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Knowing the actual precipitation in space and time is critical in hydrological modelling applications, yet the spatial coverage with rain gauge stations is limited due to economic constraints. Gridded satellite precipitation datasets offer…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-08-04 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous , Nikolaos Doulamis , Anastasios Doulamis

Time-series is ubiquitous across applications, such as transportation, finance and healthcare. Time-series is often influenced by external factors, especially in the form of asynchronous events, making forecasting difficult. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-02 Longyuan Li , Jihai Zhang , Junchi Yan , Yaohui Jin , Yunhao Zhang , Yanjie Duan , Guangjian Tian

Numerical weather prediction has traditionally been based on physical models of the atmosphere. Recently, however, the rise of deep learning has created increased interest in purely data-driven medium-range weather forecasting with first…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-03-17 Stephan Rasp , Nils Thuerey

Long-range time series forecasting is usually based on one of two existing forecasting strategies: Direct Forecasting and Iterative Forecasting, where the former provides low bias, high variance forecasts and the latter leads to low…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-14 Shiyu Liu , Rohan Ghosh , Mehul Motani

Reliable uncertainty quantification is critical in multivariate time series forecasting problems arising in domains such as energy systems and transportation networks, among many others. Although Transformer-based architectures have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 Rajdeep Pathak , Rahul Goswami , Madhurima Panja , Palash Ghosh , Tanujit Chakraborty

In this study, we propose a volume-to-point framework for quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) based on the Quantitative Precipitation Estimation and Segregation Using Multiple Sensor (QPESUMS) Mosaic Radar data set. With a data…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-02-16 Ting-Shuo Yo , Shih-Hao Su , Jung-Lien Chu , Chiao-Wei Chang , Hung-Chi Kuo

Deep Learning (DL) based downscaling has become a popular tool in earth sciences recently. Increasingly, different DL approaches are being adopted to downscale coarser precipitation data and generate more accurate and reliable estimates at…

In an effort to provide optimal inputs to downstream modeling systems (e.g., a hydrodynamics model that simulates the water circulation of a lake), we hereby strive to enhance resolution of precipitation fields from a weather model by up to…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-12-03 Campbell D. Watson , Chulin Wang , Timothy Lynar , Komminist Weldemariam

Flight diversions are rare but high-impact events in aviation, making their reliable prediction vital for both safety and operational efficiency. However, their scarcity in historical records impedes the training of machine learning models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-23 Karim Aly , Alexei Sharpanskykh , Jacco Hoekstra

High-quality training data is critical to the performance of machine learning models, particularly Large Language Models (LLMs). However, obtaining real, high-quality data can be challenging, especially for smaller organizations and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-24 Cristian Del Gobbo

Despite tremendous progress in developing deep-learning-based weather forecasting systems, their design space, including the impact of different design choices, is yet to be well understood. This paper aims to fill this knowledge gap by…

The spatial and temporal distribution of precipitation has a significant impact on human lives by determining freshwater resources and agricultural yield, but also rainfall-driven hazards like flooding or landslides. While the ERA5…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-06-23 Luca Glawion , Julius Polz , Harald Kunstmann , Benjamin Fersch , Christian Chwala

Deep generative models often perform poorly in real-world applications due to the heterogeneity of natural data sets. Heterogeneity arises from data containing different types of features (categorical, ordinal, continuous, etc.) and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-23 Chao Ma , Sebastian Tschiatschek , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Richard Turner , Cheng Zhang

The simulation of geological facies in an unobservable volume is essential in various geoscience applications. Given the complexity of the problem, deep generative learning is a promising approach to overcome the limitations of traditional…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-03-05 Ferdinand Bhavsar , Nicolas Desassis , Fabien Ors , Thomas Romary

Modern Earth System Models (ESMs) operate on horizontal scales far larger than typical cloud features, requiring stochastic subcolumn generators to represent subgrid horizontal and vertical cloud variability. Traditional physically-based…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-05-14 Dongmin Lee , Lazaros Oreopoulos , Nayeong Cho , Daeho Jin

In this paper, we propose a non-parametric Bayesian network method to generate synthetic scenarios of hourly generation for variable renewable energy(VRE) plants. The methodology consists of a non-parametric estimation of the probability…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-11 Julio Alberto Dias , Guilherme Machado , Alessandro Soares , Joaquim Dias Garcia

Spatio-temporal (ST) data for urban applications, such as taxi demand, traffic flow, regional rainfall is inherently stochastic and unpredictable. Recently, deep learning based ST prediction models are proposed to learn the ST…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-01 Divya Saxena , Jiannong Cao

In this paper, we propose a novel scenario forecasts approach which can be applied to a broad range of power system operations (e.g., wind, solar, load) over various forecasts horizons and prediction intervals. This approach is model-free…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-03-21 Yize Chen , Xiyu Wang , Baosen Zhang

A key problem in computational material science deals with understanding the effect of material distribution (i.e., microstructure) on material performance. The challenge is to synthesize microstructures, given a finite number of…

The accurate representation of precipitation in Earth system models (ESMs) is crucial for reliable projections of the ecological and socioeconomic impacts in response to anthropogenic global warming. The complex cross-scale interactions of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-09-29 Philipp Hess , Stefan Lange , Christof Schötz , Niklas Boers