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Prediction-based approaches are widely used in neural architecture search (NAS), where a predictor estimates the performance of candidate architectures to guide selection. However, existing predictors are typically trained via supervised…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Liping Deng , MingQing Xiao

We present a novel Bayesian approach to analysing multiple time-series with the aim of detecting abnormal regions. These are regions where the properties of the data change from some normal or baseline behaviour. We allow for the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-08-17 Lawrence Bardwell , Paul Fearnhead

Addressing selection bias in latent variable causal discovery is important yet underexplored, largely due to a lack of suitable statistical tools: While various tools beyond basic conditional independencies have been developed to handle…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-15 Haoyue Dai , Yiwen Qiu , Ignavier Ng , Xinshuai Dong , Peter Spirtes , Kun Zhang

Reasoning based on causality, instead of association has been considered as a key ingredient towards real machine intelligence. However, it is a challenging task to infer causal relationship/structure among variables. In recent years, an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-15 Zhitang Chen , Shengyu Zhu , Yue Liu , Tim Tse

Conditional independence (CI) testing is frequently used in data analysis and machine learning for various scientific fields and it forms the basis of constraint-based causal discovery. Oftentimes, CI testing relies on strong, rather…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-21 Wiebke Günther , Urmi Ninad , jonas Wahl , Jakob Runge

Causal representation learning has emerged as the center of action in causal machine learning research. In particular, multi-domain datasets present a natural opportunity for showcasing the advantages of causal representation learning over…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-12 Kartik Ahuja , Amin Mansouri , Yixin Wang

Learning models that can handle distribution shifts is a key challenge in domain generalization. Invariance learning, an approach that focuses on identifying features invariant across environments, improves model generalization by capturing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-11 Yiran Jia , Jelena Bradic

Causal disentanglement aims to uncover a representation of data using latent variables that are interrelated through a causal model. Such a representation is identifiable if the latent model that explains the data is unique. In this paper,…

While human infants robustly discover their own causal efficacy, standard reinforcement learning agents remain brittle, as their reliance on correlation-based rewards fails in noisy, ecologically valid scenarios. To address this, we…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-07-22 Xia Xu , Jochen Triesch

One of the core problems of modern statistics is to approximate difficult-to-compute probability densities. This problem is especially important in Bayesian statistics, which frames all inference about unknown quantities as a calculation…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-05-11 David M. Blei , Alp Kucukelbir , Jon D. McAuliffe

Genetic variation in human populations is influenced by geographic ancestry due to spatial locality in historical mating and migration patterns. Spatial population structure in genetic datasets has been traditionally analyzed using either…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-10-26 Anand Bhaskar , Adel Javanmard , Thomas A. Courtade , David Tse

Current causal discovery approaches require restrictive model assumptions in the absence of interventional data to ensure structure identifiability. These assumptions often do not hold in real-world applications leading to a loss of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-25 Anish Dhir , Ruby Sedgwick , Avinash Kori , Ben Glocker , Mark van der Wilk

Design-based causal inference, also known as randomization-based or finite-population causal inference, is one of the most widely used causal inference frameworks, largely due to the merit that its validity can be guaranteed by study design…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-27 Siyu Heng , Jiawei Zhang , Yang Feng

Parental origin effects play an important role in mammal development and disorder. Case-control mother-child pair genotype data can be used to detect parental origin effects and is often convenient to collect in practice. Most existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-11 Yuang Tian , Hong Zhang , Alexandre Bureau , Hagit Hochner , Jinbo Chen

Genealogy research is the study of family history using available resources such as historical records. Ancestry provides its customers with one of the world's largest online genealogical index with billions of records from a wide range of…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2019-03-04 Peng Jiang , Yingrui Yang , Gann Bierner , Fengjie Alex Li , Ruhan Wang , Azadeh Moghtaderi

Advances in the effectiveness of machine learning models have come at the cost of enormous complexity resulting in a poor understanding of how they function. Local surrogate methods have been used to approximate the workings of these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-16 Christopher Burger , Charles Walter

The reliability and proper function of data-driven applications hinge on the data's continued conformance to the applications' initial design. When data deviates from this initial profile, system behavior becomes unpredictable. Data…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2021-01-05 Anna Fariha , Ashish Tiwari , Arjun Radhakrishna , Sumit Gulwani , Alexandra Meliou

We develop stochastic variational inference, a scalable algorithm for approximating posterior distributions. We develop this technique for a large class of probabilistic models and we demonstrate it with two probabilistic topic models,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-04-24 Matt Hoffman , David M. Blei , Chong Wang , John Paisley

The space of possible human cultures is vast, but some cultural configurations are more consistent with cognitive and social constraints than others. This leads to a ``landscape'' of possibilities that our species has explored over…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-02-13 Victor Møller Poulsen , Simon DeDeo

Establishing causal relations between random variables from observational data is perhaps the most important challenge in today's \blue{science}. In remote sensing and geosciences this is of special relevance to better understand the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-10 Adrián Pérez-Suay , Gustau Camps-Valls