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In this paper we analyze a space-time unfitted finite element method for the discretization of scalar surface partial differential equations on evolving surfaces. For higher order approximations of the evolving surface we use the technique…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-11-26 Arnold Reusken , Hauke Sass

We construct flexible spatio-temporal models through stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) where both diffusion and advection can be spatially varying. Computations are done through a Gaussian Markov random field approximation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-29 Martin Outzen Berild , Geir-Arne Fuglstad

Recent advancements in deep learning have led to the development of various models for long-term multivariate time-series forecasting (LMTF), many of which have shown promising results. Generally, the focus has been on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-28 Shiyi Qi , Zenglin Xu , Yiduo Li , Liangjian Wen , Qingsong Wen , Qifan Wang , Yuan Qi

We present a generic framework for spatio-temporal (ST) data modeling, analysis, and forecasting, with a special focus on data that is sparse in both space and time. Our multi-scaled framework is a seamless coupling of two major components:…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-04-04 Bao Wang , Xiyang Luo , Fangbo Zhang , Baichuan Yuan , Andrea L. Bertozzi , P. Jeffrey Brantingham

Continuously-observed event occurrences, often exhibit self- and mutually-exciting effects, which can be well modeled using temporal point processes. Beyond that, these event dynamics may also change over time, with certain periodic trends.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-11 Sikun Yang , Hongyuan Zha

Data-driven modeling is useful for reconstructing nonlinear dynamical systems when the underlying process is unknown or too expensive to compute. Having reliable uncertainty assessment of the forecast enables tools to be deployed to predict…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-01 Mengyang Gu , Yizi Lin , Victor Chang Lee , Diana Qiu

To improve the physical understanding and the predictions of complex dynamic systems, such as ocean dynamics and weather predictions, it is of paramount interest to identify interpretable models from coarsely and off-grid sampled…

计算物理 · 物理学 2021-05-04 Gert-Jan Both , Georges Tod , Remy Kusters

Conditional diffusion models provide a natural framework for probabilistic prediction of dynamical systems and have been successfully applied to fluid dynamics and weather prediction. However, in many settings, the available information at…

We consider a randomised implementation of the finite element method (FEM) for elliptic partial differential equations on high-dimensional models. This is motivated by applications where model predictions are essential for real-time process…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-07-30 Yue Wu , Dimitris Kamilis , Nick Polydorides

We extract data-driven, intrinsic spatial coordinates from observations of the dynamics of large systems of coupled heterogeneous agents. These coordinates then serve as an emergent space in which to learn predictive models in the form of…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2020-12-24 Felix P. Kemeth , Tom Bertalan , Thomas Thiem , Felix Dietrich , Sung Joon Moon , Carlo R. Laing , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Learning dynamics governing physical and spatiotemporal processes is a challenging problem, especially in scenarios where states are partially measured. In this work, we tackle the problem of learning dynamics governing these systems when…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-13 Paul Ghanem , Ahmet Demirkaya , Tales Imbiriba , Alireza Ramezani , Zachary Danziger , Deniz Erdogmus

Can evolving networks be inferred and modeled without directly observing their nodes and edges? In many applications, the edges of a dynamic network might not be observed, but one can observe the dynamics of stochastic cascading processes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-26 Elahe Ghalebi , Baharan Mirzasoleiman , Radu Grosu , Jure Leskovec

We introduce a novel procedure that, given sparse data generated from a stationary deterministic nonlinear dynamical system, can characterize specific local and/or global dynamic behavior with rigorous probability guarantees. More…

Modeling sequential patterns from data is at the core of various time series forecasting tasks. Deep learning models have greatly outperformed many traditional models, but these black-box models generally lack explainability in prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-23 Yingtao Luo , Chang Xu , Yang Liu , Weiqing Liu , Shun Zheng , Jiang Bian

The modeling of complicated time-evolving physical dynamics from partial observations is a long-standing challenge. Particularly, observations can be sparsely distributed in a seemingly random or unstructured manner, making it difficult to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-23 Fan Xu , Hao Wu , Nan Wang , Lilan Peng , Kun Wang , Wei Gong , Xibin Zhao

This paper presents a probabilistic approach to represent and quantify model-form uncertainties in the reduced-order modeling of complex systems using operator inference techniques. Such uncertainties can arise in the selection of an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-11-08 Jin Yi Yong , Rudy Geelen , Johann Guilleminot

We propose a new class of parameterizations for spatio-temporal point processes which leverage Neural ODEs as a computational method and enable flexible, high-fidelity models of discrete events that are localized in continuous time and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-19 Ricky T. Q. Chen , Brandon Amos , Maximilian Nickel

A systematic Bayesian framework is developed for physics constrained parameter inference ofstochastic differential equations (SDE) from partial observations. The physical constraints arederived for stochastic climate models but are…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-11-25 Daniel Peavoy , Christian L. E. Franzke , Gareth O. Roberts

We present a method that employs physics-informed deep learning techniques for parametrically solving partial differential equations. The focus is on the steady-state heat equations within heterogeneous solids exhibiting significant phase…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-05 Shahed Rezaei , Ahmad Moeineddin , Michael Kaliske , Markus Apel

Macroscopic dynamical descriptions of complex physical systems are crucial for understanding and controlling material behavior. With the growing availability of data and compute, machine learning has become a promising alternative to…

计算物理 · 物理学 2026-03-24 Mengyi Chen , Pengru Huang , Kostya S. Novoselov , Qianxiao Li