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Uncertainty estimation in machine learning is paramount for enhancing the reliability and interpretability of predictive models, especially in high-stakes real-world scenarios. Despite the availability of numerous methods, they often pose a…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-08-16 Anton Baumann , Thomas Roßberg , Michael Schmitt

Many problems in engineering and sciences require the solution of large scale optimization constrained by partial differential equations (PDEs). Though PDE-constrained optimization is itself challenging, most applications pose additional…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-01-06 Joseph Hart , Bart van Bloemen Waanders , Roland Herzog

In machine learning, uncertainty quantification helps assess the reliability of model predictions, which is important in high-stakes scenarios. Traditional approaches often emphasize predictive accuracy, but there is a growing focus on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Jake S. Rhodes , Scott D. Brown , J. Riley Wilkinson

Despite the popularity of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), the problem of uncertainty quantification (UQ) of CNN has been largely overlooked. Lack of efficient UQ tools severely limits the application of CNN in certain areas, such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-15 Hongfei Du , Emre Barut , Fang Jin

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have demonstrated remarkable performance across various domains, including computer vision and natural language processing. However, they often struggle to accurately quantify the uncertainty of their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-14 Adrien Lafage , Olivier Laurent , Firas Gabetni , Gianni Franchi

Ensuring the runtime safety of autonomous systems remains challenging due to deep learning components' inherent uncertainty and their sensitivity to environmental changes. In this paper, we propose an enhancement of traditional uncertainty…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Radouane Bouchekir , Michell Guzman Cancimance

In chemistry, deep neural network models have been increasingly utilized in a variety of applications such as molecular property predictions, novel molecule designs, and planning chemical reactions. Despite the rapid increase in the use of…

化学物理 · 物理学 2019-05-17 Seongok Ryu , Yongchan Kwon , Woo Youn Kim

In object detection with deep neural networks, the box-wise objectness score tends to be overconfident, sometimes even indicating high confidence in presence of inaccurate predictions. Hence, the reliability of the prediction and therefore…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-10-07 Marius Schubert , Karsten Kahl , Matthias Rottmann

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have made a revolution in numerous fields during the last decade. However, in tasks with high safety requirements, such as medical or autonomous driving applications, providing an assessment of the models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-20 Omer Achrack , Raizy Kellerman , Ouriel Barzilay

Deep learning (DL) has shown great potential in medical image enhancement problems, such as super-resolution or image synthesis. However, to date, little consideration has been given to uncertainty quantification over the output image. Here…

When the cost of misclassifying a sample is high, it is useful to have an accurate estimate of uncertainty in the prediction for that sample. There are also multiple types of uncertainty which are best estimated in different ways, for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-18 Richard Harang , Ethan M. Rudd

We consider the problem of uncertainty quantification in high dimensional regression and classification for which deep ensemble have proven to be promising methods. Recent observations have shown that deep ensemble often return…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-11 Antoine de Mathelin , Francois Deheeger , Mathilde Mougeot , Nicolas Vayatis

Reliable uncertainty quantification in deep neural networks is very crucial in safety-critical applications such as automated driving for trustworthy and informed decision-making. Assessing the quality of uncertainty estimates is…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-12-12 Neslihan Kose , Ranganath Krishnan , Akash Dhamasia , Omesh Tickoo , Michael Paulitsch

Deep neural networks are increasingly being used for the analysis of medical images. However, most works neglect the uncertainty in the model's prediction. We propose an uncertainty-aware deep kernel learning model which permits the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-11 Zhiliang Wu , Yinchong Yang , Jindong Gu , Volker Tresp

We introduce a physics-informed Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) with flow approximated posteriors using multiplicative normalizing flows (MNF) for detailed uncertainty quantification (UQ) at the physics event-level. Our method is capable of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-05 Cristiano Fanelli , James Giroux

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is crucial for deploying machine learning models in high-stakes applications, where overconfident predictions can lead to serious consequences. An effective UQ method must balance computational efficiency…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-23 Taeseong Yoon , Heeyoung Kim

We propose a numerical method for discovering unknown parameterized dynamical systems by using observational data of the state variables. Our method is built upon and extends the recent work of discovering unknown dynamical systems, in…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-03-11 Tong Qin , Zhen Chen , John Jakeman , Dongbin Xiu

In this paper we introduce a novel way of estimating prediction uncertainty in deep networks through the use of uncertainty surrogates. These surrogates are features of the penultimate layer of a deep network that are forced to match…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-19 Radhakrishna Achanta , Natasa Tagasovska

Epistemic uncertainty quantification (UQ) identifies where models lack knowledge. Traditional UQ methods, often based on Bayesian neural networks, are not suitable for pre-trained non-Bayesian models. Our study addresses quantifying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-17 Hanjing Wang , Qiang Ji

Countless research works of deep neural networks (DNNs) in the task of credit card fraud detection have focused on improving the accuracy of point predictions and mitigating unwanted biases by building different network architectures or…

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