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Uncertainty estimation is essential to make neural networks trustworthy in real-world applications. Extensive research efforts have been made to quantify and reduce predictive uncertainty. However, most existing works are designed for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-07 Myong Chol Jung , He Zhao , Joanna Dipnall , Belinda Gabbe , Lan Du

Virtual Diagnostic (VD) is a computational tool based on deep learning that can be used to predict a diagnostic output. VDs are especially useful in systems where measuring the output is invasive, limited, costly or runs the risk of…

加速器物理 · 物理学 2021-08-04 Owen Convery , Lewis Smith , Yarin Gal , Adi Hanuka

In principle, deep generative models can be used to perform domain adaptation; i.e. align the input feature representations of test data with that of a separate discriminative model's training data. This can help improve the discriminative…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Ciaran Bench

In this PhD thesis, we propose a novel framework for uncertainty quantification in machine learning, which is based on proper scores. Uncertainty quantification is an important cornerstone for trustworthy and reliable machine learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 Sebastian G. Gruber

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are known to produce incorrect predictions with very high confidence on out-of-distribution inputs (OODs). This limitation is one of the key challenges in the adoption of DNNs in high-assurance systems such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-21 Ramneet Kaur , Susmit Jha , Anirban Roy , Sangdon Park , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

Reliable uncertainty quantification is critical in high-stakes applications, such as medical diagnosis, where confidently incorrect predictions can erode trust in automated decision-making systems. Traditional uncertainty quantification…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-21 Hassan Gharoun , Mohammad Sadegh Khorshidi , Fang Chen , Amir H. Gandomi

Uncertainty quantification in automated image analysis is highly desired in many applications. Typically, machine learning models in classification or segmentation are only developed to provide binary answers; however, quantifying the…

Deep neural networks have achieved significant success in the last decades, but they are not well-calibrated and often produce unreliable predictions. A large number of literature relies on uncertainty quantification to evaluate the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-13 Russell Alan Hart , Linlin Yu , Yifei Lou , Feng Chen

Although Gaussian processes (GPs) with deep kernels have been successfully used for meta-learning in regression tasks, its uncertainty estimation performance can be poor. We propose a meta-learning method for calibrating deep kernel GPs for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-14 Tomoharu Iwata , Atsutoshi Kumagai

Accurately estimating uncertainties in neural network predictions is of great importance in building trusted DNNs-based models, and there is an increasing interest in providing accurate uncertainty estimation on many tasks, such as security…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-14 Yukun Ding , Jinglan Liu , Jinjun Xiong , Yiyu Shi

Predictive uncertainty-a model's self awareness regarding its accuracy on an input-is key for both building robust models via training interventions and for test-time applications such as selective classification. We propose a novel…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-04 Nishant Jain , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Pradeep Shenoy

Measuring uncertainties in the output of a deep learning method is useful in several ways, such as in assisting with interpretation of the outputs, helping build confidence with end users, and for improving the training and performance of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-20 Luke Whitbread , Mark Jenkinson

We introduce a novel framework for AI-generated image detection through epistemic uncertainty, aiming to address critical security concerns in the era of generative models. Our key insight stems from the observation that distributional…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-11-04 Jun Nie , Yonggang Zhang , Tongliang Liu , Yiu-ming Cheung , Bo Han , Xinmei Tian

Deep learning techniques show success in detecting objects in medical images, but still suffer from false-positive predictions that may hinder accurate diagnosis. The estimated uncertainty of the neural network output has been used to flag…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-07-03 Ishaan Bhat , Josien P. W. Pluim , Max A. Viergever , Hugo J. Kuijf

3D object detection is an essential task for computer vision applications in autonomous vehicles and robotics. However, models often struggle to quantify detection reliability, leading to poor performance on unfamiliar scenes. We introduce…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-11-01 Nikita Durasov , Rafid Mahmood , Jiwoong Choi , Marc T. Law , James Lucas , Pascal Fua , Jose M. Alvarez

Background and objective: Uncertainty quantification is a pivotal field that contributes to realizing reliable and robust systems. It becomes instrumental in fortifying safe decisions by providing complementary information, particularly…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-03-19 Jamil Fayyad , Shadi Alijani , Homayoun Najjaran

With the recently rapid development in deep learning, deep neural networks have been widely adopted in many real-life applications. However, deep neural networks are also known to have very little control over its uncertainty for unseen…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-04-23 Wenhu Chen , Yilin Shen , Hongxia Jin , William Wang

The quantification of uncertainty is important for the adoption of machine learning, especially to reject out-of-distribution (OOD) data back to human experts for review. Yet progress has been slow, as a balance must be struck between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-12 Derek Everett , Andre T. Nguyen , Luke E. Richards , Edward Raff

Deep learning has emerged as a promising paradigm to give access to highly accurate predictions of molecular and materials properties. A common short-coming shared by current approaches, however, is that neural networks only give point…

计算物理 · 物理学 2023-05-10 Albert Zhu , Simon Batzner , Albert Musaelian , Boris Kozinsky

Reliable probability estimation is of crucial importance in many real-world applications where there is inherent (aleatoric) uncertainty. Probability-estimation models are trained on observed outcomes (e.g. whether it has rained or not, or…