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This paper develops a novel weak multilevel Monte-Carlo (MLMC) approximation scheme for L\'evy-driven Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs). The scheme is based on the state space discretization (via a continuous-time Markov chain…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-01-21 Aleksandar Mijatović , Romain Palfray

Many problems require to approximate an expected value by some kind of Monte Carlo (MC) sampling, e.g. molecular dynamics (MD) or simulation of stochastic reaction models (also termed kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC)). Often, we are furthermore…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-02-18 Sandra Döpking , Sebastian Matera

The multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method has been used for a wide variety of stochastic applications. In this paper we consider its use in situations in which input random variables can be replaced by similar approximate random variables…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-04-08 Mike Giles , Oliver Sheridan-Methven

Motivated by penalized likelihood maximization in complex models, we study optimization problems where neither the function to optimize nor its gradient have an explicit expression, but its gradient can be approximated by a Monte Carlo…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-09-28 Gersende Fort , Edouard Ollier , Adeline Samson

Estimating risk measures such as large loss probabilities and Value-at-Risk is fundamental in financial risk management and often relies on computationally intensive nested Monte Carlo methods. While Multi-Level Monte Carlo (MLMC)…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-23 Alexandre Boumezoued , Adel Cherchali , Vincent Lemaire , Gilles Pagès , Mathieu Truc

We analyse a multilevel Monte Carlo method for the approximation of distribution functions of univariate random variables. Since, by assumption, the target distribution is not known explicitly, approximations have to be used. We provide an…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-22 Mike B. Giles , Tigran Nagapetyan , Klaus Ritter

This work presents an efficient approach for accelerating multilevel Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for large-scale problems using low-fidelity machine learning models. While conventional techniques for large-scale Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-21 Sohail Reddy , Hillary Fairbanks

Stochastic collocation methods for approximating the solution of partial differential equations with random input data (e.g., coefficients and forcing terms) suffer from the curse of dimensionality whereby increases in the stochastic…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-05-23 Aretha L. Teckentrup , Peter Jantsch , Clayton G. Webster , Max Gunzburger

In this work, we study the approximation of expected values of functional quantities on the solution of a stochastic differential equation (SDE), where we replace the Monte Carlo estimation with the evaluation of a deep neural network. Once…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-02-18 Thomas Gerstner , Bastian Harrach , Daniel Roth , Martin Simon

Monte Carlo method is a broad class of computational algorithms that rely on repeated random sampling to obtain numerical results. They are often used in physical and mathematical problems and are most useful when it is difficult or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-09-28 Bochao Jia

We consider stochastic optimization when one only has access to biased stochastic oracles of the objective and the gradient, and obtaining stochastic gradients with low biases comes at high costs. This setting captures various optimization…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-08-22 Yifan Hu , Jie Wang , Xin Chen , Niao He

Many machine learning problems involve Monte Carlo gradient estimators. As a prominent example, we focus on Monte Carlo variational inference (MCVI) in this paper. The performance of MCVI crucially depends on the variance of its stochastic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-05 Alexander Buchholz , Florian Wenzel , Stephan Mandt

Under the Solvency II regime, life insurance companies are asked to derive their solvency capital requirements from the full loss distributions over the coming year. Since the industry is currently far from being endowed with sufficient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-06 Anne-Sophie Krah , Zoran Nikolić , Ralf Korn

We develop new multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods to estimate the expectation of the smallest eigenvalue of a stochastic convection-diffusion operator with random coefficients. The MLMC method is based on a sequence of finite element…

Pricing options is an important problem in financial engineering. In many scenarios of practical interest, financial option prices associated to an underlying asset reduces to computing an expectation w.r.t.~a diffusion process. In general,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-08-12 Deborshee Sen , Ajay Jasra , Yan Zhou

In this paper, we consider a Monte Carlo simulation method (MinMC) that approximates prices and risk measures for a range $\Gamma$ of model parameters at once. The simulation method that we study has recently gained popularity [HS20, FPP22,…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-01 Nils Detering , Nicole Hufnagel , Paul Krühner

Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) are used as statistical models in many disciplines. However, intractable likelihood functions for SDEs make inference challenging, and we need to resort to simulation-based techniques to estimate and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-12 Grant Schneider , Peter F. Craigmile , Radu Herbei

Monte Carlo sampling techniques have broad applications in machine learning, Bayesian posterior inference, and parameter estimation. Often the target distribution takes the form of a product distribution over a dataset with a large number…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-19 Charles Matthews , Jonathan Weare

In high-energy particle physics, complex Monte Carlo (MC) simulations are needed to compare theory predictions to measurable quantities. Many and large MC samples are needed to be generated to take into account all the systematics.…

高能物理 - 实验 · 物理学 2022-11-15 Valentina Guglielmi

Accurate estimates of long-term risk probabilities and their gradients are critical for many stochastic safe control methods. However, computing such risk probabilities in real-time and in unseen or changing environments is challenging.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-08-20 Zhuoyuan Wang , Yorie Nakahira