorized into three types: known-predictable, known-unpredictable, and unknown. While advanced control systems…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-02-15 Mostafa Eslami , Afshin Banazadeh

Many applications of machine learning methods involve an iterative protocol in which data are collected, a model is trained, and then outputs of that model are used to choose what data to consider next. For example, one data-driven approach…

Explainability and uncertainty quantification are key to trustable artificial intelligence. However, the reasoning behind uncertainty estimates is generally left unexplained. Identifying the drivers of uncertainty complements explanations…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-13 Pascal Iversen , Simon Witzke , Katharina Baum , Bernhard Y. Renard

We present an extension of Willems' Fundamental Lemma to the class of multi-input multi-output discrete-time feedback linearizable nonlinear systems, thus providing a data-based representation of their input-output trajectories. Two sources…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-17 Mohammad Alsalti , Victor G. Lopez , Julian Berberich , Frank Allgöwer , Matthias A. Müller

Aleatoric uncertainty quantification seeks for distributional knowledge of random responses, which is important for reliability analysis and robustness improvement in machine learning applications. Previous research on aleatoric uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-10 Ziyi Huang , Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

The abundance of process operating data in modern industries, along with the rapid advancement of learning techniques, has led to a paradigm shift towards data-centric analysis and control. However, integrating machine learning with control…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-16 Yitao Yan , Yu Tong , Jie Bao , Wei Wang

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

Uncertainty-quantification methods are applied to estimate the confidence of deep-neural-networks classifiers over their predictions. However, most widely used methods are known to be overconfident. We address this problem by developing an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-19 Luigi Sbailò , Luca M. Ghiringhelli

Equation learning aims to infer differential equation models from data. While a number of studies have shown that differential equation models can be successfully identified when the data are sufficiently detailed and corrupted with…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2021-09-30 Simon Martina-Perez , Matthew J. Simpson , Ruth E. Baker

Trust is a crucial factor affecting the adoption of machine learning (ML) models. Qualitative studies have revealed that end-users, particularly in the medical domain, need models that can express their uncertainty in decision-making…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-21 Andrew Houston , Georgina Cosma

We propose a general framework for studying optimal impulse control problem in the presence of uncertainty on the parameters. Given a prior on the distribution of the unknown parameters, we explain how it should evolve according to the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-12-06 N. Baradel , B. Bouchard , Ngoc Minh Dang

This survey presents recent research on determining control-theoretic properties and designing controllers with rigorous guarantees using semidefinite programming and for nonlinear systems for which no mathematical models but measured…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-11-06 Tim Martin , Thomas B. Schön , Frank Allgöwer

Recent work in data-driven control has revived behavioral theory to perform a variety of complex control tasks, by directly plugging libraries of past input-output trajectories into optimal control problems. Despite recent advances, a key…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-03-25 Luca Furieri , Baiwei Guo , Andrea Martin , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate

Precise estimation of predictive uncertainty in deep neural networks is a critical requirement for reliable decision-making in machine learning and statistical modeling, particularly in the context of medical AI. Conformal Prediction (CP)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-05 Hamed Karimi , Reza Samavi

Accurate quantification of model uncertainty has long been recognized as a fundamental requirement for trusted AI. In regression tasks, uncertainty is typically quantified using prediction intervals calibrated to an ad-hoc operating point,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-06 Jiri Navratil , Benjamin Elder , Matthew Arnold , Soumya Ghosh , Prasanna Sattigeri

Uncertainty in machine learning refers to the degree of confidence or lack thereof in a model's predictions. While uncertainty quantification methods exist, explanations of uncertainty, especially in high-dimensional settings, remain an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-30 Isaac Roberts , Alexander Schulz , Sarah Schroeder , Fabian Hinder , Barbara Hammer

A rise in popularity of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs), attributed to more powerful GPUs and widely available datasets, has seen them being increasingly used within safety-critical domains. One such domain, self-driving, has benefited from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-19 Rhiannon Michelmore , Marta Kwiatkowska , Yarin Gal

Over the past two decades, there has been a growing interest in control systems research to transition from model-based methods to data-driven approaches. In this study, we aim to bridge a divide between conventional model-based control and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-02-05 Yasaman Pedari , Jaeho Lee , Yongsoon Eun , Hamid Ossareh

Robotic systems often use predictive uncertainty to decide whether to act autonomously or defer to a fallback policy. In threshold-gated autonomy, uncertainty matters mainly through its ability to rank likely errors. Standard metrics such…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Johannes A. Gaus , Jhon P. F. Charaja , Daniel Haeufle

We develop a control algorithm that ensures the safety, in terms of confinement in a set, of a system with unknown, 2nd-order nonlinear dynamics. The algorithm establishes novel connections between data-driven and robust, nonlinear control.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-05-17 Christos K. Verginis , Franck Djeumou , Ufuk Topcu