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Data driven methods for time series forecasting that quantify uncertainty open new important possibilities for robot tasks with hard real time constraints, allowing the robot system to make decisions that trade off between reaction time and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-08 Sebastian Gomez-Gonzalez , Sergey Prokudin , Bernhard Scholkopf , Jan Peters

Delay embedding---a method for reconstructing dynamical systems by delay coordinates---is widely used to forecast nonlinear time series as a model-free approach. When multivariate time series are observed, several existing frameworks can be…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-07-04 Shunya Okuno , Kazuyuki Aihara , Yoshito Hirata

Recent advancements in transformer-based models have greatly improved time series analysis, providing robust solutions for tasks such as forecasting, anomaly detection, and classification. A crucial element of these models is positional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-07 Habib Irani , Vangelis Metsis

Time series analysis is critical for emerging net- work intelligent control and management functions. However, existing statistical-based and shallow machine learning models have shown limited prediction capabilities on multivariate time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 Yufeng Xin , Ethan Fan

Recently, generative graph models have shown promising results in learning graph representations through self-supervised methods. However, most existing generative graph representation learning (GRL) approaches rely on random masking across…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Xinyue Hu , Zhibin Duan , Xinyang Liu , Yuxin Li , Bo Chen , Chaojie Wang , Yilin He , Hongwei Liu , Mingyuan Zhou

In the past few years, time series foundation models have achieved superior predicting accuracy. However, real-world time series often exhibit significant diversity in their temporal patterns across different time spans and domains, making…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-19 Aobo Liang , Yan Sun , Xiaohou Shi , Ke Li

Multivariate time series classification (MTSC) is an important data mining task, which can be effectively solved by popular deep learning technology. Unfortunately, the existing deep learning-based methods neglect the hidden dependencies in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-19 Huaiyuan Liu , Xianzhang Liu , Donghua Yang , Zhiyu Liang , Hongzhi Wang , Yong Cui , Jun Gu

Multivariate time series are routinely encountered in real-world applications, and in many cases, these time series are strongly correlated. In this paper, we present a deep learning structural time series model which can (i) handle…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-03 Changwei Hu , Yifan Hu , Sungyong Seo

As multimodal data proliferates across diverse real-world applications, leveraging heterogeneous information such as texts and timestamps for accurate time series forecasting (TSF) has become a critical challenge. While diffusion models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Da Zhang , Bingyu Li , Zhuyuan Zhao , Junyu Gao , Feiping Nie , Xuelong Li

Transformer-based and MLP-based methods have emerged as leading approaches in time series forecasting (TSF). While Transformer-based methods excel in capturing long-range dependencies, they suffer from high computational complexities and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-16 Yifan Hu , Peiyuan Liu , Peng Zhu , Dawei Cheng , Tao Dai

Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) aims to learn temporal dynamics among variables to forecast future time series. Existing statistical and deep learning-based methods suffer from limited learnable parameters and small-scale…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Chenxi Liu , Qianxiong Xu , Hao Miao , Sun Yang , Lingzheng Zhang , Cheng Long , Ziyue Li , Rui Zhao

Mining time-frequency features is critical for time series forecasting. Existing research has predominantly focused on modeling low-frequency patterns, where most time series energy is concentrated. The overlooking of mid to high frequency…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-11 Boya Zhang , Shuaijie Yin , Huiwen Zhu , Xing He

Differentiable programming has recently received much interest as a paradigm that facilitates taking gradients of computer programs. While the corresponding flexible gradient-based optimization approaches so far have been used predominantly…

This paper introduces a data-driven time embedding method for modeling long-range seasonal dependencies in spatiotemporal forecasting tasks. The proposed approach employs Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to extract temporal modes directly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Xudong Wang , Lijun Sun

Deep Learning (DL) techniques for Natural Language Processing have been evolving remarkably fast. Recently, the DL advances in language modeling, machine translation and paragraph understanding are so prominent that the potential of DL in…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2020-06-16 Triet H. M. Le , Hao Chen , M. Ali Babar

Time series forecasting, which aims to predict future values based on historical data, has garnered significant attention due to its broad range of applications. However, real-world time series often exhibit complex non-uniform distribution…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-02 Yanru Sun , Zongxia Xie , Emadeldeen Eldele , Dongyue Chen , Qinghua Hu , Min Wu

Graph neural networks (GNN) have shown great success in learning from graph-structured data. They are widely used in various applications, such as recommendation, fraud detection, and search. In these domains, the graphs are typically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-04 Da Zheng , Chao Ma , Minjie Wang , Jinjing Zhou , Qidong Su , Xiang Song , Quan Gan , Zheng Zhang , George Karypis

In this paper we describe the implementation of semi-structured deep distributional regression, a flexible framework to learn conditional distributions based on the combination of additive regression models and deep networks. Our…

Accurate energy time-series forecasting is crucial for ensuring grid stability and promoting the integration of renewable energy, yet it faces significant challenges from complex temporal dependencies and the heterogeneity of multi-source…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 Mingnan Zhu , Qixuan Zhang , Yixuan Cheng , Fangzhou Gu , Shiming Lin

The behaviors and skills of models in many geosciences (e.g., hydrology and ecosystem sciences) strongly depend on spatially-varying parameters that need calibration. A well-calibrated model can reasonably propagate information from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-24 Wen-Ping Tsai , Dapeng Feng , Ming Pan , Hylke Beck , Kathryn Lawson , Yuan Yang , Jiangtao Liu , Chaopeng Shen