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Inference of causality is central in nonlinear time series analysis and science in general. A popular approach to infer causality between two processes is to measure the information flow between them in terms of transfer entropy. Using…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2015-04-16 Jie Sun , Erik M. Bollt

We consider the incorporation of causal knowledge about the presence or absence of (possibly indirect) causal relations into a causal model. Such causal relations correspond to directed paths in a causal model. This type of knowledge…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-03 Giorgos Borboudakis , Ioannis Tsamardinos

Confounding is a significant obstacle to unbiased estimation of causal effects from observational data. For settings with high-dimensional covariates -- such as text data, genomics, or the behavioral social sciences -- researchers have…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-02-01 Katherine A. Keith , Sergey Feldman , David Jurgens , Jonathan Bragg , Rohit Bhattacharya

Causal representation learning aims at identifying high-level causal variables from perceptual data. Most methods assume that all latent causal variables are captured in the high-dimensional observations. We instead consider a partially…

Causal treatment effect estimation is a key problem that arises in a variety of real-world settings, from personalized medicine to governmental policy making. There has been a flurry of recent work in machine learning on estimating causal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-22 Niki Kilbertus , Matt J. Kusner , Ricardo Silva

Many scientific questions in biomedical, environmental, and psychological research involve understanding the effects of multiple factors on outcomes. While factorial experiments are ideal for this purpose, randomized controlled treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-03 Ruoqi Yu , Peng Ding

The broad abundance of time series data, which is in sharp contrast to limited knowledge of the underlying network dynamic processes that produce such observations, calls for a rigorous and efficient method of causal network inference. Here…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-05-19 Jie Sun , Dane Taylor , Erik M. Bollt

Causality is receiving increasing attention by the artificial intelligence and machine learning communities. This paper gives an example of modelling a recommender system problem using causal graphs. Specifically, we approached the causal…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2024-09-17 Emanuele Cavenaghi , Fabio Stella , Markus Zanker

Many scientific datasets are compositional in nature. Important biological examples include species abundances in ecology, cell-type compositions derived from single-cell sequencing data, and amplicon abundance data in microbiome research.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Elisabeth Ailer , Christian L. Müller , Niki Kilbertus

Conventional methods in causal effect inferencetypically rely on specifying a valid set of control variables. When this set is unknown or misspecified, inferences will be erroneous. We propose a method for inferring average causal effects…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-14 Ludvig Hult , Dave Zachariah

Observational studies are the primary source of data for causal inference, but it is challenging when existing unmeasured confounding. Missing data problems are also common in observational studies. How to obtain the causal effects from the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-15 Renzhong Zheng

The causal effect of an intervention (treatment/exposure) on an outcome can be estimated by: i) specifying knowledge about the data-generating process; ii) assessing under what assumptions a target quantity, such as for example a causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-05 Michael Schomaker

Unmeasured confounding presents a common challenge in observational studies, potentially making standard causal parameters unidentifiable without additional assumptions. Given the increasing availability of diverse data sources, exploiting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-18 Shanshan Luo , Yechi Zhang , Wei Li

Causal modeling provides us with powerful counterfactual reasoning and interventional mechanism to generate predictions and reason under various what-if scenarios. However, causal discovery using observation data remains a nontrivial task…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-06 Jawad Chowdhury , Rezaur Rashid , Gabriel Terejanu

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) approach to causal inference using observational data consisting of outcome, treatment, and a set of confounders. The conditional distribution of the outcome given treatment and confounders is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Yongseok Hur , Joonhyuk Jung , Juhee Lee

Detecting and measuring confounding effects from data is a key challenge in causal inference. Existing methods frequently assume causal sufficiency, disregarding the presence of unobserved confounding variables. Causal sufficiency is both…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-09-27 Abbavaram Gowtham Reddy , Vineeth N Balasubramanian

We study causal effect estimation from a mixture of observational and interventional data in a confounded linear regression model with multivariate treatments. We show that the statistical efficiency in terms of expected squared error can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-03 Klaus-Rudolf Kladny , Julius von Kügelgen , Bernhard Schölkopf , Michael Muehlebach

'Causal' direction is of great importance when dealing with complex systems. Often big volumes of data in the form of time series are available and it is important to develop methods that can inform about possible causal connections between…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-01-24 Fatimah Abdul Razak , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

Entropic causal inference is a framework for inferring the causal direction between two categorical variables from observational data. The central assumption is that the amount of unobserved randomness in the system is not too large. This…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-12 Spencer Compton , Murat Kocaoglu , Kristjan Greenewald , Dmitriy Katz

Combining observational and experimental data for causal inference can improve treatment effect estimation. However, many observational data sets cannot be released due to data privacy considerations, so one researcher may not have access…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-26 Charlotte Z. Mann , Adam C. Sales , Johann A. Gagnon-Bartsch