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相关论文: Cross validation for model selection: a primer wit…

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It is crucial to assess the predictive performance of a model to establish its practicality and relevance in real-world scenarios, particularly for high-dimensional data analysis. Among data splitting or resampling methods, cross-validation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-26 Iris Ivy Gauran , Hernando Ombao , Zhaoxia Yu

Leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV) is a popular method for estimating out-of-sample predictive accuracy. However, computing LOO-CV criteria can be computationally expensive due to the need to fit the model multiple times. In the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-09-28 Luca Silva , Giacomo Zanella

Cross-validation can be used to measure a model's predictive accuracy for the purpose of model comparison, averaging, or selection. Standard leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV) requires that the observation model can be factorized into…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-21 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Jonah Gabry , Aki Vehtari

One of the common goals of time series analysis is to use the observed series to inform predictions for future observations. In the absence of any actual new data to predict, cross-validation can be used to estimate a model's future…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-02 Paul-Christian Bürkner , Jonah Gabry , Aki Vehtari

Mutation validation (MV) is a recently proposed approach for model selection, garnering significant interest due to its unique characteristics and potential benefits compared to the widely used cross-validation (CV) method. In this study,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-25 Jinyang Yu , Sami Hamdan , Leonard Sasse , Abigail Morrison , Kaustubh R. Patil

Cross-Validation (CV), and out-of-sample performance-estimation protocols in general, are often employed both for (a) selecting the optimal combination of algorithms and values of hyper-parameters (called a configuration) for producing the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-28 Ioannis Tsamardinos , Elissavet Greasidou , Michalis Tsagris , Giorgos Borboudakis

There is increasing interest in the use of diagnostic rules based on microarray data. These rules are formed by considering the expression levels of thousands of genes in tissue samples taken on patients of known classification with respect…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 G. J. McLachlan , J. Chevelu , J. Zhu

Information criteria have had a profound impact on modern ecological science. They allow researchers to estimate which probabilistic approximating models are closest to the generating process. Unfortunately, information criterion comparison…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-23 Jose-Miguel Ponciano , Mark L Taper

This paper addresses feature subset selection for Support Vector Machines (SVMs) based on the cross-validation criterion. Unlike statistical criteria such as the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and the Bayesian information criterion…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-05-11 Masaharu Mori , Shunnosuke Ikeda , Ryuta Tamura , Yuichi Takano , Ryuhei Miyashiro

Model-based component-wise gradient boosting is a popular tool for data-driven variable selection. In order to improve its prediction and selection qualities even further, several modifications of the original algorithm have been developed,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-28 Sophie Potts , Elisabeth Bergherr , Constantin Reinke , Colin Griesbach

Model comparison is the cornerstone of theoretical progress in psychological research. Common practice overwhelmingly relies on tools that evaluate competing models by balancing in-sample descriptive adequacy against model flexibility, with…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-11 Viet-Hung Dao , David Gunawan , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Robert Kohn , Guy E. Hawkins , Scott D. Brown

Cross-validation is a popular non-parametric method for evaluating the accuracy of a predictive rule. The usefulness of cross-validation depends on the task we want to employ it for. In this note, I discuss a simple non-parametric setting,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-27 Stefan Wager

Many versions of cross-validation (CV) exist in the literature; and each version though has different variants. All are used interchangeably by many practitioners; yet, without explanation to the connection or difference among them. This…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-31 Waleed A. Yousef

Regression models fitted to data can be assessed on their goodness of fit, though models with many parameters should be disfavored to prevent over-fitting. Statisticians' tools for this are little known to physical scientists. These include…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-05-28 Robert S. Maier

Modern data analysis and statistical learning are marked by complex data structures and black-box algorithms. Data complexity stems from technologies such as imaging, remote sensing, wearable devices, and genomic sequencing. At the same…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-30 Jing Lei

Cross-validation (CV) is routinely used across the sciences to select models and tune parameters, and the resulting choices are often interpreted as substantive scientific conclusions (e.g., which variables, mechanisms, or risk factors are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Kenichiro McAlinn , Kōsaku Takanashi

Statistical machine learning models should be evaluated and validated before putting to work. Conventional k-fold Monte Carlo Cross-Validation (MCCV) procedure uses a pseudo-random sequence to partition instances into k subsets, which…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-07-05 Liang Guo , Jianya Liu , Ruodan Lu

Cross-validation assesses the predictive ability of a model, allowing one to rank models accordingly. Although the nonparametric bootstrap is almost always used to assess the variability of a parameter, it can be used as the basis for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-09-30 James Stephens Cavenaugh

We study estimator selection and hyper-parameter tuning in off-policy evaluation. Although cross-validation is the most popular method for model selection in supervised learning, off-policy evaluation relies mostly on theory, which provides…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-23 Matej Cief , Branislav Kveton , Michal Kompan

Robust estimators for linear regression require non-convex objective functions to shield against adverse affects of outliers. This non-convexity brings challenges, particularly when combined with penalization in high-dimensional settings.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-08 David Kepplinger , Siqi Wei