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As neural networks become more popular, the need for accompanying uncertainty estimates increases. There are currently two main approaches to test the quality of these estimates. Most methods output a density. They can be compared by…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-05 Laurens Sluijterman , Eric Cator , Tom Heskes

Although neural networks (especially deep neural networks) have achieved \textit{better-than-human} performance in many fields, their real-world deployment is still questionable due to the lack of awareness about the limitation in their…

Reliable uncertainty estimation is crucial for machine learning models, especially in safety-critical domains. While exact Bayesian inference offers a principled approach, it is often computationally infeasible for deep neural networks.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-18 Aslak Djupskås , Alexander Johannes Stasik , Signe Riemer-Sørensen

Uncertainty estimation for unlabeled data is crucial to active learning. With a deep neural network employed as the backbone model, the data selection process is highly challenging due to the potential over-confidence of the model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-14 Xingjian Li , Pengkun Yang , Yangcheng Gu , Xueying Zhan , Tianyang Wang , Min Xu , Chengzhong Xu

Deep learning has achieved impressive performance on many tasks in recent years. However, it has been found that it is still not enough for deep neural networks to provide only point estimates. For high-risk tasks, we need to assess the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-28 Yuandu Lai , Yucheng Shi , Yahong Han , Yunfeng Shao , Meiyu Qi , Bingshuai Li

Dropout is a regularization technique widely used in training artificial neural networks to mitigate overfitting. It consists of dynamically deactivating subsets of the network during training to promote more robust representations. Despite…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-10 Francesco Mori , Francesca Mignacco

This paper aims to understand and improve the utility of the dropout operation from the perspective of game-theoretic interactions. We prove that dropout can suppress the strength of interactions between input variables of deep neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-17 Hao Zhang , Sen Li , Yinchao Ma , Mingjie Li , Yichen Xie , Quanshi Zhang

Predictive uncertainty estimation is an essential next step for the reliable deployment of deep object detectors in safety-critical tasks. In this work, we focus on estimating predictive distributions for bounding box regression output with…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-03-15 Ali Harakeh , Steven L. Waslander

Uncertainty estimation is a standard tool to quantify the reliability of modern deep learning models, and crucial for many real-world applications. However, efficient uncertainty estimation methods for spiking neural networks, particularly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Tao Sun , Sander Bohté

Each year a growing number of wind farms are being added to power grids to generate electricity. The power curve of a wind turbine, which exhibits the relationship between generated power and wind speed, plays a major role in assessing the…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-06-10 Farzad Karami , Nasser Kehtarnavaz , Mario Rotea

Deep neural networks(NNs) have achieved impressive performance, often exceed human performance on many computer vision tasks. However, one of the most challenging issues that still remains is that NNs are overconfident in their predictions,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-30 Chanwoo Park , Jae Myung Kim , Seok Hyeon Ha , Jungwoo Lee

Neural networks are often overconfident about their predictions, which undermines their reliability and trustworthiness. In this work, we present a novel technique, named Error-Driven Uncertainty Aware Training (EUAT), which aims to enhance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-12 Pedro Mendes , Paolo Romano , David Garlan

Introduced by Hinton et al. in 2012, dropout has stood the test of time as a regularizer for preventing overfitting in neural networks. In this study, we demonstrate that dropout can also mitigate underfitting when used at the start of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-01 Zhuang Liu , Zhiqiu Xu , Joseph Jin , Zhiqiang Shen , Trevor Darrell

Existing methods for estimating uncertainty in deep learning tend to require multiple forward passes, making them unsuitable for applications where computational resources are limited. To solve this, we perform probabilistic reasoning over…

Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

Transformer-based language models are widely deployed for reasoning, yet their behavior under inference-time stochasticity remains underexplored. While dropout is common during training, its inference-time effects via Monte Carlo sampling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-19 Antônio Junior Alves Caiado , Michael Hahsler

To obtain uncertainty estimates with real-world Bayesian deep learning models, practical inference approximations are needed. Dropout variational inference (VI) for example has been used for machine vision and medical applications, but VI…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-03-09 Yingzhen Li , Yarin Gal

Dropout is a simple but efficient regularization technique for achieving better generalization of deep neural networks (DNNs); hence it is widely used in tasks based on DNNs. During training, dropout randomly discards a portion of the…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2020-10-22 Hiroshi Inoue

In many applications with real-world consequences, it is crucial to develop reliable uncertainty estimation for the predictions made by the AI decision systems. Targeting at the goal of estimating uncertainty, various deep neural network…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-13 Huimin Zeng , Zhenrui Yue , Yang Zhang , Ziyi Kou , Lanyu Shang , Dong Wang

Overfitting is a common problem in machine learning, which means the model too closely fits the training data while performing poorly in the test data. Among various methods of coping with overfitting, dropout is one of the representative…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-17 Yangkun Li , Weizhi Ma , Chong Chen , Min Zhang , Yiqun Liu , Shaoping Ma , Yuekui Yang