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Recently, deep-learning weather forecasting models have surpassed traditional numerical models in terms of the accuracy of meteorological variables. However, there is considerable potential for improvements in precipitation forecasts,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-11-20 Weiwen Ji , Jin Feng , Yueqi Liu , Yulu Qiu , Hua Gao

Precipitation nowcasting, which aims to provide high spatio-temporal resolution precipitation forecasts by leveraging current radar observations, is a core task in regional weather forecasting. Recently, the cascaded architecture has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Fanbo Ju , Haiyuan Shi , Qingjian Ni

Short-term (0-24 hours) precipitation forecasting is highly valuable to socioeconomic activities and public safety. However, the highly complex evolution patterns of precipitation events, the extreme imbalance between precipitation and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-30 Shuangliang Li , Siwei Li , Li Li , Weijie Zou , Jie Yang , Maolin Zhang

Obtaining a sufficient forecast lead time for local precipitation is essential in preventing hazardous weather events. Global warming-induced climate change increases the challenge of accurately predicting severe precipitation events, such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-21 Sojung An , Junha Lee , Jiyeon Jang , Inchae Na , Wooyeon Park , Sujeong You

Predictions of thunderstorm-related hazards are needed in several sectors, including first responders, infrastructure management and aviation. To address this need, we present a deep learning model that can be adapted to different hazard…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-03-16 Jussi Leinonen , Ulrich Hamann , Ioannis V. Sideris , Urs Germann

Precipitation nowcasting is an important spatio-temporal prediction task to predict the radar echoes sequences based on current observations, which can serve both meteorological science and smart city applications. Due to the chaotic…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-03-27 Demin Yu , Xutao Li , Yunming Ye , Baoquan Zhang , Chuyao Luo , Kuai Dai , Rui Wang , Xunlai Chen

Accurate quantitative precipitation forecasting (QPF) remains one of the main challenges in numerical weather prediction (NWP), primarily due to the difficulty of representing the full complexity of atmospheric microphysics through…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-06-05 ChangJae Lee , Heecheol Yang , Byeonggwon Kim

Convection initiation (CI) nowcasting remains a challenging problem for both numerical weather prediction models and existing nowcasting algorithms. In this study, object-based probabilistic deep learning models are developed to predict CI…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-07-23 Da Fan , Steven J. Greybush , David John Gagne , Eugene E. Clothiaux

This study presents a transfer-learning framework based on Convolutional Gated Recurrent Units (ConvGRU) for short-term rainfall prediction in the Weather4Cast 2025 competition. A single SEVIRI infrared channel (10.8 {\mu}m wavelength) is…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-11-17 Anushree Bhuskute , Kaushik Gopalan , Jeet Shah

Precipitation nowcasting (short-term forecasting) is still often performed using numerical solvers for physical equations, which are computationally expensive and make limited use of the large volumes of available weather data. Deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-06 Samuel van Wonderen , Siamak Mehrkanoon

For monitoring the night sky conditions, wide-angle all-sky cameras are used in most astronomical observatories to monitor the sky cloudiness. In this manuscript, we apply a deep-learning approach for automating the identification of…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2025-03-25 Mohammad H. Zhoolideh Haghighi , Alireza Ghasrimanesh , Habib Khosroshahi

Short-term precipitation forecasting remains challenging due to the difficulty in capturing long-term spatiotemporal dependencies. Current deep learning methods fall short in establishing effective dependencies between conditions and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-18 ChaoRong Li , XuDong Ling , YiLan Xue , Wenjie Luo , LiHong Zhu , FengQing Qin , Yaodong Zhou , Yuanyuan Huang

Radar-based precipitation nowcasting, the task of forecasting short-term precipitation fields from previous radar images, is a critical problem for flood risk management and decision-making. While deep learning has substantially advanced…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-20 Bernardo Perrone Ribeiro , Jana Faganeli Pucer

Accurate short-term precipitation forecasting is critical for weather-sensitive decision-making in agriculture, transportation, and disaster response. Existing deep learning approaches often struggle to balance global structural consistency…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Penghui Wen , Mengwei He , Patrick Filippi , Na Zhao , Feng Zhang , Thomas Francis Bishop , Zhiyong Wang , Kun Hu

The short-term prediction of precipitation is critical in many areas of life. Recently, a large body of work was devoted to forecasting radar reflectivity images. The radar images are available only in areas with ground weather radars.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-12-01 Jiří Pihrt , Rudolf Raevskiy , Petr Šimánek , Matej Choma

Ahead-of-time forecasting of incident solar-irradiance on a panel is indicative of expected energy yield and is essential for efficient grid distribution and planning. Traditionally, these forecasts are based on meteorological physics…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-01-16 Talha A. Siddiqui , Samarth Bharadwaj , Shivkumar Kalyanaraman

Precipitation nowcasting -- the short-term prediction of rainfall using recent radar observations -- is critical for weather-sensitive sectors such as transportation, agriculture, and disaster mitigation. While recent deep learning models…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-07-02 Peter Pavlík , Marc Schleiss , Anna Bou Ezzeddine , Viera Rozinajová

Accurate short range weather forecasting has significant implications for various sectors. Machine learning based approaches, e.g., deep learning, have gained popularity in this domain where the existing numerical weather prediction (NWP)…

In recent years traditional numerical methods for accurate weather prediction have been increasingly challenged by deep learning methods. Numerous historical datasets used for short and medium-range weather forecasts are typically organized…

Reliable nowcasting of extreme precipitation remains difficult because convective systems are strongly nonlinear, multiscale, and nonstationary in 3D. Radar is the backbone of nowcasting, yet existing methods struggle to predict extremes:…