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We introduce HTLM, a hyper-text language model trained on a large-scale web crawl. Modeling hyper-text has a number of advantages: (1) it is easily gathered at scale, (2) it provides rich document-level and end-task-adjacent supervision…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-07-16 Armen Aghajanyan , Dmytro Okhonko , Mike Lewis , Mandar Joshi , Hu Xu , Gargi Ghosh , Luke Zettlemoyer

This paper presents a novel hierarchical framework for portfolio optimization, integrating lightweight Large Language Models (LLMs) with Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) to combine sentiment signals from financial news with traditional…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-07-25 Benjamin Coriat , Eric Benhamou

Financial time-series forecasting is one of the most challenging domains in the field of time-series analysis. This is mostly due to the highly non-stationary and noisy nature of financial time-series data. With progressive efforts of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-17 Mostafa Shabani , Dat Thanh Tran , Martin Magris , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis

Forecasting click volume is a key task in digital advertising, influencing both revenue and campaign strategy. Traditional time series models rely solely on numerical data, often overlooking rich contextual information embedded in textual…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2025-09-15 Briti Gangopadhyay , Zhao Wang , Shingo Takamatsu

Stock price prediction is challenging due to market volatility and its sensitivity to real-time events. While large language models (LLMs) offer new avenues for text-based forecasting, their application in finance is hindered by noisy news…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-12-03 He Wang , Wenyilin Xiao , Songqiao Han , Hailiang Huang

At present, attention mechanism has been widely applied to the fields of deep learning models. Structural models that based on attention mechanism can not only record the relationships between features position, but also can measure the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-12 Xiaolong Wei , LiFang Yang , Xianglin Huang , Gang Cao , Tao Zhulin , Zhengyang Du , Jing An

The increasing richness in volume, and especially types of data in the financial domain provides unprecedented opportunities to understand the stock market more comprehensively and makes the price prediction more accurate than before.…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2018-05-16 Huiwen Wang , Shan Lu , Jichang Zhao

In today's complex and volatile financial market environment, risk management of multi-asset portfolios faces significant challenges. Traditional risk assessment methods, due to their limited ability to capture complex correlations between…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-02-14 Fu Lei , Ge Shi

Stock market forecasting is a classic problem that has been thoroughly investigated using machine learning and artificial neural network based tools and techniques. Interesting aspects of this problem include its time reliance as well as…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-02-20 Raihan Tanvir , Md Tanvir Rouf Shawon , Md. Golam Rabiul Alam

Neural networks have revolutionized many empirical fields, yet their application to financial time series forecasting remains controversial. In this study, we demonstrate that the conventional practice of estimating models locally in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-21 Chen Liu , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Robert Kohn

Accurate option pricing is essential for effective trading and risk management in financial markets, yet it remains challenging due to market volatility and the limitations of traditional models like Black-Scholes. In this paper, we…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-06-09 Feliks Bańka , Jarosław A. Chudziak

Electronic health records represent a holistic overview of patients' trajectories. Their increasing availability has fueled new hopes to leverage them and develop accurate risk prediction models for a wide range of diseases. Given the…

Accurate stock price forecasting has consistently remained a pivotal yet challenging FinTech task that underpins quantitative trading and investment decision making. Recent efforts have been dedicated to modeling various complex…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-05-26 Yong Zhang , Xinxiao Wu , Yunde Jia , Che Sun

The adaptation of large language models (LLMs) to time series forecasting poses unique challenges, as time series data is continuous in nature, while LLMs operate on discrete tokens. Despite the success of LLMs in natural language…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Taibiao Zhao , Xiaobing Chen , Mingxuan Sun

In this work, we propose an approach to generalize denoising diffusion probabilistic models for stock market predictions and portfolio management. Present works have demonstrated the efficacy of modeling interstock relations for market…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-22 Divyanshu Daiya , Monika Yadav , Harshit Singh Rao

Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting has a wide range of applications in both industry and academia. Recent advances in Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Network (STGNN) have achieved great progress in modelling spatial-temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-22 Huiliang Zhang , Di Wu , Arnaud Zinflou , Stephane Dellacherie , Mouhamadou Makhtar Dione , Benoit Boulet

Forecasting stock prices can be interpreted as a time series prediction problem, for which Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks are often used due to their architecture specifically built to solve such problems. In this paper, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-14 Akash Doshi , Alexander Issa , Puneet Sachdeva , Sina Rafati , Somnath Rakshit

Precise load forecasting in buildings could increase the bill savings potential and facilitate optimized strategies for power generation planning. With the rapid evolution of computer science, data-driven techniques, in particular the Deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-30 Menna Nawar , Moustafa Shomer , Samy Faddel , Huangjie Gong

The macroeconomic climate influences operations with regard to, e.g., raw material prices, financing, supply chain utilization and demand quotas. In order to adapt to the economic environment, decision-makers across the public and private…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-13 Stefan Feuerriegel , Julius Gordon

Many real-life applications involve simultaneously forecasting multiple time series that are hierarchically related via aggregation or disaggregation operations. For instance, commercial organizations often want to forecast inventories…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-26 Xing Han , Sambarta Dasgupta , Joydeep Ghosh