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The COVID-19 pandemic's severe impact highlighted the need for accurate and timely hospitalization forecasting to support effective healthcare planning. However, most forecasting models struggled, particularly during variant surges, when…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-17 Zhongying Wang , Thoai D. Ngo , Hamidreza Zoraghein , Benjamin Lucas , Morteza Karimzadeh

We introduce a data-driven forecasting method for high-dimensional chaotic systems using long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural networks. The proposed LSTM neural networks perform inference of high-dimensional dynamical systems in…

The recent worldwide outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has opened up new challenges to the research community. Artificial intelligence (AI) driven methods can be useful to predict the parameters, risks, and effects of such an…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-09-17 Ratnabali Pal , Arif Ahmed Sekh , Samarjit Kar , Dilip K. Prasad

This paper demonstrates the potentials of the long short-term memory (LSTM) when applyingwith macroeconomic time series data sampled at different frequencies. We first present how theconventional LSTM model can be adapted to the time series…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-09-29 Sarun Kamolthip

Short-term rainfall forecasting, also known as precipitation nowcasting has become a potentially fundamental technology impacting significant real-world applications ranging from flight safety, rainstorm alerts to farm irrigation timings.…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-10-25 Maitreya Patel , Anery Patel , Dr. Ranendu Ghosh

Electricity demand forecasting is a well established research field. Usually this task is performed considering historical loads, weather forecasts, calendar information and known major events. Recently attention has been given on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-14 Yun Bai , Simon Camal , Andrea Michiorri

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) has a profound impact on global health and economy, making it crucial to build accurate and interpretable data-driven predictive models for COVID-19 cases to improve policy making. The extremely large…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-02 Yangyi Zhang , Sui Tang , Guo Yu

Inflation is one of the most important economic indicators closely watched by both public institutions and private agents. This study compares the performance of a traditional econometric model, Mixed Data Sampling regression, with one of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-07-12 Adam Bahelka , Harmen de Weerd

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

This work aims to implement Long Short-Term Memory mixture density networks (LSTM-MDNs) for Value-at-Risk forecasting and compare their performance with established models (historical simulation, CMM, and GARCH) using a defined backtesting…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-01-03 Nico Herrig

Financial markets are highly complex and volatile; thus, learning about such markets for the sake of making predictions is vital to make early alerts about crashes and subsequent recoveries. People have been using learning tools from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-11 Kelum Gajamannage , Yonggi Park

In power grids, short-term load forecasting (STLF) is crucial as it contributes to the optimization of their reliability, emissions, and costs, while it enables the participation of energy companies in the energy market. STLF is a…

Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) which are a branch of artificial intelligence, have shown their high value in lots of applications and are used as a suitable forecasting method. Therefore, this study aims at forecasting imports in OECD…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-02-06 Soheila Khajoui , Saeid Dehyadegari , Sayyed Abdolmajid Jalaee

This paper improves wind power prediction via weather forecast-contextualized Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network (LSTM) models. Initially, only wind power data was fed to a generic LSTM, but this model performed poorly, with erratic and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-06 Maximilian Du

We introduce for the first time the utilization of Long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network architectures for the compensation of fiber nonlinearities in digital coherent systems. We conduct numerical simulations considering either…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-12-16 Stavros Deligiannidis , Adonis Bogris , Charis Mesaritakis , Yannis Kopsinis

This paper applies a recurrent neural network, the LSTM, to forecast inflation. This is an appealing model for time series as it processes each time step sequentially and explicitly learns dynamic dependencies. The paper also explores the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-03 Livia Paranhos

Social scientists and psychologists take interest in understanding how people express emotions and sentiments when dealing with catastrophic events such as natural disasters, political unrest, and terrorism. The COVID-19 pandemic is a…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-09-15 Rohitash Chandra , Aswin Krishna

This paper develops Bayesian econometric methods for posterior inference in non-parametric mixed frequency VARs using additive regression trees. We argue that regression tree models are ideally suited for macroeconomic nowcasting in the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-02 Florian Huber , Gary Koop , Luca Onorante , Michael Pfarrhofer , Josef Schreiner

Autoregressive Recurrent Neural Networks are widely employed in time-series forecasting tasks, demonstrating effectiveness in univariate and certain multivariate scenarios. However, their inherent structure does not readily accommodate the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Gareth Davies

We are concerned with robust and accurate forecasting of multiphase flow rates in wells and pipelines during oil and gas production. In practice, the possibility to physically measure the rates is often limited; besides, it is desirable to…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-02-16 Nikolai Andrianov