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Multiple instance learning (MIL) is concerned with learning from sets (bags) of objects (instances), where the individual instance labels are ambiguous. In this setting, supervised learning cannot be applied directly. Often, specialized MIL…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-12-04 Veronika Cheplygina , David M. J. Tax , Marco Loog

We conduct a post hoc analysis of solar flare predictions made by a Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model employing data in the form of Space-weather HMI Active Region Patches (SHARP) parameters calculated from data in proximity to the…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-03-11 Hu Sun , Ward Manchester , Zhenbang Jiao , Xiantong Wang , Yang Chen

Ways to give medium- and short-term predictions of solar flares are proposed according to the statistical analysis of events during solar cycle 23. On one hand, the time distribution of both C and M class flares shows two main periods of…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2008-11-17 Z. Q. Qu

Spectroscopic observations of solar flares provide critical diagnostics of the physical conditions in the flaring atmosphere. Some key features in observed spectra have not yet been accounted for in existing flare models. Here we report a…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2016-08-16 Fatima Rubio da Costa , Lucia Kleint , Vahé Petrosian , Wei Liu , Joel C. Allred

The precise physical process that triggers solar flares is not currently understood. Here we attempt to capture the signature of this mechanism in solar image data of various wavelengths and use these signatures to predict flaring activity.…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2018-03-14 Eric Jonas , Monica G. Bobra , Vaishaal Shankar , J. Todd Hoeksema , Benjamin Recht

This study aims to evaluate the performance of deep learning models in predicting $\geq$M-class solar flares with a prediction window of 24 hours, using hourly sampled full-disk line-of-sight (LoS) magnetogram images, particularly focusing…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-06-18 Chetraj Pandey , Rafal A. Angryk , Berkay Aydin

Accurate solar flare prediction is crucial due to the significant risks that intense solar flares pose to astronauts, space equipment, and satellite communication systems. Our research enhances solar flare prediction by utilizing advanced…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-09-24 MohammadReza EskandariNasab , Shah Muhammad Hamdi , Soukaina Filali Boubrahimi

In recent years, there has been a rapid growth in the application of machine learning techniques that leverage aviation data collected from commercial airline operations to improve safety. Anomaly detection and predictive maintenance have…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-11 Marc-Henri Bleu-Laine , Tejas G. Puranik , Dimitri N. Mavris , Bryan Matthews

Solar flares occur in complex sunspot groups, but it remains unclear how the probability of producing a flare of a given magnitude relates to the characteristics of the sunspot group. Here, we use Geostationary Operational Environmental…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2012-02-28 D. Shaun Bloomfield , Paul A. Higgins , R. T. James McAteer , Peter T. Gallagher

The Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph(IRIS) with its high spatial and temporal resolution brings exceptional plasma diagnostics of solar chromospheric and coronal activity during magnetic reconnection. The aim of this work is to study…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-01-20 Reetika Joshi , Brigitte Schmieder , Akiko Tei , Guillaume Aulanier , Juraj Lörinčík , Ramesh Chandra , Petr Heinzel

This study explores the behavior of machine learning-based flare forecasting models deployed in a simulated operational environment. Using Georgia State University's Space Weather Analytics for Solar Flares benchmark dataset (Angryk et al.…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-02-09 Griffin T. Goodwin , Viacheslav M. Sadykov , Petrus C. Martens

We present the first rates of flares from M dwarf stars in both red optical and near infrared (NIR) filters. We have studied ~50,000 M dwarfs from the SDSS Stripe 82 area, and 1,321 M dwarfs from the 2MASS Calibration Scan Point Source…

When applying multi-instance learning (MIL) to make predictions for bags of instances, the prediction accuracy of an instance often depends on not only the instance itself but also its context in the corresponding bag. From the viewpoint of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-04-25 Tiancheng Lin , Hongteng Xu , Canqian Yang , Yi Xu

The detection of induced pluripotent stem cell (iPSC) colonies often needs the precise extraction of the colony features. However, existing computerized systems relied on segmentation of contours by preprocessing for classifying the colony…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-03-10 Novanto Yudistira , Muthu Subash Kavitha , Jeny Rajan , Takio Kurita

The bulk of the radiative output of a solar flare is emitted from the chromosphere, which produces enhancements in the optical and UV continuum, and in many lines, both optically thick and thin. We have, until very recently, lacked…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-10-07 Graham S. Kerr , Paulo J. A. Simões , Jiong Qiu , Lyndsay Fletcher

Understanding how energy is released in flares is one of the central problems of solar and stellar astrophysics. Observations of high temperature flare plasma hold many potential clues as to the nature of this energy release. It is clear,…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-05-27 Jeffrey W. Reep , Harry P. Warren , Christopher S. Moore , Crisel Suarez , Laura A. Hayes

We develop a mixed Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) regression model to predict the maximum solar flare intensity within a 24-hour time window 0$\sim$24, 6$\sim$30, 12$\sim$36 and 24$\sim$48 hours ahead of time using 6, 12, 24 and 48 hours of…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-08-26 Zhenbang Jiao , Hu Sun , Xiantong Wang , Ward Manchester , Tamas Gombosi , Alfred Hero , Yang Chen

We present a case study of solar flare forecasting by means of metadata feature time series, by treating it as a prominent class-imbalance and temporally coherent problem. Taking full advantage of pre-flare time series in solar active…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-05-26 Azim Ahmadzadeh , Berkay Aydin , Manolis K. Georgoulis , Dustin J. Kempton , Sushant S. Mahajan , Rafal A. Angryk

Multiple Instance Learning (MIL) is widely used in medical imaging classification to reduce the labeling effort. While only bag labels are available for training, one typically seeks predictions at both bag and instance levels…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-11-19 Francisco M. Castro-Macías , Pablo Morales-Álvarez , Yunan Wu , Rafael Molina , Aggelos K. Katsaggelos

We attempt to forecast M-and X-class solar flares using a machine-learning algorithm, called Support Vector Machine (SVM), and four years of data from the Solar Dynamics Observatory's Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager, the first instrument…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-01-09 Monica G. Bobra , Sebastien Couvidat