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The quantification of uncertainty is important for the adoption of machine learning, especially to reject out-of-distribution (OOD) data back to human experts for review. Yet progress has been slow, as a balance must be struck between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-12 Derek Everett , Andre T. Nguyen , Luke E. Richards , Edward Raff

Deep neural networks lack interpretability and tend to be overconfident, which poses a serious problem in safety-critical applications like autonomous driving, medical imaging, or machine vision tasks with high demands on reliability.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-03-27 Steven Landgraf , Kira Wursthorn , Markus Hillemann , Markus Ulrich

Uncertainty estimates of modern neuronal networks provide additional information next to the computed predictions and are thus expected to improve the understanding of the underlying model. Reliable uncertainties are particularly…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-06-11 Alain Jungo , Raphael Meier , Ekin Ermis , Evelyn Herrmann , Mauricio Reyes

When employing deep neural networks (DNNs) for semantic segmentation in safety-critical applications like automotive perception or medical imaging, it is important to estimate their performance at runtime, e.g. via uncertainty estimates or…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-09-18 Edgar Heinert , Stephan Tilgner , Timo Palm , Matthias Rottmann

Deep learning (DL) techniques have achieved great success in predictive accuracy in a variety of tasks, but deep neural networks (DNNs) are shown to produce highly overconfident scores for even abnormal samples. Well-defined uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-26 Yufei Li , Simin Chen , Wei Yang

We propose a simple method that combines neural networks and Gaussian processes. The proposed method can estimate the uncertainty of outputs and flexibly adjust target functions where training data exist, which are advantages of Gaussian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-20 Tomoharu Iwata , Zoubin Ghahramani

Turning pass-through network architectures into iterative ones, which use their own output as input, is a well-known approach for boosting performance. In this paper, we argue that such architectures offer an additional benefit: The…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-05-27 Nikita Durasov , Doruk Oner , Jonathan Donier , Hieu Le , Pascal Fua

We show that a neural network with arbitrary depth and non-linearities, with dropout applied before every weight layer, is mathematically equivalent to an approximation to a well known Bayesian model. This interpretation might offer an…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-05-26 Yarin Gal , Zoubin Ghahramani

Characterizing uncertainty is a common issue in nuclear measurement and has important implications for reliable physical discovery. Traditional methods are either insufficient to cope with the heterogeneous nature of uncertainty or…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-03-01 Pengcheng Ai , Zhi Deng , Yi Wang , Chendi Shen

We show how to adjust for the variance introduced by dropout with corrections to weight initialization and Batch Normalization, yielding higher accuracy. Though dropout can preserve the expected input to a neuron between train and test, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-03-27 Dan Hendrycks , Kevin Gimpel

We propose a network architecture capable of reliably estimating uncertainty of regression based predictions without sacrificing accuracy. The current state-of-the-art uncertainty algorithms either fall short of achieving prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-22 Kinjal Patel , Steven Waslander

Effective quantification of uncertainty is an essential and still missing step towards a greater adoption of deep-learning approaches in different applications, including mission-critical ones. In particular, investigations on the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-14 Marco Forgione , Dario Piga

In this study, we explore in depth a few under-studied topics at the intersection of uncertainty estimation and segmentation. Prior work has shown that the quality of uncertainty estimates can be very sensitive to a range of variables. As…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-18 Michael Smith , Frank P. Ferrie

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are often coupled with physics-based models or data-driven surrogate models to perform fault detection and health monitoring of systems in the low data regime. These models serve as digital twins to generate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-21 Laya Das , Blazhe Gjorgiev , Giovanni Sansavini

The training phases of Deep neural network~(DNN) consumes enormous processing time and energy. Compression techniques utilizing the sparsity of DNNs can effectively accelerate the inference phase of DNNs. However, it can be hardly used in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-12-17 Zhuoran Song , Ru Wang , Dongyu Ru , Hongru Huang , Zhenghao Peng , Jing Ke , Xiaoyao Liang , Li Jiang

Grokking refers to delayed generalization in which the increase in test accuracy of a neural network occurs appreciably after the improvement in training accuracy This paper introduces several practical metrics including variance under…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-17 Ahmed Salah , David Yevick

Ensembling multiple predictions is a widely used technique for improving the accuracy of various machine learning tasks. One obvious drawback of ensembling is its higher execution cost during inference. In this paper, we first describe our…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-11 Hiroshi Inoue

While deep neural networks have become the go-to approach in computer vision, the vast majority of these models fail to properly capture the uncertainty inherent in their predictions. Estimating this predictive uncertainty can be crucial,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-08 Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Martin Danelljan , Thomas B. Schön

When deployed for risk-sensitive tasks, deep neural networks must include an uncertainty estimation mechanism. Here we examine the relationship between deep architectures and their respective training regimes, with their corresponding…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-24 Ido Galil , Mohammed Dabbah , Ran El-Yaniv

Reliably assessing model confidence in deep learning and predicting errors likely to be made are key elements in providing safety for model deployment, in particular for applications with dire consequences. In this paper, it is first shown…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-21 Theodoros Tsiligkaridis