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Simulating limit order books (LOBs) has important applications across forecasting and backtesting for financial market data. However, deep generative models struggle in this context due to the high noise and complexity of the data. Previous…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-09-08 Alfred Backhouse , Kang Li , Jakob Foerster , Anisoara Calinescu , Stefan Zohren

Deep Learning is a consolidated, state-of-the-art Machine Learning tool to fit a function when provided with large data sets of examples. However, in regression tasks, the straightforward application of Deep Learning models provides a point…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-25 Axel Brando , Jose A. Rodríguez-Serrano , Mauricio Ciprian , Roberto Maestre , Jordi Vitrià

Recent research has revealed that deep neural networks often take dataset biases as a shortcut to make decisions rather than understand tasks, leading to failures in real-world applications. In this study, we focus on the spurious…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-06-23 Yanrui Du , Jing Yan , Yan Chen , Jing Liu , Sendong Zhao , Qiaoqiao She , Hua Wu , Haifeng Wang , Bing Qin

Scoring models support decision-making in financial institutions. Their estimation and evaluation are based on the data of previously accepted applicants with known repayment behavior. This creates sampling bias: the available labeled data…

We consider the problem of engineering robust direct perception neural networks with output being regression. Such networks take high dimensional input image data, and they produce affordances such as the curvature of the upcoming road…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-01 Chih-Hong Cheng

We study the problem of online binary classification where strategic agents can manipulate their observable features in predefined ways, modeled by a manipulation graph, in order to receive a positive classification. We show this setting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-26 Saba Ahmadi , Avrim Blum , Kunhe Yang

We develop a structural econometric model to capture the decision dynamics of human evaluators on an online micro-lending platform, and estimate the model parameters using a real-world dataset. We find two types of biases in gender,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-11 Xiyang Hu , Yan Huang , Beibei Li , Tian Lu

In this paper the application of uncertainty modeling to convolutional neural networks is evaluated. A novel method for adjusting the network's predictions based on uncertainty information is introduced. This allows the network to be either…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2016-12-23 Rene Grzeszick , Sebastian Sudholt , Gernot A. Fink

Online learning in arbitrary, and possibly adversarial, environments has been extensively studied in sequential decision-making, and it is closely connected to equilibrium computation in game theory. Most existing online learning algorithms…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-20 Mingyang Liu , Yongshan Chen , Zhiyuan Fan , Gabriele Farina , Asuman Ozdaglar , Kaiqing Zhang

Machine learning algorithms that learn black-box predictive models (which cannot be directly interpreted) are increasingly used to make predictions affecting the lives of people. It is important that users understand the predictions of such…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Gabriel Doyle-Finch , Alex A. Freitas

In the financial risk domain, particularly in credit default prediction and fraud detection, accurate identification of high-risk class instances is paramount, as their occurrence can have significant economic implications. Although machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-17 Xu Sun , Zixuan Qin , Shun Zhang , Yuexian Wang , Li Huang

Graph neural networks (GNN) have recently emerged as a vehicle for applying deep network architectures to graph and relational data. However, given the increasing size of industrial datasets, in many practical situations the message passing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-16 Qingru Zhang , David Wipf , Quan Gan , Le Song

We consider a sequential assortment selection problem where the user choice is given by a multinomial logit (MNL) choice model whose parameters are unknown. In each period, the learning agent observes a $d$-dimensional contextual…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-26 Min-hwan Oh , Garud Iyengar

As part of its digitization initiative, the German Central Bank (Deutsche Bundesbank) wants to examine the extent to which natural Language Processing (NLP) can be used to make independent decisions upon the eligibility criteria of…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-02-10 Christian Hänig , Markus Schlösser , Serhii Hamotskyi , Gent Zambaku , Janek Blankenburg

We resolve an open question from (Christiano, 2014b) posed in COLT'14 regarding the optimal dependency of the regret achievable for online local learning on the size of the label set. In this framework the algorithm is shown a pair of items…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-08-25 Pranjal Awasthi , Moses Charikar , Kevin A. Lai , Andrej Risteski

Online linear programming plays an important role in both revenue management and resource allocation, and recent research has focused on developing efficient first-order online learning algorithms. Despite the empirical success of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-07 Wenzhi Gao , Dongdong Ge , Chenyu Xue , Chunlin Sun , Yinyu Ye

We study an online linear programming (OLP) model in which inventory is not provided upfront but instead arrives gradually through an exogenous stochastic replenishment process. This replenishment-based formulation captures operational…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-01-22 Yuze Chen , Yuan Zhou , Baichuan Mo , Jie Ying , Yufei Ruan , Zhou Ye

A novel procedure is presented for the objective comparison and evaluation of a bank's decision rules in optimising the timing of loan recovery. This procedure is based on finding a delinquency threshold at which the financial loss of a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-03-25 Arno Botha , Conrad Beyers , Pieter de Villiers

This paper studies model-based reinforcement learning (RL) for regret minimization. We focus on finite-horizon episodic RL where the transition model $P$ belongs to a known family of models $\mathcal{P}$, a special case of which is when…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-02 Alex Ayoub , Zeyu Jia , Csaba Szepesvari , Mengdi Wang , Lin F. Yang

Neural networks have proven successful at learning from complex data distributions by acting as universal function approximators. However, they are often overconfident in their predictions, which leads to inaccurate and miscalibrated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-23 Jeffrey Willette , Juho Lee , Sung Ju Hwang