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Stock trading strategy plays a crucial role in investment companies. However, it is challenging to obtain optimal strategy in the complex and dynamic stock market. We explore the potential of deep reinforcement learning to optimize stock…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-02 Xiao-Yang Liu , Zhuoran Xiong , Shan Zhong , Hongyang Yang , Anwar Walid

In recent years, the field of precision medicine has seen many advancements. Significant focus has been placed on creating algorithms to estimate individualized treatment rules (ITR), which map from patient covariates to the space of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-09 Kushal S. Shah , Haoda Fu , Michael R. Kosorok

The beneficial effects of treatments vary across individuals in most studies. Treatment heterogeneity motivates practitioners to search for the optimal policy based on personal characteristics. A long-standing common practice in policy…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-06 Xuqiao Li , Ying Yan

This paper investigates performance attribution measures as a basis for constraining portfolio optimization. We employ optimizations that minimize expected tail loss and investigate both asset allocation (AA) and the selection effect (SE)…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-03-09 Yuan Hu , W. Brent Lindquist

We develop a continuous-time penalized regression framework for the estimation of time-varying coefficients and variable selection when both the response and covariates are It\^o semimartingales with jumps. The coefficient paths are…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-28 Aleksey Kolokolov , Shifan Yu

The patterns of different financial data sources vary substantially, and accordingly, investors exhibit heterogeneous cognition behavior in information processing. To capture different patterns, we propose a novel approach called the…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-12-17 Ruize Gao , Mei Yang , Yu Wang , Shaoze Cui

Stock portfolio optimization is the process of constant re-distribution of money to a pool of various stocks. In this paper, we will formulate the problem such that we can apply Reinforcement Learning for the task properly. To maintain a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-14 Le Trung Hieu

Portfolio construction traditionally relies on separately estimating expected returns and covariance matrices using historical statistics, often leading to suboptimal allocation under time-varying market conditions. This paper proposes a…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2026-03-23 Keonvin Park

We reinterpret and propose a framework for pricing path-dependent financial derivatives by estimating the full distribution of payoffs using Distributional Reinforcement Learning (DistRL). Unlike traditional methods that focus on expected…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-07-18 Ahmet Umur Özsoy

Dynamic decisions are pivotal to economic policy making. We show how existing evidence from randomized control trials can be utilized to guide personalized decisions in challenging dynamic environments with budget and capacity constraints.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-26 Karun Adusumilli , Friedrich Geiecke , Claudio Schilter

We propose DiffusionRollout, a novel selective rollout planning strategy for autoregressive diffusion models, aimed at mitigating error accumulation in long-horizon predictions of physical systems governed by partial differential equations…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Seungwoo Yoo , Juil Koo , Daehyeon Choi , Minhyuk Sung

In this study, we have developed a dynamic asset allocation investment strategy using reinforcement learning techniques. To begin with, we have addressed the crucial issue of incorporating non-stationarity of financial time series data into…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2023-11-10 Yasuhiro Nakayama , Tomochika Sawaki

In this paper we investigate an adaptive discretization strategy for ill-posed linear prob- lems combined with a regularization from a class of semiiterative methods. We show that such a discretization approach in combination with a…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-07-22 Wolfgang Erb , Evgeniya V. Semenova

This work proposes a novel strategy for social learning by introducing the critical feature of adaptation. In social learning, several distributed agents update continually their belief about a phenomenon of interest through: i) direct…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2021-07-27 Virginia Bordignon , Vincenzo Matta , Ali H. Sayed

Many cryptocurrency brokers nowadays offer a variety of derivative assets that allow traders to perform hedging or speculation. This paper proposes an effective algorithm based on neural networks to take advantage of these investment…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-03 Quoc Minh Nguyen , Dat Thanh Tran , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis , Moncef Gabbouj

This paper studies a continuous-time market {under stochastic environment} where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a target terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return with multiple stocks and a…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2013-02-28 Wan-Kai Pang , Yuan-Hua Ni , Xun Li , Ka-Fai Cedric Yiu

We propose a general framework for reduced-rank modeling of matrix-valued data. By applying a generalized nuclear norm penalty we can directly model low-dimensional latent variables associated with rows and columns. Our framework flexibly…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-08-23 William Fithian , Rahul Mazumder

We present a novel approach to the formulation and the resolution of sparse Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA). Our proposal, is based on penalized Optimal Scoring. It has an exact equivalence with penalized LDA, contrary to the multi-class…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-07-03 Luis Francisco Sanchez Merchante , Yves Grandvalet , Gerrad Govaert

This study introduces a general semiparametric clusterwise index distribution model to analyze how latent clusters affect the covariate-response relationships. By employing sufficient dimension reduction to account for the effects of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Jen-Chieh Teng , Chin-Tsang Chiang

Sharp asymptotic lower bounds of the expected quadratic variation of discretization error in stochastic integration are given. The theory relies on inequalities for the kurtosis and skewness of a general random variable which are themselves…

概率论 · 数学 2012-04-04 Masaaki Fukasawa