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Accurate and reliable energy forecasting is essential for power grid operators who strive to minimize extreme forecasting errors that pose significant operational challenges and incur high intra-day trading costs. Incorporating planning…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Raffael Theiler , Leandro Von Krannichfeldt , Giovanni Sansavini , Michael F. Howland , Olga Fink

Rising penetration levels of (residential) photovoltaic (PV) power as distributed energy resource pose a number of challenges to the electricity infrastructure. High quality, general tools to provide accurate forecasts of power production…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-16 Elizaveta Kharlova , Daniel May , Petr Musilek

Research in deep learning models to forecast traffic intensities has gained great attention in recent years due to their capability to capture the complex spatio-temporal relationships within the traffic data. However, most state-of-the-art…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-29 Amit Roy , Kashob Kumar Roy , Amin Ahsan Ali , M Ashraful Amin , A K M Mahbubur Rahman

Accurate traffic Flow Prediction can assist in traffic management, route planning, and congestion mitigation, which holds significant importance in enhancing the efficiency and reliability of intelligent transportation systems (ITS).…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-09 Wei Zhang , Peng Tang

Long-term time-series forecasting (LTTF) has become a pressing demand in many applications, such as wind power supply planning. Transformer models have been adopted to deliver high prediction capacity because of the high computational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-06 Yan Li , Xinjiang Lu , Haoyi Xiong , Jian Tang , Jiantao Su , Bo Jin , Dejing Dou

Electrification of vehicles is a potential way of reducing fossil fuel usage and thus lessening environmental pollution. Electric Vehicles (EVs) of various types for different transport modes (including air, water, and land) are evolving.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-19 Mohammad Wazed Ali , Asif bin Mustafa , Md. Aukerul Moin Shuvo , Bernhard Sick

The extraction of spatial-temporal features is a crucial research in transportation studies, and current studies typically use a unified temporal modeling mechanism and fixed spatial graph for this purpose. However, the fixed spatial graph…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-12-31 Dongran Zhang , Jun Li

Multivariate time series forecasting enables the prediction of future states by leveraging historical data, thereby facilitating decision-making processes. Each data node in a multivariate time series encompasses a sequence of multiple…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Xinlong Zhao , Liying Zhang , Tianbo Zou , Yan Zhang

Real-time and precise traffic flow prediction is vital for the efficiency of intelligent transportation systems. Traditional methods often employ graph neural networks (GNNs) with predefined graphs to describe spatial correlations among…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-18 Ben-Ao Dai , Bao-Lin Ye , Lingxi Li

Accurate forecasting of renewable generation is crucial to facilitate the integration of Renewable Energy Sources into the power system. Focusing on photovoltaic (PV) units, forecasting methods can be divided into two main categories:…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Matteo Tortora , Francesco Conte , Gianluca Natrella , Paolo Soda

Spatial-temporal data forecasting of traffic flow is a challenging task because of complicated spatial dependencies and dynamical trends of temporal pattern between different roads. Existing frameworks typically utilize given spatial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-09 Mengzhang Li , Zhanxing Zhu

Model-based control methods for robotic systems such as quadrotors, autonomous driving vehicles and flexible manipulators require motion models that generate accurate predictions of complex nonlinear system dynamics over long periods of…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2021-10-11 Samuel Looper , Steven L. Waslander

This paper proposes a novel framework for enhancing the prediction accuracy and lead time of El Ni\~no events, crucial for mitigating their global climatic, economic, and societal impacts. Traditional prediction models often rely on oceanic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-08 Viet Trinh , Ha-Vy Luu , Quoc-Khiem Nguyen-Pham , Hung Tong , Thanh-Huyen Tran , Hoai-Nam Nguyen Dang

Self-supervised representation learning, particularly through contrastive methods like TS2Vec, has advanced the analysis of time series data. However, these models often falter in forecasting tasks because their objective functions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Ganeshan Niroshan , Uthayasanker Thayasivam

When cloud layers cover photovoltaic (PV) panels, the amount of power the panels produce fluctuates rapidly. Therefore, to maintain enough energy on a power grid to match demand, utilities companies rely on reserve power sources that…

Time series forecasting is extensively applied across diverse domains. Transformer-based models demonstrate significant potential in modeling cross-time and cross-variable interaction. However, we notice that the cross-variable correlation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-08 Ao Hu , Dongkai Wang , Yong Dai , Shiyi Qi , Liangjian Wen , Jun Wang , Zhi Chen , Xun Zhou , Zenglin Xu , Jiang Duan

Cloud cover plays a critical role in weather prediction and impacts several sectors, including agriculture, solar power generation, and aviation. Despite advancements in numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, forecasting total cloud…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-05-20 Mikko Partio , Leila Hieta , Anniina Kokkonen

Traffic flow forecasting is challenging due to the intricate spatio-temporal correlations in traffic flow data. Existing Transformer-based methods usually treat traffic flow forecasting as multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-15 Junhao Zhang , Junjie Tang , Juncheng Jin , Zehui Qu

As global climate change intensifies, accurate weather forecasting has become increasingly important, affecting agriculture, energy management, environmental protection, and daily life. This study introduces a hybrid model combining…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-22 Yuhao Gong , Yuchen Zhang , Fei Wang , Chi-Han Lee

Accurate forecasting of solar power generation with fine temporal and spatial resolution is vital for the operation of the power grid. However, state-of-the-art approaches that combine machine learning with numerical weather predictions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-09 Jelena Simeunović , Baptiste Schubnel , Pierre-Jean Alet , Rafael E. Carrillo