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Many real-life scenarios require humans to make difficult trade-offs: do we always follow all the traffic rules or do we violate the speed limit in an emergency? These scenarios force us to evaluate the trade-off between collective rules…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-22 Arie Glazier , Andrea Loreggia , Nicholas Mattei , Taher Rahgooy , Francesca Rossi , Brent Venable

Causal discovery is crucial for understanding complex systems and informing decisions. While observational data can uncover causal relationships under certain assumptions, it often falls short, making active interventions necessary. Current…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-18 Yuxuan Wang , Mingzhou Liu , Xinwei Sun , Wei Wang , Yizhou Wang

Deep learning models achieve high predictive performance but lack intrinsic interpretability, hindering our understanding of the learned prediction behavior. Existing local explainability methods focus on associations, neglecting the causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-18 Niklas Penzel , Joachim Denzler

The design of decision and control strategies for switched systems typically requires complete knowledge of (i) mathematical models of the subsystems and (ii) restrictions on admissible switches between the subsystems. We propose an active…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-11-11 Atreyee Kundu

In causal inference, interference occurs when the treatment of one unit may affect the outcomes of other units. The goal of this work is to serve as a guide to the use of linear outcome modeling for estimating causal effects in settings…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Eric Tong , Salvador V. Balkus

Causal inference in a nonlinear system of multivariate timeseries is instrumental in disentangling the intricate web of relationships among variables, enabling us to make more accurate predictions and gain deeper insights into real-world…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Wasim Ahmad , Maha Shadaydeh , Joachim Denzler

A deep equilibrium model uses implicit layers, which are implicitly defined through an equilibrium point of an infinite sequence of computation. It avoids any explicit computation of the infinite sequence by finding an equilibrium point…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-19 Kenji Kawaguchi

Inferring the effect of interventions within complex systems is a fundamental problem of statistics. A widely studied approach employs structural causal models that postulate noisy functional relations among a set of interacting variables.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-14 David Strieder , Mathias Drton

Various graphical models are widely used in reliability to provide a qualitative description of domain experts hypotheses about how a system might fail. Here we argue that the semantics developed within standard causal Bayesian networks are…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-05 Xuewen Yu , Jim Q. Smith

We present a differentiable soft-body physics simulator that can be composed with neural networks as a differentiable layer. In contrast to other differentiable physics approaches that use explicit forward models to define state…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-13 Junior Rojas , Eftychios Sifakis , Ladislav Kavan

Conformal prediction methods provide statistically rigorous marginal coverage guarantees for machine learning models, but such guarantees fail to account for algorithmic biases, thereby undermining fairness and trust. This paper introduces…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Senrong Xu , Yanke Zhou , Yuhao Tan , Zenan Li , Yuan Yao , Taolue Chen , Feng Xu , Xiaoxing Ma

Understanding why models behave the way they do is critical to learning from them, and to conveying the insights they offer to a broad audience. The Loops that Matter methodology automatically shows which loops are dominating behavior at…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2020-06-01 William Schoenberg , Robert Eberlein

Causal representation learning promises to extend causal models to hidden causal variables from raw entangled measurements. However, most progress has focused on proving identifiability results in different settings, and we are not aware of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-04 Dingling Yao , Caroline Muller , Francesco Locatello

Algorithmic decisions about individuals require predictions that are not only accurate but also fair with respect to sensitive attributes such as gender and race. Causal notions of fairness align with legal requirements, yet many methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-02 Yoichi Chikahara

In a social system, the self-interest of agents can be detrimental to the collective good, sometimes leading to social dilemmas. To resolve such a conflict, a central designer may intervene by either redesigning the system or incentivizing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-28 Jiayang Li , Jing Yu , Yu Marco Nie , Zhaoran Wang

Local decision rules are commonly understood to be more explainable, due to the local nature of the patterns involved. With numerical optimization methods such as gradient boosting, ensembles of local decision rules can gain good predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-27 Xin Du , Subramanian Ramamoorthy , Wouter Duivesteijn , Jin Tian , Mykola Pechenizkiy

Generating explanations for reinforcement learning (RL) is challenging as actions may produce long-term effects on the future. In this paper, we develop a novel framework for explainable RL by learning a causal world model without prior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-19 Zhongwei Yu , Jingqing Ruan , Dengpeng Xing

In designing generative models, it is commonly believed that in order to learn useful latent structure, we face a fundamental tension between expressivity and structure. In this paper we challenge this view by proposing a new approach to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-03 Alex Markham , Isaac Hirsch , Jeri A. Chang , Liam Solus , Bryon Aragam

The interpretability of prediction mechanisms with respect to the underlying prediction problem is often unclear. While several studies have focused on developing prediction models with meaningful parameters, the causal relationships…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-09-05 Patrick Blöbaum , Shohei Shimizu

Large language models (LLMs) have shown remarkable capabilities in various natural language understanding tasks. With only a few demonstration examples, these LLMs can quickly adapt to target tasks without expensive gradient updates. Common…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-11-14 Yue Yu , Jiaming Shen , Tianqi Liu , Zhen Qin , Jing Nathan Yan , Jialu Liu , Chao Zhang , Michael Bendersky