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We present a Bayesian approach to estimate the parameters of mathematical models of cardiac electrophysiology with quantified uncertainty. Such models capture the dynamics of the electrical signal that coordinates the muscle cell…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-04-02 Maarten Volkaerts , Marie Cloet , Hans Dierckx , Piet Claus , Giovanni Samaey

Potential of electrical loads in providing grid ancillary services is often limited due to the uncertainties associated with the load behavior. A knowledge of the expected uncertainties with a load control program would invariably yield to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-07-25 Soumya Kundu , Jacob Hansen , Jianming Lian , Karan Kalsi

Experimental results from mechanical viscoelastic as well as dielectric relaxation times were compared to theoretical expectations utilizing polymer scaling theory. Viscoelastic relaxation of a hydrogel at 33% relative humidity fabricated…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2025-08-22 Jorge Monreal

Computational cardiovascular models are promising tools for clinical decision support, particularly in complex conditions, such as intraoperative hypotension (IOH). IOH arises from different mechanisms, making treatment selection…

医学物理 · 物理学 2025-09-19 Jan-Niklas Thiel , Marko Zlicar , Ulrich Steinseifer , Borut Kirn , Michael Neidlin

In this article we consider static Bayesian parameter estimation for partially observed diffusions that are discretely observed. We work under the assumption that one must resort to discretizing the underlying diffusion process, for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-01-23 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Kody J. H. Law , Yan Zhou

In this paper we consider the parameter estimation problem associated to partially-observed time changed SDEs, with observations that are given at discrete times. In particular we consider both likelihood and Bayesian estimation. We develop…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-12 Ke Zhao , Ajay Jasra

Due to the processes that occur during the functioning of modern electromechanical systems, these systems can be considered complex nonlinear dynamic systems from the point of view of the theory of dynamic systems. The movement of such…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-12-10 Roman Voliansky

Accurate and reliable electricity load forecasts are becoming increasingly important as the share of intermittent resources in the system increases. Distribution System Operators (DSOs) are called to accurately forecast their production and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-11 Pål Forr Austnes , Celia García-Pareja , Fabio Nobile , Mario Paolone

Predicting corporate default risk has long been a crucial topic in the finance field, as bankruptcies impose enormous costs on market participants as well as the economy as a whole. This paper aims to forecast frailty correlated default…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2023-08-22 Ha Nguyen

We introduce a mesoscopic model of dynamic Tetra-PEG hydrogel networks based on a hybrid Dissipative Particle Dynamics/Monte Carlo (DPD/MC) approach. Polymer chains are described by Finite Extensible Nonlinear Elastic (FENE) potential,…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2026-03-23 Pietro Miotti , Lucien Cousin , Mark W. Tibbitt , Igor V. Pivkin

Calibrating mathematical models of biological processes is essential for achieving predictive accuracy and gaining mechanistic insight. However, this task remains challenging due to limited and noisy data, significant biological…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-12-04 Piotr Gwiazda , Alexey Kazarnikov , Anna Marciniak-Czochra , Zuzanna Szymańska

This paper addresses the critical challenge of estimating the reliability of an Electric Vehicle (EV) charging systems when facing risks such as overheating, unpredictable, weather, and cyberattacks. Traditional methods for predicting…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-19 Himanshu Tripathi , Subash Neupane , Shahram Rahimi , Noorbakhsh Amiri Golilarz , Sudip Mittal , Mohammad Sepehrifar

The Linear Ballistic Accumulator (Brown & Heathcote, 2008) model is used as a measurement tool to answer questions about applied psychology. The analyses based on this model depend upon the model selected and its estimated parameters.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-03 David Gunawan , Guy E. Hawkins , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Robert Kohn , Scott Brown

This work introduces a novel methodology to assess the performance of Piezoelectric Energy Harvesters (PEHs) in order to study auxetic enhancement possibilities. For this purpose, a new approach for evaluating the intrinsic effective…

材料科学 · 物理学 2025-01-09 Grégoire Forges , David Gibus , Adrien Morel , Adrien Badel , Héléne Debéda

In this article, we describe a {\tt R} package for sampling from an empirical likelihood-based posterior using a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method. Empirical likelihood-based methodologies have been used in Bayesian modeling of many problems…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Dang Trung Kien , Neo Han Wei , Sanjay Chaudhuri

The dependency structure of credit risk parameters is a key driver for capital consumption and receives regulatory and scientific attention. The impact of parameter imperfections on the quality of expected loss (EL) in the sense of a fair,…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2013-10-03 Wolfgang Reitgruber

Traditionally, yield strength prediction relies on detailed and resource-intensive microstructural characterization combined with empirical equations. However, quantifying microstructural feature length scales for novel processes like…

材料科学 · 物理学 2024-12-12 Abhinav Chandraker , Sampad Barik , Nichenametla Jai Sai , Ankur Chauhan

This work introduces the use of multivariate global sensitivity analysis for assessing the impact of uncertain electric machine design parameters on efficiency maps and profiles. Contrary to the common approach of applying variance-based…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-04-29 Aylar Partovizadeh , Sebastian Schöps , Dimitrios Loukrezis

Reaction-diffusion models are widely used to study spatially-extended chemical reaction systems. In order to understand how the dynamics of a reaction-diffusion model are affected by changes in its input parameters, efficient methods for…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2017-03-08 Christopher Lester , Christian A. Yates , Ruth E. Baker

Uncertainty in the aging of batteries in battery electric vehicles impacts both the daily driving range as well as the expected economic lifetime. This paper presents a method to determine online the capacity and internal resistance of a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-11-26 Camiel J. J. Beckers , Feye S. J. Hoekstra , Frank Willems