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We introduce a novel framework for upsampled Point Spread Function (PSF) modeling using pixel-level Bayesian inference. Accurate PSF characterization is critical for precision measurements in many fields including: weak lensing, astrometry,…

Many inference problems involve inferring the number $N$ of components in some region, along with their properties $\{\mathbf{x}_i\}_{i=1}^N$, from a dataset $\mathcal{D}$. A common statistical example is finite mixture modelling. In the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-01-15 Brendon J. Brewer

Current endeavours in exoplanet characterisation rely on atmospheric retrieval to quantify crucial physical properties of remote exoplanets from observations. However, the scalability and efficiency of the technique are under strain with…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-11-17 Kai Hou Yip , Quentin Changeat , Ahmed Al-Refaie , Ingo Waldmann

Neural posterior estimation methods based on discrete normalizing flows have become established tools for simulation-based inference (SBI), but scaling them to high-dimensional problems can be challenging. Building on recent advances in…

Bayesian inference methods rely on numerical algorithms for both model selection and parameter inference. In general, these algorithms require a high computational effort to yield reliable estimates. One of the major challenges in…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2018-08-09 Patricio Maturana , Brendon J. Brewer , Steffen Klaere , Remco Bouckaert

In this article, an overview of Bayesian methods for sequential simulation from posterior distributions of nonlinear and non-Gaussian dynamic systems is presented. The focus is mainly laid on sequential Monte Carlo methods, which are based…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-28 Konstantinos E. Tatsis , Vasilis K. Dertimanis , Eleni N. Chatzi

We present an asymptotic analysis of the minimum probability of error (MPE) in inferring the correct hypothesis in a Bayesian multi-hypothesis testing (MHT) formalism using many pixels of data that are corrupted by signal dependent shot…

光学 · 物理学 2015-06-19 Sudhakar Prasad

Sampling from the posterior is a key technical problem in Bayesian statistics. Rigorous guarantees are difficult to obtain for Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms of common use. In this paper, we study an alternative class of algorithms…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-26 Andrea Montanari , Yuchen Wu

Neural networks are being extensively used for modelling data, especially in the case where no likelihood can be formulated. Although in the case of X-ray spectral fitting, the likelihood is known, we aim to investigate the neural networks…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2024-02-22 Didier Barret , Simon Dupourqué

Posterior inference from pulsar observations in the form of light curves is commonly performed using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, which are accurate but computationally expensive. We introduce a framework that accelerates posterior…

Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPMs) have emerged as powerful tools for generative modeling. However, their sequential computation requirements lead to significant inference-time bottlenecks. In this work, we utilize the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-08 Hengyuan Hu , Aniket Das , Dorsa Sadigh , Nima Anari

We extend the Bayesian model fitting shape measurement method presented in Miller et al. (2007) and use the method to estimate the shear from the Shear TEsting Programme simulations (STEP). The method uses a fast model fitting algorithm…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-13 T. D. Kitching , L. Miller , C. E. Heymans , L. van Waerbeke , A. F. Heavens

We introduce a flexible, scalable Bayesian inference framework for nonlinear dynamical systems characterised by distinct and hierarchical variability at the individual, group, and population levels. Our model class is a generalisation of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-03 Geoffrey Roeder , Paul K. Grant , Andrew Phillips , Neil Dalchau , Edward Meeds

We consider the problem of estimating parameters of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with discrete-time observations that are either completely or partially observed. The transition density between two observations is generally…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-09-09 Libo Sun , Chihoon Lee , Jennifer A. Hoeting

We provide a library of some 7000 SEDs for starbursts and ultra luminous galaxies (http://www.eso.org/~rsiebenm/sb_models). Its purpose is to quickly obtain estimates of the basic parameters, such as luminosity, size and dust or gas mass…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Ralf Siebenmorgen , Endrik Kruegel

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has become an essential part of the Bayesian toolbox for addressing problems in which the likelihood is prohibitively expensive or entirely unknown, making it intractable. ABC defines a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-14 Hien D. Nguyen , Julyan Arbel , Hongliang Lü , Florence Forbes

Denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPMs) are a class of powerful generative models. The past few years have witnessed the great success of DDPMs in generating high-fidelity samples. A significant limitation of the DDPMs is the slow…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-04-25 Yansong Gao , Zhihong Pan , Xin Zhou , Le Kang , Pratik Chaudhari

Many modern applications of Bayesian inference, such as in cosmology, are based on complicated forward models with high-dimensional parameter spaces. This considerably limits the sampling of posterior distributions conditioned on observed…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2024-09-17 Marco Raveri , Cyrille Doux , Shivam Pandey

Outliers can seriously distort statistical inference by inducing excessive sensitivity in the likelihood function, thereby compromising the reliability of Bayesian estimation. To address this issue, we develop a robust Bayesian estimation…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-09 Jeongho Lee , Junmo Song

We compare the spectral energy distributions (SEDs) and inferred physical properties for simulated and observed galaxies at low redshift. We exploit UV-submillimetre mock fluxes of ~7000 z=0 galaxies from the EAGLE suite of cosmological…

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