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相关论文: Variance Minimization in the Wasserstein Space for…

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We develop novel empirical Bernstein inequalities for the variance of bounded random variables. Our inequalities hold under constant conditional variance and mean, without further assumptions like independence or identical distribution of…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-28 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Aaditya Ramdas

We propose a novel unsupervised framework for \emph{Invariant Risk Minimization} (IRM), extending the concept of invariance to settings where labels are unavailable. Traditional IRM methods rely on labeled data to learn representations that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Yotam Norman , Ron Meir

Iterative Closest Point (ICP) is a commonly used algorithm to estimate transformation between two point clouds. The key idea of this work is to leverage recent advances in explainable AI for probabilistic ICP methods that provide…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-12-31 Ziyuan Qin , Jongseok Lee , Rudolph Triebel

The causal (belief) network is a well-known graphical structure for representing independencies in a joint probability distribution. The exact methods and the approximation methods, which perform probabilistic inference in causal networks,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-05 Richard E. Neapolitan , James Kenevan

Causal influence measures for machine learnt classifiers shed light on the reasons behind classification, and aid in identifying influential input features and revealing their biases. However, such analyses involve evaluating the classifier…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-04-10 Shayak Sen , Piotr Mardziel , Anupam Datta , Matthew Fredrikson

Along with Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, variational inference (VI) has emerged as a central computational approach to large-scale Bayesian inference. Rather than sampling from the true posterior $\pi$, VI aims at producing a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-04-24 Marc Lambert , Sinho Chewi , Francis Bach , Silvère Bonnabel , Philippe Rigollet

One of the most fundamental problems in causal inference is the estimation of a causal effect when variables are confounded. This is difficult in an observational study, because one has no direct evidence that all confounders have been…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-11-03 Ricardo Silva , Robin Evans

Particle-based variational inference offers a flexible way of approximating complex posterior distributions with a set of particles. In this paper we introduce a new particle-based variational inference method based on the theory of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-16 Luca Ambrogioni , Umut Guclu , Marcel van Gerven

Optimal transportation theory and the related $p$-Wasserstein distance ($W_p$, $p\geq 1$) are widely-applied in statistics and machine learning. In spite of their popularity, inference based on these tools has some issues. For instance, it…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-01 Yiming Ma , Hang Liu , Davide La Vecchia , Metthieu Lerasle

Inverse problems in physical or biological sciences often involve recovering an unknown parameter that is random. The sought-after quantity is a probability distribution of the unknown parameter, that produces data that aligns with…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-02 Qin Li , Maria Oprea , Li Wang , Yunan Yang

This short study presents an opportunistic approach to a (more) reliable validation method for prediction uncertainty average calibration. Considering that variance-based calibration metrics (ZMS, NLL, RCE...) are quite sensitive to the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-08-27 Pascal Pernot

In this paper, we study statistical inference for the Wasserstein distance, which has attracted much attention and has been applied to various machine learning tasks. Several studies have been proposed in the literature, but almost all of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-21 Vo Nguyen Le Duy , Ichiro Takeuchi

We consider the problem of learning the causal MAG of a system from observational data in the presence of latent variables and selection bias. Constraint-based methods are one of the main approaches for solving this problem, but the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-26 Sina Akbari , Ehsan Mokhtarian , AmirEmad Ghassami , Negar Kiyavash

Variational inference (VI) can be cast as an optimization problem in which the variational parameters are tuned to closely align a variational distribution with the true posterior. The optimization task can be approached through vanilla…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-24 Dai Hai Nguyen , Tetsuya Sakurai , Hiroshi Mamitsuka

We address the problem of inferring the causal direction between two variables by comparing the least-squares errors of the predictions in both possible directions. Under the assumption of an independence between the function relating cause…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-01-25 Patrick Blöbaum , Dominik Janzing , Takashi Washio , Shohei Shimizu , Bernhard Schölkopf

It has become increasingly common nowadays to collect observations of feature and response pairs from different environments. As a consequence, one has to apply learned predictors to data with a different distribution due to distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-31 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

This paper is concerned by statistical inference problems from a data set whose elements may be modeled as random probability measures such as multiple histograms or point clouds. We propose to review recent contributions in statistics on…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-08-27 Jérémie Bigot

To infer a function value on a specific point $x$, it is essential to assign higher weights to the points closer to $x$, which is called local polynomial / multivariable regression. In many practical cases, a limited sample size may ruin…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-30 Yanwu Gu , Dong Xia

Computer vision systems that are deployed in safety-critical applications need to quantify their output uncertainty. We study regression from images to parameter values and here it is common to detect uncertainty by predicting probability…

Model predictive control (MPC) schemes have a proven track record for delivering aggressive and robust performance in many challenging control tasks, coping with nonlinear system dynamics, constraints, and observational noise. Despite their…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-01-24 Lucas Barcelos , Alexander Lambert , Rafael Oliveira , Paulo Borges , Byron Boots , Fabio Ramos