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Causal discovery outputs a causal structure, represented by a graph, from observed data. For time series data, there is a variety of methods, however, it is difficult to evaluate these on real data as realistic use cases very rarely come…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-31 Søren Wengel Mogensen , Karin Rathsman , Per Nilsson

One major drawback of state-of-the-art artificial intelligence is its lack of explainability. One approach to solve the problem is taking causality into account. Causal mechanisms can be described by structural causal models. In this work,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-09-07 Nico Reick , Felix Wiewel , Alexander Bartler , Bin Yang

Inferring causal relationships in observational time series data is an important task when interventions cannot be performed. Granger causality is a popular framework to infer potential causal mechanisms between different time series. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-22 Zexuan Yin , Paolo Barucca

Causal inference is a critical task across fields such as healthcare, economics, and the social sciences. While recent advances in machine learning, especially those based on the deep-learning architectures, have shown potential in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-30 Manqing Liu , David R. Bellamy , Andrew L. Beam

Dependence between nodes in a network is an important concept that pervades many areas including finance, politics, sociology, genomics and the brain sciences. One way to characterize dependence between components of a multivariate time…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-08 Malik Shahid Sultan , Samuel Horvath , Hernando Ombao

Structural causal models are the basic modelling unit in Pearl's causal theory; in principle they allow us to solve counterfactuals, which are at the top rung of the ladder of causation. But they often contain latent variables that limit…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-11-23 Marco Zaffalon , Alessandro Antonucci , Rafael Cabañas

The problem of estimating high-dimensional network models arises naturally in the analysis of many physical, biological and socio-economic systems. Examples include stock price fluctuations in financial markets and gene regulatory networks…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-09 Sumanta Basu , Ali Shojaie , George Michailidis

It is a challenging research endeavor to infer causal relationships in multivariate observational time-series. Such data may be represented by graphs, where nodes represent time-series, and edges directed causal influence scores between…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-05-09 Axel Wismüller , Ali Vosoughi , Adora DSouza , Anas Abidin

Explaining underlying causes or effects about events is a challenging but valuable task. We define a novel problem of generating explanations of a time series event by (1) searching cause and effect relationships of the time series with…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2018-04-26 Dongyeop Kang , Varun Gangal , Ang Lu , Zheng Chen , Eduard Hovy

That physiological oscillations of various frequencies are present in fMRI signals is the rule, not the exception. Herein, we propose a novel theoretical framework, spatio-temporal Granger causality, which allows us to more reliably and…

The Granger framework is useful for discovering causal relations in time-varying signals. However, most Granger causality (GC) methods are developed for densely sampled timeseries data. A substantially different setting, particularly common…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-19 Minh Nguyen , Gia H. Ngo , Mert R. Sabuncu

We introduce the Salesforce CausalAI Library, an open-source library for causal analysis using observational data. It supports causal discovery and causal inference for tabular and time series data, of discrete, continuous and heterogeneous…

This article proposes a systematic methodological review and objective criticism of existing methods enabling the derivation of time-varying Granger-causality statistics in neuroscience. The increasing interest and the huge number of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-04-12 Sezen Cekic , Didier Grandjean , Olivier Renaud

Granger causality is a commonly used method for uncovering information flow and dependencies in a time series. Here we introduce JGC (Jacobian Granger Causality), a neural network-based approach to Granger causality using the Jacobian as a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-20 Suryadi , Yew-Soon Ong , Lock Yue Chew

The exploration of Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) for processing graph-structured data has expanded, particularly their potential for causal analysis due to their universal approximation capabilities. Anticipated to significantly enhance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-30 Simi Job , Xiaohui Tao , Taotao Cai , Lin Li , Haoran Xie , Jianming Yong

Knowledge of the underlying causal relations is essential for inferring the effect of interventions in complex systems. In a widely studied approach, structural causal models postulate noisy functional relations among interacting variables,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-21 David Strieder , Mathias Drton

The use of Internet in the every day life has pushed its evolution in a very fast way. The heterogeneity of the equipments supporting its networks, as well as the different devices from which it can be accessed, have participated in…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2014-04-23 Hadrien Hours , Ernst Biersack , Patrick Loiseau

We consider the problem of learning models for forecasting multiple time-series systems together with discovering the leading indicators that serve as good predictors for the system. We model the systems by linear vector autoregressive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-11-03 Magda Gregorova , Alexandros Kalousis , Stéphane Marchand-Maillet

Granger causality is well established within the neurosciences for inference of directed functional connectivity from neurophysiological data. These data usually consist of time series which subsample a continuous-time biophysiological…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-09-08 Lionel Barnett , Anil K. Seth

Complex IoT ecosystems often require the usage of Digital Twins (DTs) of their physical assets in order to perform predictive analytics and simulate what-if scenarios. DTs are able to replicate IoT devices and adapt over time to their…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2024-01-02 Luca Sciullo , Alberto De Marchi , Angelo Trotta , Federico Montori , Luciano Bononi , Marco Di Felice