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A persistent challenge in astronomical machine learning is a systematic bias where predictions compress the dynamic range of true values-high values are consistently predicted too low while low values are predicted too high. Understanding…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2025-07-17 Yuan-Sen Ting

Neural networks have achieved remarkable performance in various application domains. Nevertheless, a large number of weights in pre-trained deep neural networks prohibit them from being deployed on smartphones and embedded systems. It is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-19 Shibo Yao , Dantong Yu , Ioannis Koutis

A key goal of many Cosmic Microwave Background experiments is the detection of gravitational waves, through their B-mode polarization signal at large scales. To extract such a signal requires modelling contamination from the Galaxy. Using…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-04 Charmaine Armitage-Caplan , Joanna Dunkley , Hans Kristian Eriksen , Clive Dickinson

Weight pruning is widely advocated for deploying Large Language Models on resource-constrained IoT and edge devices, yet its impact on model fairness remains poorly understood. We conduct a controlled empirical study of three…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Plawan Kumar Rath , Rahul Maliakkal

Neural networks are popular state-of-the-art models for many different tasks.They are often trained via back-propagation to find a value of the weights that correctly predicts the observed data. Although back-propagation has shown good…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-29 Simón Rodríguez Santana , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

With model trustworthiness being crucial for sensitive real-world applications, practitioners are putting more and more focus on improving the uncertainty calibration of deep neural networks. Calibration errors are designed to quantify the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-14 Sebastian G. Gruber , Florian Buettner

Deep neural networks (DNN) are prone to miscalibrated predictions, often exhibiting a mismatch between the predicted output and the associated confidence scores. Contemporary model calibration techniques mitigate the problem of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-21 Ramya Hebbalaguppe , Rishabh Patra , Tirtharaj Dash , Gautam Shroff , Lovekesh Vig

Bayesian deep learning approaches assume model parameters to be latent random variables and infer posterior distributions to quantify uncertainty, increase safety and trust, and prevent overconfident and unpredictable behavior. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-13 Jihao Andreas Lin , Joe Watson , Pascal Klink , Jan Peters

Evaluation of per-sample uncertainty quantification from neural networks is essential for decision-making involving high-risk applications. A common approach is to use the predictive distribution from Bayesian or approximation models and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-12 H. Martin Gillis , Isaac Xu , Thomas Trappenberg

We study the robustness of conformal prediction, a powerful tool for uncertainty quantification, to label noise. Our analysis tackles both regression and classification problems, characterizing when and how it is possible to construct…

Pruning has emerged as a powerful technique for compressing deep neural networks, reducing memory usage and inference time without significantly affecting overall performance. However, the nuanced ways in which pruning impacts model…

As machine learning (ML) models are increasingly being employed to assist human decision makers, it becomes critical to provide these decision makers with relevant inputs which can help them decide if and how to incorporate model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-14 Sean McGrath , Parth Mehta , Alexandra Zytek , Isaac Lage , Himabindu Lakkaraju

When randomized ensembles such as bagging or random forests are used for binary classification, the prediction error of the ensemble tends to decrease and stabilize as the number of classifiers increases. However, the precise relationship…

概率论 · 数学 2019-05-01 Miles E. Lopes

We reproduced the results of CheXNet with fixed hyperparameters and 50 different random seeds to identify 14 finding in chest radiographs (x-rays). Because CheXNet fine-tunes a pre-trained DenseNet, the random seed affects the ordering of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-12-28 John R. Zech , Jessica Zosa Forde , Michael L. Littman

In Hezaveh et al. 2017 we showed that deep learning can be used for model parameter estimation and trained convolutional neural networks to determine the parameters of strong gravitational lensing systems. Here we demonstrate a method for…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2017-11-29 Laurence Perreault Levasseur , Yashar D. Hezaveh , Risa H. Wechsler

Uncertainty quantification is an important and challenging problem in deep learning. Previous methods rely on dropout layers which are not present in modern deep architectures or batch normalization which is sensitive to batch sizes. In…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-07-10 Lukasz Wandzik , Raul Vicente Garcia , Jörg Krüger

Uncertainty calibration is crucial for various machine learning applications, yet it remains challenging. Many models exhibit hallucinations - confident yet inaccurate responses - due to miscalibrated confidence. Here, we show that the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-28 Jeonghwan Cheon , Se-Bum Paik

Output uncertainty indicates whether the probabilistic properties reflect objective characteristics of the model output. Unlike most loss functions and metrics in machine learning, uncertainty pertains to individual samples, but validating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-23 Siyuan Zhang , Linbo Xie

In recent years, arrays of radio antennas operating in the MHz regime have shown great potential as detectors in astroparticle physics. In particular, they fulfill an important role in the indirect detection of ultra-high energy cosmic…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2023-08-17 Max Büsken , Tomáš Fodran , Tim Huege

Predictive posterior densities (PPDs) are of interest in approximate Bayesian inference. Typically, these are estimated by simple Monte Carlo (MC) averages using samples from the approximate posterior. We observe that the signal-to-noise…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-31 Abhinav Agrawal , Justin Domke