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相关论文: Transferable Time-Series Forecasting under Causal …

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Domain-specific foundation models for healthcare have expanded rapidly in recent years, yet foundation models for critical care time series remain relatively underexplored due to the limited size and availability of datasets. In this work,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-25 Katja Naasunnguaq Jagd , Rachael DeVries , Ole Winther

Domain adaptation approaches have shown promising results in reducing the marginal distribution difference among visual domains. They allow to train reliable models that work over datasets of different nature (photos, paintings etc), but…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-06-13 Silvia Bucci , Antonio D'Innocente , Tatiana Tommasi

Multivariate time series forecasting plays a pivotal role in contemporary web technologies. In contrast to conventional methods that involve creating dedicated models for specific time series application domains, this research advocates for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-26 Xu Liu , Junfeng Hu , Yuan Li , Shizhe Diao , Yuxuan Liang , Bryan Hooi , Roger Zimmermann

Time series data is prevalent in a wide variety of real-world applications and it calls for trustworthy and explainable models for people to understand and fully trust decisions made by AI solutions. We consider the problem of building…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Tsung-Yu Hsieh , Suhang Wang , Yiwei Sun , Vasant Honavar

In this work, we analyze the conditions under which information about the context of an input $X$ can improve the predictions of deep learning models in new domains. Following work in marginal transfer learning in Domain Generalization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-23 Jens Müller , Lars Kühmichel , Martin Rohbeck , Stefan T. Radev , Ullrich Köthe

Structural Causal Models (SCMs) offer a principled framework to reason about interventions and support out-of-distribution generalization, which are key goals in scientific discovery. However, the task of learning SCMs from observed data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-06 Divyat Mahajan , Jannes Gladrow , Agrin Hilmkil , Cheng Zhang , Meyer Scetbon

We introduce a novel framework to financial time series forecasting that leverages causality-inspired models to balance the trade-off between invariance to distributional changes and minimization of prediction errors. To the best of our…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-08-20 Daniel Cunha Oliveira , Yutong Lu , Xi Lin , Mihai Cucuringu , Andre Fujita

Unsupervised domain adaptation methods aim to alleviate performance degradation caused by domain-shift by learning domain-invariant representations. Existing deep domain adaptation methods focus on holistic feature alignment by matching…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-20 Jun Wen , Risheng Liu , Nenggan Zheng , Qian Zheng , Zhefeng Gong , Junsong Yuan

Causal inference across multiple data sources offers a promising avenue to enhance the generalizability and replicability of scientific findings. However, data integration methods for time-to-event outcomes, common in biomedical research,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-16 Yi Liu , Alexander W. Levis , Ke Zhu , Shu Yang , Peter B. Gilbert , Larry Han

The ultimate goal of regression analysis is to obtain information about the conditional distribution of a response given a set of explanatory variables. This goal is, however, seldom achieved because most established regression models only…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-13 Torsten Hothorn , Thomas Kneib , Peter Bühlmann

Meta-learning methods perform well on new within-distribution tasks but often fail when adapting to out-of-distribution target tasks, where transfer from source tasks can induce negative transfer. We propose a causally-aware Bayesian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Lotta Mäkinen , Jorge Loría , Samuel Kaski

Time series forecasting drives operational decisions in areas like finance, transportation, and energy. While supervised learning approaches achieve strong performance, they require domain-specific training, feature engineering, and ongoing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Kavin Soni , Debanshu Das , Vamshi Guduguntla

Causal discovery from time series is a fundamental task in machine learning. However, its widespread adoption is hindered by a reliance on untestable causal assumptions and by the lack of robustness-oriented evaluation in existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-01 Huiyang Yi , Xiaojian Shen , Yonggang Wu , Duxin Chen , He Wang , Wenwu Yu

When predicting a target variable $Y$ from features $X$, the prediction $\hat{Y}$ can be performative: an agent might act on this prediction, affecting the value of $Y$ that we eventually observe. Performative predictions are deliberately…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-09 Philip Boeken , Onno Zoeter , Joris M. Mooij

Predictive models that generalize well under distributional shift are often desirable and sometimes crucial to building robust and reliable machine learning applications. We focus on distributional shift that arises in causal inference from…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-27 Fredrik D. Johansson , Nathan Kallus , Uri Shalit , David Sontag

Multivariate time series prediction has applications in a wide variety of domains and is considered to be a very challenging task, especially when the variables have correlations and exhibit complex temporal patterns, such as seasonality…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-07 Yuya Jeremy Ong , Mu Qiao , Divyesh Jadav

Transfer learning methods, and in particular domain adaptation, help exploit labeled data in one domain to improve the performance of a certain task in another domain. However, it is still not clear what factors affect the success of domain…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-06-25 Nicolai Pogrebnyakov , Shohreh Shaghaghian

Machine learning models rely on various assumptions to attain high accuracy. One of the preliminary assumptions of these models is the independent and identical distribution, which suggests that the train and test data are sampled from the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-08 Paras Sheth , Raha Moraffah , K. Selçuk Candan , Adrienne Raglin , Huan Liu

The recent success of neural machine translation models relies on the availability of high quality, in-domain data. Domain adaptation is required when domain-specific data is scarce or nonexistent. Previous unsupervised domain adaptation…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2019-08-29 Zi-Yi Dou , Junjie Hu , Antonios Anastasopoulos , Graham Neubig

In Domain Generalization (DG) tasks, models are trained by using only training data from the source domains to achieve generalization on an unseen target domain, this will suffer from the distribution shift problem. So it's important to…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-02-14 Cheng Dai , Yingqiao Lin , Fan Li , Xiyao Li , Donglin Xie
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