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In a smooth semiparametric estimation problem, the marginal posterior for the parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically normal and satisfy frequentist criteria of optimality if the model is endowed with a suitable prior. It is…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-05-30 P. J. Bickel , B. J. K. Kleijn

In a smooth semiparametric model, the marginal posterior distribution of the finite dimensional parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically equivalent to the sampling distribution of frequentist's efficient estimators. This is…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-20 Minwoo Chae

Formulating a statistical inverse problem as one of inference in a Bayesian model has great appeal, notably for what this brings in terms of coherence, the interpretability of regularisation penalties, the integration of all uncertainties,…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-12-19 Natalia A. Bochkina , Peter J. Green

Bayesian inference provides a framework to combine various model components with shared parameters, allowing joint uncertainty estimation and the use of all available data sources. Unfortunately, misspecification of any part of the model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-13 Emilia Pompe , Mikołaj J. Kasprzak , Pierre E. Jacob

We propose a Bayesian hidden Markov model for analyzing time series and sequential data where a special structure of the transition probability matrix is embedded to model explicit-duration semi-Markovian dynamics. Our formulation allows…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-23 Beniamino Hadj-Amar , Jack Jewson , Mark Fiecas

In a smooth semi-parametric model, the marginal posterior distribution for a finite dimensional parameter of interest is expected to be asymptotically equivalent to the sampling distribution of any efficient point-estimator. The assertion…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-26 Minwoo Chae , Yongdai Kim , Bas Kleijn

The use of non parametric hidden Markov models with finite state space is flourishing in practice while few theoretical guarantees are known in this framework. Here, we study asymptotic guarantees for these models in the Bayesian framework.…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-11-30 Elodie Vernet

In this paper, we consider nonparametric multidimensional finite mixture models and we are interested in the semiparametric estimation of the population weights. Here, the i.i.d. observations are assumed to have at least three components…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-14 Elisabeth Gassiat , Judith Rousseau , Elodie Vernet

The major goal of this paper is to study the second order frequentist properties of the marginal posterior distribution of the parametric component in semiparametric Bayesian models, in particular, a second order semiparametric…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-17 Yun Yang , Guang Cheng , David B. Dunson

We consider a prior for nonparametric Bayesian estimation which uses finite random series with a random number of terms. The prior is constructed through distributions on the number of basis functions and the associated coefficients. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-02-10 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

We consider a sparse linear regression model with unknown symmetric error under the high-dimensional setting. The true error distribution is assumed to belong to the locally $\beta$-H\"{o}lder class with an exponentially decreasing tail,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-01 Kyoungjae Lee , Minwoo Chae , Lizhen Lin

In high-dimensional Bayesian statistics, various methods have been developed, including prior distributions that induce parameter sparsity to handle many parameters. Yet, these approaches often overlook the rich spectral structure of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-06 Tomoya Wakayama , Masaaki Imaizumi

We derive posterior contraction rates (PCRs) and finite-sample Bernstein von Mises (BvM) results for non-parametric Bayesian models by extending the diffusion-based framework of Mou et al. (2024) to the infinite-dimensional setting. The…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-25 Enric Alberola-Boloix , Ioar Casado-Telletxea

We study full Bayesian procedures for high-dimensional linear regression. We adopt data-dependent empirical priors introduced in [1]. In their paper, these priors have nice posterior contraction properties and are easy to compute. Our paper…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-14 Xiao Fang , Malay Ghosh

This paper presents new theory and methodology for the Bayesian estimation of overfitted hidden Markov models, with finite state space. The goal is then to achieve posterior emptying of extra states. A prior configuration is constructed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-02-09 Zoé van Havre , Judith Rousseau , Nicole White , Kerrie Mengersen

Due to their conjugate posteriors, Gaussian process priors are attractive for estimating the drift of stochastic differential equations with continuous time observations. However, their performance strongly depends on the choice of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-04 Jan van Waaij

Gaussian time-series models are often specified through their spectral density. Such models present several computational challenges, in particular because of the non-sparse nature of the covariance matrix. We derive a fast approximation of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-11-20 Nicolas Chopin , Judith Rousseau , Brunero Liseo

This paper aims at developing a quasi-Bayesian analysis of the nonparametric instrumental variables model, with a focus on the asymptotic properties of quasi-posterior distributions. In this paper, instead of assuming a distributional…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-21 Kengo Kato

We consider the efficient inference of finite dimensional parameters arising in the context of inverse problems. Our setup is the observation of a transformation of an unknown infinite dimensional signal $f$ corrupted by statistical noise,…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-02-03 Adel Magra , Aad van der Vaart

We consider nonparametric Bayesian inference in a multidimensional diffusion model with reflecting boundary conditions based on discrete high-frequency observations. We prove a general posterior contraction rate theorem in $L^2$-loss, which…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-12 Marc Hoffmann , Kolyan Ray
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