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Since the launch on 2018/08/12, Parker Solar Probe (PSP) has completed its first and second orbits around the Sun, having reached down to 35.7 solar radii at each perihelion. In anticipation of the exciting new data at such unprecedented…

The simulation of atmospheric flows by means of traditional discretization methods remains computationally intensive, hindering the achievement of high forecasting accuracy in short time frames. In this paper, we apply three reduced order…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-07-19 Arash Hajisharifi , Michele Girfoglio , Annalisa Quaini , Gianluigi Rozza

The solar wind, a continuous outflow of charged particles from the Sun's corona, shapes the heliosphere and impacts space systems near Earth. Accurate prediction of features such as high-speed streams and coronal mass ejections is critical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-20 Reza Mansouri , Dustin Kempton , Pete Riley , Rafal Angryk

The input of the Solar wind models plays a significant role in accurate solar wind predictions at 1 AU. This work introduces a synthetic magnetogram produced from a dynamo model as an input for Magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) simulations. We…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2022-10-13 Kalpa Henadhira Arachchige , Ofer Cohen , Andrés Muñoz Jaramillo , Anthony R. Yeates

Inspired by the concept of relativity of simultaneity used in the theory of special relativity, a new approach is proposed to simulate future solar wind conditions at any point in the inner solar system. An important distinctive feature of…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-01-22 Igor V. Sokolov , Tamas I. Gombosi

Knowledge about the background solar wind plays a crucial role in the framework of space weather forecasting. In-situ measurements of the background solar wind are only available for a few points in the heliosphere where spacecraft are…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2013-12-05 C. Gressl , A. M. Veronig , M. Temmer , D. Odstrcil , J. A. Linker , Z. Mikic , P. Riley

The heliospheric modulation model HelMod solve the transport-equation for the Galactic Cosmic Rays propagation through the heliosphere down to Earth. It is based on a 2-D Monte Carlo approach, that includes a general description of the…

Forecasting models of the solar wind often rely on simple parameterizations of the magnetic field that ignore the effects of the full magnetic field geometry. In this paper, we present the results of two solar wind prediction models that…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-19 Lauren N. Woolsey , Steven R. Cranmer

Solar wind modelling has become a crucial area of study due to the increased dependence of modern society on technology, navigation, and power systems. Accurate space weather forecasts can predict upcoming threats to Earth's geospace. In…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-07-26 Tinatin Baratashvili , Michaela Brchnelova , Luis Linan , Andrea Lani , Stefaan Poedts

The solar wind (SW) is a vital component of space weather, providing a background for solar transients such as coronal mass ejections, stream interaction regions, and energetic particles propagating toward Earth. Accurate prediction of…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-08-25 Dinesha V. Hegde , Tae K. Kim , Nikolai V. Pogorelov , Shaela I. Jones , Charles N. Arge

We present a reduced magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) mathematical model describing the dynamical behavior of highly conducting plasmas with frozen-in magnetic fields, constrained by the assumption that, there exists a frame of reference, where…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2022-02-23 Igor V Sokolov , Lulu Zhao , Tamas I Gombosi

This article discusses the magnetic connectivity between the Sun and the Earth, which is essential for understanding solar wind and space weather events. Due to limited direct observations, reliable simulations are necessary. The most…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-11-20 Silke Kennis , Barbara Perri , Stefaan Poedts

Accurate forecasting of the solar wind has grown in importance as society becomes increasingly dependent on technology that is susceptible to space weather events. This work describes an inner boundary condition for ambient solar wind…

空间物理 · 物理学 2022-07-22 Kaine A. Bunting , Huw Morgan

This paper provides a detailed description of the latest version of our model of the solar wind (SW) interaction with the local interstellar medium (LISM). This model has already been applied to the analysis of Lyman-alpha absorption…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-10-28 Vladislav Izmodenov , Dmitry Alexashov

Studying the ambient solar wind, a continuous pressure-driven plasma flow emanating from our Sun, is an important component of space weather research. The ambient solar wind flows in interplanetary space determine how solar storms evolve…

As climate change intensifies, the shift to cleaner energy sources becomes increasingly urgent. With wind energy production set to accelerate, reliable wind probabilistic forecasts are essential to ensure its efficient use. However, since…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-08 Jean-Sébastien Giroux , Simon-Philippe Breton , Julie Carreau

We describe, test, and apply a technique to incorporate full-sun, surface flux evolution into an MHD model of the global solar corona. Requiring only maps of the evolving surface flux, our method is similar to that of Lionello et al.…

The structure and dynamics of the magnetospheres of the outer planets, particularly Saturn and Jupiter, have been explored both through remote and in-situ observations. Interpreting these observations often necessitates simultaneous…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2021-09-22 Mathew Owens , Jonathan Nichols

Reduced order modeling (ROM) aims to mitigate computational complexity by reducing the size of a high-dimensional state space. In this study, we demonstrate the efficiency, accuracy, and stability of proper orthogonal decomposition…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-04-17 Yusuf Aydogdu , Navaratnam Sri Namachchivaya

For short-term solar irradiance forecasting, the traditional point forecasting methods are rendered less useful due to the non-stationary characteristic of solar power. The amount of operating reserves required to maintain reliable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-02 Sakshi Mishra , Praveen Palanisamy