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相关论文: Bayesian Spillover Graphs for Dynamic Networks

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A plethora of networks is being collected in a growing number of fields, including disease transmission, international relations, social interactions, and others. As data streams continue to grow, the complexity associated with these highly…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-09-11 Daniele Durante , Nabanita Mukherjee , Rebecca C. Steorts

In this work, we demonstrate the Empirical Bayes approach to learning a Dynamic Bayesian Network. By starting with several point estimates of structure and weights, we can use a data-driven prior to subsequently obtain a model to quantify…

The adaptive processing of structured data is a long-standing research topic in machine learning that investigates how to automatically learn a mapping from a structured input to outputs of various nature. Recently, there has been an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-28 Federico Errica

Graphs are ubiquitous in modelling relational structures. Recent endeavours in machine learning for graph-structured data have led to many architectures and learning algorithms. However, the graph used by these algorithms is often…

In this work we explore a new framework for approximate Bayesian inference in large datasets based on stochastic control (i.e. Schr\"odinger bridges). We advocate stochastic control as a finite time and low variance alternative to popular…

Post-earthquake hazard and impact estimation are critical for effective disaster response, yet current approaches face significant limitations. Traditional models employ fixed parameters regardless of geographical context, misrepresenting…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-08 Xuechun Li , Shan Gao , Runyu Gao , Susu Xu

The rich information underlying graphs has inspired further investigation of unsupervised graph representation. Existing studies mainly depend on node features and topological properties within static graphs to create self-supervised…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Yiming Xu , Zhen Peng , Bin Shi , Xu Hua , Bo Dong

In an age where information spreads rapidly across social media, effectively identifying influential nodes in dynamic networks is critical. Traditional influence maximization strategies often fail to keep up with rapidly evolving…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Priyanka Gautam , Balasubramaniam Natarajan , Sai Munikoti , S M Ferdous , Mahantesh Halappanavar

Nonlinear dynamics are ubiquitous in science and engineering applications, but the physics of most complex systems is far from being fully understood. Discovering interpretable governing equations from measurement data can help us…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-18 Luning Sun , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Hao Sun , Jian-Xun Wang

Spatiotemporal graph represents a crucial data structure where the nodes and edges are embedded in a geometric space and can evolve dynamically over time. Nowadays, spatiotemporal graph data is becoming increasingly popular and important,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-02 Yuanqi Du , Xiaojie Guo , Hengning Cao , Yanfang Ye , Liang Zhao

Representing the nodes of continuous-time temporal graphs in a low-dimensional latent space has wide-ranging applications, from prediction to visualization. Yet, analyzing continuous-time relational data with timestamped interactions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-28 Raphaël Romero , Jefrey Lijffijt , Riccardo Rastelli , Marco Corneli , Tijl De Bie

A Bayesian network is a probabilistic graphical model that consists of a directed acyclic graph (DAG), where each node is a random variable and attached to each node is a conditional probability distribution (CPD). A Bayesian network can be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-04 Charupriya Sharma , Zhenyu A. Liao , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

Living systems have time-evolving interactions that, until recently, could not be identified accurately from recorded time series in the presence of noise. Stankovski et al. (Phys. Rev. Lett. 109 024101, 2012) introduced a method based on…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-01-14 Andrea Duggento , Tomislav Stankovski , Peter V. E. McClintock , Aneta Stefanovska

Mathematical models of cognition are often memoryless and ignore potential fluctuations of their parameters. However, human cognition is inherently dynamic. Thus, we propose to augment mechanistic cognitive models with a temporal dimension…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-21 Lukas Schumacher , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Andreas Voss , Ullrich Köthe , Stefan T. Radev

Bayesian network is a frequently-used method for fault detection and diagnosis in industrial processes. The basis of Bayesian network is structure learning which learns a directed acyclic graph (DAG) from data. However, the search space…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-02-07 Zhichao Chen , Zhiqiang Ge

Accurate simulation of granular flow dynamics is crucial for assessing various geotechnical risks, including landslides and debris flows. Granular flows involve a dynamic rearrangement of particles exhibiting complex transitions from…

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-12-13 Yongjin Choi , Krishna Kumar

This paper develops forecasting methodology and application of new classes of dynamic models for time series of non-negative counts. Novel univariate models synthesise dynamic generalized linear models for binary and conditionally Poisson…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-07 Lindsay Berry , Mike West

Modeling and predicting temporal point processes (TPPs) is critical in domains such as neuroscience, epidemiology, finance, and social sciences. We introduce the Spiking Dynamic Graph Network (SDGN), a novel framework that leverages the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-03 Biswadeep Chakraborty , Hemant Kumawat , Beomseok Kang , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

Estimating the parameters of mathematical models is a common problem in almost all branches of science. However, this problem can prove notably difficult when processes and model descriptions become increasingly complex and an explicit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-09 Stefan T. Radev , Ulf K. Mertens , Andreas Voss , Lynton Ardizzone , Ullrich Köthe

In Bayesian structure learning, we are interested in inferring a distribution over the directed acyclic graph (DAG) structure of Bayesian networks, from data. Defining such a distribution is very challenging, due to the combinatorially…