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Generating forecasts for time series with multiple seasonal cycles is an important use-case for many industries nowadays. Accounting for the multi-seasonal patterns becomes necessary to generate more accurate and meaningful forecasts in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-04-28 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage

Deep learning (DL) methods have outperformed parametric models such as historical average, ARIMA and variants in predicting traffic variables into short and near-short future, that are critical for traffic management. Specifically,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-18 Agnimitra Sengupta , Adway Das , S. Ilgin Guler

Epidemiological models are best suitable to model an epidemic if the spread pattern is stationary. To deal with non-stationary patterns and multiple waves of an epidemic, we develop a hybrid model encompassing epidemic modeling, particle…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-01 Naresh Kumar , Seba Susan

With the rapid development of science and technology, the problem of energy load monitoring and decomposition of electrical equipment has been receiving widespread attention from academia and industry. For the purpose of improving the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-14 Xinxin Zhou , Jingru Feng , Yang Li

Traffic forecasting is vital for Intelligent Transportation Systems, for which Machine Learning (ML) methods have been extensively explored to develop data-driven Artificial Intelligence (AI) solutions. Recent research focuses on modelling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-01 Xiao Zheng , Saeed Asadi Bagloee , Majid Sarvi

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is a popular approach to boosting the ability of Recurrent Neural Networks to store longer term temporal information. The capacity of an LSTM network can be increased by widening and adding layers. However,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-14 Zhen He , Shaobing Gao , Liang Xiao , Daxue Liu , Hangen He , David Barber

The incessant advent of online services demands high speed and efficient recommender systems (ReS) that can maintain real-time performance along with processing very complex user-item interactions. The present study, therefore, considers…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-03 Yushang Zhao , Haotian Lyu , Yike Peng , Aijia Sun , Feng Jiang , Xinyue Han

This paper introduces a novel multivariate volatility modeling framework, named Long Short-Term Memory enhanced BEKK (LSTM-BEKK), that integrates deep learning into multivariate GARCH processes. By combining the flexibility of recurrent…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-06-04 Haoyuan Wang , Chen Liu , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chao Wang

Volatility prediction for financial assets is one of the essential questions for understanding financial risks and quadratic price variation. However, although many novel deep learning models were recently proposed, they still have a "hard…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-02-24 German Rodikov , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

Accurate time series prediction is challenging due to the inherent nonlinearity and sensitivity to initial conditions. We propose a novel approach that enhances neural network predictions through differential learning, which involves…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Akash Yadav , Eulalia Nualart

Macroeconomic forecasting has recently started embracing techniques that can deal with large-scale datasets and series with unequal release periods. MIxed-DAta Sampling (MIDAS) and Dynamic Factor Models (DFM) are the two main…

This study presents a novel state estimation approach integrating Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) into Moving Horizon Estimation (MHE). This is a shift from using traditional physics-based models within MHE towards data-driven techniques.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-29 Alexander Winkler , Pranav Shah , Katrin Baumgärtner , Vasu Sharma , David Gordon , Jakob Andert

Non-core drilling has gradually become the primary exploration method in geological exploration engineering, and well logging curves have increasingly gained importance as the main carriers of geological information. However, factors such…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-04 Yuankai Zhou , Huanyu Li

With the popularity of Internet of Things (IoT), edge computing and cloud computing, more and more stream analytics applications are being developed including real-time trend prediction and object detection on top of IoT sensing data. One…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2022-08-16 Xin Wang , Azim Khan , Jianwu Wang , Aryya Gangopadhyay , Carl E. Busart , Jade Freeman

Multivariate time series forecasting is an important machine learning problem across many domains, including predictions of solar plant energy output, electricity consumption, and traffic jam situation. Temporal data arise in these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-04-20 Guokun Lai , Wei-Cheng Chang , Yiming Yang , Hanxiao Liu

Functional near-infrared spectroscopy (fNIRS) is employed as a non-invasive method to monitor functional brain activation by capturing changes in the concentrations of oxygenated haemoglobin (HbO) and deoxygenated haemo-globin (HbR).…

We extend recurrent neural networks to include several flexible timescales for each dimension of their output, which mechanically improves their abilities to account for processes with long memory or with highly disparate time scales. We…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-08-21 Damien Challet , Vincent Ragel

The success of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) in computer vision is mainly driven by their strong inductive bias, which is strong enough to allow CNNs to solve vision-related tasks with random weights, meaning without learning.…

Forecasting methods are affected by data quality issues in two ways: 1. they are hard to predict, and 2. they may affect the model negatively when it is updated with new data. The latter issue is usually addressed by pre-processing the data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Rodrigo Tuna , Yassine Baghoussi , Carlos Soares , João Mendes-Moreira

Accurate and efficient models for rainfall runoff (RR) simulations are crucial for flood risk management. Most rainfall models in use today are process-driven; i.e. they solve either simplified empirical formulas or some variation of the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-06-15 Wei Li , Amin Kiaghadi , Clint N. Dawson