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A key task in the field of modeling and analyzing nonlinear dynamical systems is the recovery of unknown governing equations from measurement data only. There is a wide range of application areas for this important instance of system…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-04-11 Patrick Gelß , Stefan Klus , Jens Eisert , Christof Schütte

This work presents a data-driven method for learning low-dimensional time-dependent physics-based surrogate models whose predictions are endowed with uncertainty estimates. We use the operator inference approach to model reduction that…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-03-19 Shane A. McQuarrie , Anirban Chaudhuri , Karen E. Willcox , Mengwu Guo

Purely data driven approaches for machine learning present difficulties when data is scarce relative to the complexity of the model or when the model is forced to extrapolate. On the other hand, purely mechanistic approaches need to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-16 Mauricio A. Álvarez , David Luengo , Neil D. Lawrence

Reconstructing noise-driven nonlinear networks from time series of output variables is a challenging problem, which turns to be very difficult when nonlinearity of dynamics, strong noise impacts and low measurement frequencies jointly…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-10-20 Rundong Shi , Gang Hu , Shihong Wang

This paper presents an adaptive Kalman filter for a linear dynamic system perturbed by an additive disturbance. The objective is to estimate both of the state and the unknown disturbance concurrently, while learning the disturbance as a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-10-23 Taeyoung Lee

In this paper we develop a method for learning nonlinear systems with multiple outputs and inputs. We begin by modelling the errors of a nominal predictor of the system using a latent variable framework. Then using the maximum likelihood…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-05-28 Per Mattsson , Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

Learning and predicting the dynamics of physical systems requires a profound understanding of the underlying physical laws. Recent works on learning physical laws involve generalizing the equation discovery frameworks to the discovery of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-11 Tapas Tripura , Souvik Chakraborty

In many problems of data-driven modeling for dynamical systems, the governing equations are not known a priori and must be selected phenomenologically from a large set of candidate interactions and basis functions. In such situations, point…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Shuhei Kashiwamura , Yusuke Kato , Hiroshi Kori , Masato Okada

Regression models are used in a wide range of applications providing a powerful scientific tool for researchers from different fields. Linear, or simple parametric, models are often not sufficient to describe complex relationships between…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-24 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik , Florian Frommlet

The unknown inputs in a dynamical system may represent unknown external drivers, input uncertainty, state uncertainty, or instrument faults and thus unknown-input reconstruction has several wide-spread applications. In this paper we…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-09-22 Roshan A Chavan , Harish J. Palanthandalam-Madapusi

This paper aims to synthesize a reachability controller for an unknown dynamical system. We first learn the unknown system using Gaussian processes and the (probabilistic) guarantee on the learned model. Then we use the funnel-based…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-01-02 Sandeep Gorantla , Jeel Chatrola , Jay Bhagiya , Adnane Saoud , Pushpak Jagtap

This work develops a measurement-driven and model-based formal verification approach, applicable to systems with partly unknown dynamics. We provide a principled method, grounded on reachability analysis and on Bayesian inference, to…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-09-14 Sofie Haesaert , Paul M. J. Van den Hof , Alessandro Abate

The paper proposes an identification procedure for autoregressive gaussian stationary stochastic processes wherein the manifest (or observed) variables are mostly related through a limited number of latent (or hidden) variables. The method…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-12-02 Mattia Zorzi , Rodolphe Sepulchre

Most modern imaging systems incorporate a computational pipeline to infer the image of interest from acquired measurements. The Bayesian approach to solve such ill-posed inverse problems involves the characterization of the posterior…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-05-26 Pakshal Bohra , Thanh-an Pham , Jonathan Dong , Michael Unser

A method for sequential inference of the fixed parameters of a dynamic latent Gaussian models is proposed and evaluated that is based on the iterated Laplace approximation. The method provides a useful trade-off between computational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-09-29 Tiep Mai , Simon Wilson

We study filtering of multiscale dynamical systems with model error arising from unresolved smaller scale processes. The analysis assumes continuous-time noisy observations of all components of the slow variables alone. For a linear model…

动力系统 · 数学 2014-12-03 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

Many real world systems exhibit a quasi linear or weakly nonlinear behavior during normal operation, and a hard saturation effect for high peaks of the input signal. In this paper, a methodology to identify a parsimonious discrete-time…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-05-17 Rishi Relan , Koen Tiels , Anna Marconato , Philippe Dreesen , Johan Schoukens

The optimal predictor for a linear dynamical system (with hidden state and Gaussian noise) takes the form of an autoregressive linear filter, namely the Kalman filter. However, a fundamental problem in reinforcement learning and control…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-27 Holden Lee , Cyril Zhang

We introduce state-space models where the functionals of the observational and the evolutionary equations are unknown, and treated as random functions evolving with time. Thus, our model is nonparametric and generalizes the traditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-24 Anurag Ghosh , Soumalya Mukhopadhyay , Sandipan Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Bayesian computation for filtering and forecasting analysis is developed for a broad class of dynamic models. The ability to scale-up such analyses in non-Gaussian, nonlinear multivariate time series models is advanced through the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Andrew Cron , Mike West