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相关论文: Analyzing the Impact of Meteorological Parameters …

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: One of the prominent challenges being faced by agricultural sciences is the onset of climate change which is adversely affecting every aspect of cropping. Modelling of climate change at macro level have been carried out at large scale and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Abhishek Singh , Aaditya Jadhav , Abha Goyal , Jesma V , Vyshna I C

Precipitation plays a critical role in the Earth's hydrological cycle, directly affecting ecosystems, agriculture, and water resource management. Accurate precipitation estimation and prediction are crucial for understanding climate…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-04-16 Zhenyu Yu , Hanqing Chen , Mohd Yamani Idna Idris , Pei Wang

Physics-based numerical models have been the bedrock of atmospheric sciences for decades, offering robust solutions but often at the cost of significant computational resources. Deep learning (DL) models have emerged as powerful tools in…

Despite the importance of quantifying how the spatial patterns of extreme precipitation will change with warming, we lack tools to objectively analyze the storm-scale outputs of modern climate models. To address this gap, we develop an…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-12-04 Griffin Mooers , Tom Beucler , Mike Pritchard , Stephan Mandt

Precipitation Nowcasting, which aims to predict precipitation within the next 0 to 6 hours, is critical for disaster mitigation and real-time response planning. However, most time series forecasting benchmarks in meteorology are evaluated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-05 Yifang Zhang , Shengwu Xiong , Henan Wang , Wenjie Yin , Jiawang Peng , Yuqiang Zhang , Chen Zhou , Hua Chen , Qile Zhao , Pengfei Duan

Soft Computing techniques have opened up new avenues to the forecasters of complex systems. Atmosphere is a complex system and all the atmospheric parameters carry different degrees of complexity within themselves. Endeavor of the present…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Surajit Chattopadhyay , Manojit Chattopadhyay

Motivated by the EVA 2025 Data Challenge, we address the problem of predicting extreme rainfall in the eastern United States using data from a large ensemble of climate model runs. The challenge focuses on three quantities of interest…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-20 Ryan Campbell , Kristina Grolmusova , Lydia Kakampakou , Jeongjin Lee

The influence of forest loss on rainfall remains poorly understood. Addressing this challenge Spracklen et al. recently presented a pan-tropical study of rainfall and land-cover that showed that satellite-derived rainfall measures were…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2014-04-04 Anastassia M. Makarieva , Victor G. Gorshkov , Douglas Sheil , Antonio D. Nobre , Peter Bunyard , Bai-Lian Li

Global warming is projected to intensify the hydrological cycle, amplifying risks to ecosystems and society. While extreme rainfall appears to exhibit stronger sensitivity to global warming compared to mean rainfall rates, a unifying…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-01-13 Jun Yin , Bei Gao , Amilcare Porporato

Short- or mid-term rainfall forecasting is a major task with several environmental applications such as agricultural management or flood risk monitoring. Existing data-driven approaches, especially deep learning models, have shown…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-01-13 Vincent Bouget , Dominique Béréziat , Julien Brajard , Anastase Charantonis , Arthur Filoche

This paper discusses several modern approaches to regression analysis involving time series data where some of the predictor variables are also indexed by time. We discuss classical statistical approaches as well as methods that have been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-02 Stephanie Clark , Rob J Hyndman , Dan Pagendam , Louise M Ryan

Subseasonal forecasting of the weather two to six weeks in advance is critical for resource allocation and advance disaster notice but poses many challenges for the forecasting community. At this forecast horizon, physics-based dynamical…

Rainfall prediction remains a persistent challenge due to the highly nonlinear and complex nature of meteorological data. Existing approaches lack systematic utilization of grid search for optimal hyperparameter tuning, relying instead on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-29 Zhenqi Li , Junhao Zhong , Hewei Wang , Jinfeng Xu , Yijie Li , Jinjiang You , Jiayi Zhang , Runzhi Wu , Soumyabrata Dev

Sub-seasonal climate forecasting (SSF) focuses on predicting key climate variables such as temperature and precipitation in the 2-week to 2-month time scales. Skillful SSF would have immense societal value, in areas such as agricultural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-25 Sijie He , Xinyan Li , Timothy DelSole , Pradeep Ravikumar , Arindam Banerjee

A precise forecast for droughts is of considerable value to scientific research, agriculture, and water resource management. With emerging developments of data-driven approaches for hydro-climate modeling, this paper investigates an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-25 Shiheng Duan , Xiurui Zhang

Statistical analyses and descriptive characterizations are sometimes assumed to be offering information on time series forecastability. Despite the scientific interest suggested by such assumptions, the relationships between descriptive…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-02-22 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis , Ilias G. Pechlivanidis , Salvatore Grimaldi , Elena Volpi

Machine learning has the potential to aid in mitigating the human effects of climate change. Previous applications of machine learning to tackle the human effects in climate change include approaches like informing individuals of their…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-11-26 Kyle Tilbury , Jesse Hoey

Despite the increasing importance of forecasts of renewable energy, current planning studies only address a general estimate of the forecast quality to be expected and selected forecast horizons. However, these estimates allow only a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-06-03 Jens Schreiber , Artjom Buschin , Bernhard Sick

This report first provides a brief overview of a number of supervised learning algorithms for regression tasks. Among those are neural networks, regression trees, and the recently introduced Nexting. Nexting has been presented in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-19 Michael Koller , Johannes Feldmaier , Klaus Diepold

Gaining a deeper understanding of weather and being able to predict its future conduct have always been considered important endeavors for the growth of our society. This research paper explores the advancements in understanding and…