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Standard diffusion models are flexible estimators of complex distributions, but they do not encode causal structures and therefore do not by themselves support causal analysis. We propose a causality-encoded diffusion framework that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-24 Li Chen , Xiaotong Shen , Wei Pan

Biomechanical and orthopaedic studies frequently encounter complex datasets that encompass both circular and linear variables. In most cases the circular and linear variables are (i) considered in isolation with dependency between variables…

The bivariate copulas that describe the dependencies and partial dependencies of lagged variables in strictly stationary, first-order GARCH-type processes are investigated. It is shown that the copulas of symmetric GARCH processes are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-10 Alexandra Dias , Jialing Han , Alexander J. McNeil

Reconstructing gene regulatory networks from large-scale heterogeneous data is a key challenge in biology. In multi-omics data analysis, networks based on pairwise statistical association measures remain popular, as they are easy to build…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-11 Ekaterina Tomilina , Florence Jaffrézic , Gildas Mazo

Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) are well-established tools for probabilistic exploration of dependence structures using precision matrices. We develop a Bayesian method to incorporate covariate information in this GGMs setup in a nonlinear…

Understanding the dependence relationship of credit spreads of corporate bonds is important for risk management. Vine copula models with tail dependence are used to analyze a credit spread dataset of Chinese corporate bonds, understand the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-16 Shenyi Pan , Harry Joe , Guofu Li

We propose a novel distributional regression model for a multivariate response vector based on a copula process over the covariate space. It uses the implicit copula of a Gaussian multivariate regression, which we call a ``regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-06 Nadja Klein , Michael Stanley Smith , David Nott , Ryan Chisholm

Nonlinear causal effects are prevalent in many research scenarios involving continuous exposures, and instrumental variables (IVs) can be employed to investigate such effects, particularly in the presence of unmeasured confounders. However,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-29 Haodong Tian , Ashish Patel , Stephen Burgess

A pair-copula construction is a decomposition of a multivariate copula into a structured system, called regular vine, of bivariate copulae or pair-copulae. The standard practice is to model these pair-copulae parametrically, which comes at…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-01-26 Ingrid Hobaek Haff , Johan Segers

Undirected graphical models are powerful tools for uncovering complex relationships among high-dimensional variables. This paper aims to fully recover the structure of an undirected graphical model when the data naturally take matrix form,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-08 Minsub Shin , Johan Lim , Seongoh Park

We develop a novel Bayesian method to select important predictors in regression models with multiple responses of diverse types. A sparse Gaussian copula regression model is used to account for the multivariate dependencies between any…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-22 Angelos Alexopoulos , Leonardo Bottolo

Copula models are flexible tools to represent complex structures of dependence for multivariate random variables. According to Sklar's theorem (Sklar, 1959), any d-dimensional absolutely continuous density can be uniquely represented as the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-05 Clara Grazian , Luciana Dalla Valle , Brunero Liseo

Inspired by Jang et al. (2022), we propose a Granger causality-in-the-mean test for bivariate $k-$Markov stationary processes based on a recently introduced class of non-linear models, i.e., vine copula models. By means of a simulation…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-08 Roberto Fuentes-Martínez , Irene Crimaldi , Armando Rungi

We study the data-driven selection of causal graphical models using constraint-based algorithms, which determine the existence or non-existence of edges (causal connections) in a graph based on testing a series of conditional independence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-29 Daniel Malinsky

We propose a dependence-aware predictive modeling framework for multivariate risks stemmed from an insurance contract with bundling features - an important type of policy increasingly offered by major insurance companies. The bundling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-17 Peng Shi , Zifeng Zhao

Causal models seek to unravel the cause-effect relationships among variables from observed data, as opposed to mere mappings among them, as traditional regression models do. This paper introduces a novel causal discovery algorithm designed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-03 Saeed Mohseni-Sehdeh , Walid Saad

We propose a flexible Bayesian approach for estimating the joint density of a multivariate outcome of interest in the presence of categorical covariates. Leveraging a Gaussian copula framework, our method effectively captures the dependence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-10 Giovanni Toto , Peter Müller , Abhra Sarkar

In this paper, we discuss information-theoretic tools for obtaining optimized coarse-grained molecular models for both equilibrium and non-equilibrium molecular dynamics. The latter are ubiquitous in physicochemical and biological…

Copula-based models provide a great deal of flexibility in modelling multivariate distributions, allowing for the specifications of models for the marginal distributions separately from the dependence structure (copula) that links them to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-09 Nicolás Kuschinski , Alejandro Jara

Use copula to model dependency of variable extends multivariate gaussian assumption. In this paper we first empirically studied copula regression model with continous response. Both simulation study and real data study are given. Secondly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-05 Weijian Luo , Mai Wo