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Bayesian analyses combine information represented by different terms in a joint Bayesian model. When one or more of the terms is misspecified, it can be helpful to restrict the use of information from suspect model components to modify…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-27 Xuejun Yu , David J. Nott , Michael Stanley Smith

The estimation of non-Gaussian measurement noise models is a significant challenge across various fields. In practical applications, it often faces challenges due to the large number of parameters and high computational complexity. This…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-09-25 Zuxuan Zhang , Gang Wang , Jiacheng He , Shan Zhong

Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-01 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

Variational Bayesian (VB) methods produce posterior inference in a time frame considerably smaller than traditional Markov Chain Monte Carlo approaches. Although the VB posterior is an approximation, it has been shown to produce good…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-02 Nathaniel Tomasetti , Catherine S. Forbes , Anastasios Panagiotelis

We describe a variational approximation method for efficient inference in large-scale probabilistic models. Variational methods are deterministic procedures that provide approximations to marginal and conditional probabilities of interest.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-05-30 T. S. Jaakkola , M. I. Jordan

Bayesian phylogenetic inference is currently done via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) with simple proposal mechanisms. This hinders exploration efficiency and often requires long runs to deliver accurate posterior estimates. In this paper,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-24 Cheng Zhang , Frederick A. Matsen

Variational inference has been widely used in machine learning literature to fit various Bayesian models. In network analysis, this method has been successfully applied to solve the community detection problems. Although these results are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-22 Xuezhen Li , Can M. Le

We propose a Bayesian approach for recursively estimating the classifier weights in online learning of a classifier ensemble. In contrast with past methods, such as stochastic gradient descent or online boosting, our approach estimates the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-07-09 Qinxun Bai , Henry Lam , Stan Sclaroff

A wide class of Bayesian models involve unidentifiable random matrices that display rotational ambiguity, with the Gaussian factor model being a typical example. A rich variety of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have been…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-08-16 Evan Poworoznek , Niccolo Anceschi , Federico Ferrari , David Dunson

Factors models are routinely used to analyze high-dimensional data in both single-study and multi-study settings. Bayesian inference for such models relies on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods which scale poorly as the number of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-29 Blake Hansen , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , Massimiliano Russo , Roberta De Vito

We propose a sampling algorithm to perform system identification from a set of input-output graph signal pairs. The dynamics of the systems we study are given by a partially known adjacency matrix and a generic parametric graph filter of…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-01-01 Martín Sevilla , Santiago Segarra

In this paper, we address the fusion problem in wireless sensor networks, where the cross-correlation between the estimates is unknown. To solve the problem within the Bayesian framework, we assume that the covariance matrix has a prior…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-09-14 Zhiyuan Weng , Petar Djuric

Inference for GP models with non-Gaussian noises is computationally expensive when dealing with large datasets. Many recent inference methods approximate the posterior distribution with a simpler distribution defined on a small number of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-11 Linfeng Liu , Liping Liu

We tackle the problem of system identification, where we select inputs, observe the corresponding outputs from the true system, and optimize the parameters of our model to best fit the data. We propose a practical and computationally…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-02 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

In theory, Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) models are well suited to streaming data scenarios due to their ability to adapt model complexity with the observed data. Unfortunately, such benefits have not been fully realized in practice;…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-04-22 Alex Tank , Nicholas J. Foti , Emily B. Fox

Factorization machines (FMs) are a powerful tool for regression and classification in the context of sparse observations, that has been successfully applied to collaborative filtering, especially when side information over users or items is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-21 Jill-Jênn Vie , Tomas Rigaux , Hisashi Kashima

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

We propose a new variational inference algorithm for learning in Gaussian Process State-Space Models (GPSSMs). Our algorithm enables learning of unstable and partially observable systems, where previous algorithms fail. Our main algorithmic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-11 Silvan Melchior , Sebastian Curi , Felix Berkenkamp , Andreas Krause

Many modern unsupervised or semi-supervised machine learning algorithms rely on Bayesian probabilistic models. These models are usually intractable and thus require approximate inference. Variational inference (VI) lets us approximate a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-24 Cheng Zhang , Judith Butepage , Hedvig Kjellstrom , Stephan Mandt