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In this paper we study the probabilistic properties of the posteriors in a speech recognition system that uses a deep neural network (DNN) for acoustic modeling. We do this by reducing Kaldi's DNN shared pdf-id posteriors to phone…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-15 David A. van Leeuwen , Joost van Doremalen

Delivering meaningful uncertainty estimates is essential for a successful deployment of machine learning models in the clinical practice. A central aspect of uncertainty quantification is the ability of a model to return predictions that…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-03-03 Adrian Galdran , Johan Verjans , Gustavo Carneiro , Miguel A. González Ballester

Classifier models are prevalent in natural language processing (NLP), often with high accuracy. Yet in real world settings, human-in-the-loop systems can foster trust in model outputs and even higher performance. Selective Prediction (SP)…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-11-01 Zhaohui Li , Rebecca J. Passonneau

Recent works have shown that most deep learning models are often poorly calibrated, i.e., they may produce overconfident predictions that are wrong. It is therefore desirable to have models that produce predictive uncertainty estimates that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-02 Saiteja Utpala , Piyush Rai

Machine learning algorithms in healthcare have the potential to continually learn from real-world data generated during healthcare delivery and adapt to dataset shifts. As such, the FDA is looking to design policies that can autonomously…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-15 Jean Feng

We propose a novel methodology for general multi-class classification in arbitrary feature spaces, which results in a potentially well-calibrated classifier. Calibrated classifiers are important in many applications because, in addition to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-22 Raoul Heese , Jochen Schmid , Michał Walczak , Michael Bortz

Albeit achieving high predictive accuracy across many challenging computer vision problems, recent studies suggest that deep neural networks (DNNs) tend to make overconfident predictions, rendering them poorly calibrated. Most of the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-06-16 Bimsara Pathiraja , Malitha Gunawardhana , Muhammad Haris Khan

Calibration$\unicode{x2014}$the problem of ensuring that predicted probabilities align with observed class frequencies$\unicode{x2014}$is a basic desideratum for reliable prediction with machine learning systems. Calibration error is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-02 Eugène Berta , Sacha Braun , David Holzmüller , Francis Bach , Michael I. Jordan

Machine learning has demonstrated remarkable prediction accuracy over i.i.d data, but the accuracy often drops when tested with data from another distribution. In this paper, we aim to offer another view of this problem in a perspective…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-20 Haohan Wang , Zeyi Huang , Hanlin Zhang , Yong Jae Lee , Eric Xing

We consider a cooperative learning scenario where a collection of networked agents with individually owned classifiers dynamically update their predictions, for the same classification task, through communication or observations of each…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2024-06-03 Shahrzad Haddadan , Cheng Xin , Jie Gao

Despite the significant progress made in practical applications of aligned language models (LMs), they tend to be overconfident in output answers compared to the corresponding pre-trained LMs. In this work, we systematically evaluate the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-21 Guande He , Peng Cui , Jianfei Chen , Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu

Calibration error is commonly adopted for evaluating the quality of uncertainty estimators in deep neural networks. In this paper, we argue that such a metric is highly beneficial for training predictive models, even when we do not…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-01 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Bindya Venkatesh , Deepta Rajan

A fundamental requirement for intelligent systems is the ability to learn continuously under changing environments. However, models trained in this regime often suffer from catastrophic forgetting. Leveraging pre-trained models has recently…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-12 Tung Tran , Danilo Vasconcellos Vargas , Khoat Than

Ensuring that classifiers are well-calibrated, i.e., their predictions align with observed frequencies, is a minimal and fundamental requirement for classifiers to be viewed as trustworthy. Existing methods for assessing multiclass…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-30 Mahmoud Hegazy , Michael I. Jordan , Aymeric Dieuleveut

A reliable deep learning system should be able to accurately express its confidence with respect to its predictions, a quality known as calibration. One of the most effective ways to produce reliable confidence estimates with a pre-trained…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-10 Thomas P. Zollo , Zhun Deng , Jake C. Snell , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have made great strides in pushing the state-of-the-art in several challenging domains. Recent studies reveal that they are prone to making overconfident predictions. This greatly reduces the overall trust in…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-09-07 Vinith Kugathasan , Muhammad Haris Khan

Although deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have achieved tremendous success in audio classification tasks, their uncertainty calibration are still under-explored. A well-calibrated model should be accurate when it is certain about its prediction…

声音 · 计算机科学 2022-06-28 Tong Ye , Shijing Si , Jianzong Wang , Ning Cheng , Jing Xiao

Deep neural networks are behind many of the recent successes in machine learning applications. However, these models can produce overconfident decisions while encountering out-of-distribution (OOD) examples or making a wrong prediction.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-24 Navid Kardan , Ankit Sharma , Kenneth O. Stanley

In-Context Learning (ICL) allows Large Language Models (LLMs) to adapt to new tasks with just a few examples, but their predictions often suffer from systematic biases, leading to unstable performance in classification. While calibration…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Korel Gundem , Juncheng Dong , Dennis Zhang , Vahid Tarokh , Zhengling Qi

The fusion of LiDARs and cameras has been increasingly adopted in autonomous driving for perception tasks. The performance of such fusion-based algorithms largely depends on the accuracy of sensor calibration, which is challenging due to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-03-19 Yuxuan Xiao , Yao Li , Chengzhen Meng , Xingchen Li , Jianmin Ji , Yanyong Zhang